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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 25, 2023·Ball Arena, Denver

Calgary Flames 1, Colorado Avalanche 3

Away

Calgary Flames

1

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 66% of the time.

COL winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Backlund, saved by Prosvetov
  3. P1 1:14Shot by Zary, saved by Prosvetov
  4. P1 1:16Johansen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johansen, Manson, Wood, O'Connor, Byram · CGY Lindholm, Zadorov, Andersson, Gilbert, Zary

  5. P1 2:38Weegar: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Manson, Wood, Nichushkin, Byram · CGY Backlund, Weegar, Mangiapane, Sharangovich, Zary

  6. P1 3:49Shot by Coleman, saved by Prosvetov5v4
  7. P1 4:24Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Vladar5v4
  8. P1 4:44Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Vladar6v5
  9. P1 5:03Coleman: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Tatar, Johansen, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Colton · CGY Kadri, Tanev, Zadorov, Mangiapane, Dube

  10. P1 5:21Shot by Johansen, saved by Vladar5v4
  11. P1 6:31Goal by Drouin (Rantanen, MacKinnon)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Makar · CGY Tanev, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Dube

  12. P1 7:26Shot by Wood, saved by Vladar
  13. P1 8:46Shot by Johansen, saved by Vladar
  14. P1 13:13Shot by Colton, saved by Vladar
  15. P1 13:35Shot by O'Connor, saved by Vladar
  16. P1 14:46Shot by Drouin, saved by Vladar
  17. P1 15:57Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Vladar
  18. P1 17:55Shot by Andersson, saved by Prosvetov
  19. P1 18:58Byram: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Byram · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Huberdeau, Hanifin

  20. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:41Shot by Cogliano, saved by Vladar4v5
  23. P2 1:28Shot by Greer, saved by Prosvetov
  24. P2 1:44Shot by Weegar, saved by Prosvetov
  25. P2 1:50Shot by Toews, saved by Vladar
  26. P2 2:30Shot by Ruzicka, saved by Prosvetov
  27. P2 3:14Tatar: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Wood, Jones, Colton, O'Connor · CGY Kadri, Andersson, Gilbert, Pospisil, Zary

  28. P2 5:24Shot by Greer, saved by Prosvetov
  29. P2 6:45Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vladar
  30. P2 8:40Shot by Hanifin, saved by Prosvetov
  31. P2 8:51Shot by Andersson, saved by Prosvetov
  32. P2 9:30Shot by Gilbert, saved by Prosvetov
  33. P2 10:10Goal by Johansen, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tatar, Johansen, Drouin, Toews, Byram · CGY Huberdeau, Lindholm, Zadorov, Gilbert, Sharangovich

  34. P2 11:16Shot by Dube, saved by Prosvetov
  35. P2 12:03Goal by Backlund (Huberdeau, Coleman)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Cogliano, Olofsson, Jones, Kiviranta · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Huberdeau, Hanifin

  36. P2 12:11Shot by Lindholm, saved by Prosvetov
  37. P2 12:37Goal by MacKinnon (Nichushkin, Makar)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Makar · CGY Weegar, Lindholm, Mangiapane, Andersson, Sharangovich

  38. P2 13:31Shot by Coleman, saved by Prosvetov
  39. P2 16:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Vladar
  40. P2 18:05Shot by Johansen, saved by Vladar
  41. P2 18:58Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vladar
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:09Shot by Manson, saved by Vladar
  45. P3 1:21Shot by Pospisil, saved by Prosvetov
  46. P3 1:37Shot by Kadri, saved by Prosvetov
  47. P3 3:47Shot by Colton, saved by Vladar
  48. P3 3:54Shot by Colton, saved by Vladar
  49. P3 3:57Andersson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Manson, Wood, Colton, O'Connor · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Huberdeau, Weegar, Andersson

  50. P3 3:57Weegar: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Manson, Wood, Colton, O'Connor · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Huberdeau, Weegar, Andersson

  51. P3 3:57Wood: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Manson, Wood, Colton, O'Connor · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Huberdeau, Weegar, Andersson

  52. P3 6:47Colton: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Cogliano, Manson, Colton, O'Connor · CGY Kadri, Weegar, Andersson, Pospisil, Zary

  53. P3 7:52Shot by Andersson, saved by Prosvetov4v5
  54. P3 9:18Shot by Greer, saved by Prosvetov
  55. P3 9:19Shot by Ruzicka, saved by Prosvetov
  56. P3 10:06Shot by Zadorov, saved by Prosvetov
  57. P3 10:14Shot by Zadorov, saved by Prosvetov
  58. P3 10:26Shot by Weegar, saved by Prosvetov
  59. P3 10:48Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Prosvetov
  60. P3 11:16Shot by Kadri, saved by Prosvetov
  61. P3 14:08Shot by Kadri, saved by Prosvetov
  62. P3 15:29Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vladar
  63. P3 16:02Shot by Byram, saved by Vladar
  64. P3 16:54Shot by Pospisil, saved by Prosvetov
  65. P3 17:45Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Prosvetov5v6
  66. P3 18:00Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Prosvetov5v6
  67. P3 19:19Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Prosvetov5v6
  68. P3 19:30Kadri: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · CGY Backlund, Kadri, Lindholm, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Andersson

  69. P3 19:57Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Vladar5v4
  70. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  71. P3 0:00Final5v4