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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 27, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York

Buffalo Sabres 5, New York Rangers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.

NYR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Skinner, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 3:12Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 3:20Shot by Jones, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 4:23Shot by Miller, saved by Luukkonen
  6. P1 4:25Shot by Goodrow, saved by Luukkonen
  7. P1 4:48Shot by Krebs, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 5:19Shot by Tuch, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 6:31Shot by Cuylle, saved by Luukkonen
  10. P1 8:26Tuch: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Panarin, Lindgren · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Power

  11. P1 8:53Shot by Trocheck, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  12. P1 11:41Goal by Peterka (Olofsson, Power)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Pitlick, Goodrow, Vesey, Gustafsson, Lindgren · BUF Olofsson, Cozens, Johnson, Peterka, Power

  13. P1 12:26Shot by Tuch, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 12:32Shot by Tuch, saved by Shesterkin
  15. P1 13:36Shot by Dahlin, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 13:54Shot by Benson, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 14:53Shot by Panarin, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P1 14:53Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Luukkonen
  19. P1 16:15Shot by Kreider, saved by Luukkonen
  20. P1 16:17Shot by Miller, saved by Luukkonen
  21. P1 16:34Shot by Peterka, saved by Shesterkin
  22. P1 18:20Samuelsson: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Jones, Schneider, Lafrenière · BUF Tuch, Jost, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  23. P1 18:59Shot by Trocheck, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  24. P1 19:29Shot by Trocheck, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  25. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:36Shot by Panarin, saved by Luukkonen
  28. P2 0:53Shot by Tuch, saved by Shesterkin
  29. P2 3:10Shot by Pitlick, saved by Luukkonen
  30. P2 3:25Shot by Okposo, saved by Shesterkin
  31. P2 3:28Shot by Olofsson, saved by Shesterkin
  32. P2 3:54Shot by Okposo, saved by Shesterkin
  33. P2 4:12Shot by Power, saved by Shesterkin
  34. P2 4:15Cuylle: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Schneider, Lafrenière, Cuylle · BUF Okposo, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Power

  35. P2 6:16Shot by Peterka, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 7:12Shot by Trocheck, saved by Luukkonen
  37. P2 7:13Shot by Trocheck, saved by Luukkonen
  38. P2 7:59Shot by Tuch, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 8:14Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Luukkonen
  40. P2 9:17Shot by Benson, saved by Shesterkin
  41. P2 11:40Shot by Jost, saved by Shesterkin
  42. P2 12:37Shot by Panarin, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P2 12:52Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P2 13:34Shot by Jones, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P2 14:10Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P2 14:52Shot by Trouba, saved by Luukkonen
  47. P2 15:10Shot by Johnson, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P2 16:44Shot by Trocheck, saved by Luukkonen
  49. P2 19:03Shot by Peterka, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P2 19:30Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P2 19:33Goal by Tuch (Mittelstadt, Dahlin)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Pitlick, Goodrow, Trouba, Vesey, Miller · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:37Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Luukkonen
  55. P3 2:23Shot by Cozens, saved by Shesterkin
  56. P3 3:35Shot by Vesey, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P3 5:00Shot by Olofsson, saved by Shesterkin
  58. P3 5:19Shot by Peterka, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P3 5:43Pitlick: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pitlick, Goodrow, Trouba, Miller, Cuylle · BUF Clifton, Samuelsson, Cozens, Peterka, Benson

  60. P3 5:52Shot by Olofsson, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  61. P3 6:17Shot by Skinner, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  62. P3 7:42Shot by Peterka, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  63. P3 7:44Shot by Cozens, saved by Shesterkin
  64. P3 7:45Shot by Benson, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 8:01Benson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pitlick, Trocheck, Trouba, Vesey, Lindgren · BUF Okposo, Cozens, Peterka, Power, Benson

  66. P3 8:08Goal by Zibanejad (Gustafsson, Panarin)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Panarin · BUF Johnson, Tuch, Samuelsson, Krebs

  67. P3 11:18Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Shesterkin
  68. P3 11:23Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Shesterkin
  69. P3 11:31Shot by Skinner, saved by Shesterkin
  70. P3 11:48Shot by Tuch, saved by Shesterkin
  71. P3 14:13Shot by Cozens, saved by Shesterkin
  72. P3 15:31Goal by Tuch (Mittelstadt, Power)+11 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Lafrenière · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  73. P3 18:29Goal by Mittelstadt (Skinner)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Miller, Lafrenière · BUF Skinner, Clifton, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson

  74. P3 19:40Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Shesterkin
  75. P3 19:53Goal by Okposo (Jokiharju, Olofsson)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Bonino, Pitlick, Jones, Schneider, Lafrenière · BUF Johnson, Okposo, Olofsson, Jokiharju, Krebs

  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final