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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 28, 2023·Prudential Center, Newark

New York Islanders 4, New Jersey Devils 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 52% of the time.

NJD winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:59Shot by Palat, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 2:43Shot by Gauthier, saved by Vanecek
  4. P1 2:43Shot by Gauthier, saved by Vanecek
  5. P1 3:28Shot by Dobson, saved by Vanecek
  6. P1 4:47Mercer: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Toffoli, Bahl, Hughes, Mercer, Hughes · NYI Pageau, Pulock, Wahlstrom, Romanov, Holmstrom

  7. P1 5:16Goal by Horvat (Dobson, Barzal)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Smith, Palat, Marino, McLeod · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  8. P1 5:35Cizikas: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Toffoli, Hamilton, Siegenthaler, Hughes, Mercer · NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Reilly, Pulock, Gauthier

  9. P1 6:09Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin5v4
  10. P1 6:20Shot by Hischier, saved by Sorokin5v4
  11. P1 7:03Shot by Horvat, saved by Vanecek5v4
  12. P1 7:35Shot by Hamilton, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 8:15Shot by Reilly, saved by Vanecek
  14. P1 10:29Goal by McLeod (Lazar)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Hamilton, Lazar, Siegenthaler, McLeod, Holtz · NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Reilly, Gauthier, Dobson

  15. P1 12:16Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 12:53Shot by McLeod, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 14:53Shot by Pageau, saved by Vanecek
  18. P1 15:19Hamilton: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Smith, Hamilton, Tierney, Siegenthaler, Mercer · NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Barzal, Dobson, Holmstrom

  19. P1 18:59Shot by Palat, saved by Sorokin
  20. P1 19:25Shot by Romanov, saved by Vanecek
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:14Shot by Hamilton, saved by Sorokin
  24. P2 2:04Shot by Horvat, saved by Vanecek
  25. P2 2:05Shot by Lee, saved by Vanecek
  26. P2 2:07Shot by Lee, saved by Vanecek
  27. P2 2:17Shot by Holtz, saved by Sorokin
  28. P2 4:08Shot by Nelson, saved by Vanecek
  29. P2 4:19Goal by Mercer (Hughes, Toffoli)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Toffoli, Marino, Bahl, Hughes, Mercer · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pulock, Engvall, Romanov

  30. P2 4:51Shot by Horvat, saved by Vanecek
  31. P2 6:13Shot by Toffoli, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 7:36Shot by Marino, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 8:24Goal by Barzal (Lee, Dobson)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Palat, Miller, Bratt, Hischier, Bahl · NYI Lee, Mayfield, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  34. P2 9:20Shot by McLeod, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 9:40Goal by Clutterbuck (Cizikas, Gauthier)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Hamilton, Marino, McLeod, Mercer, Holtz · NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Mayfield, Gauthier, Dobson

  36. P2 11:49Shot by Reilly, saved by Vanecek
  37. P2 12:01Shot by Barzal, saved by Vanecek
  38. P2 12:24Shot by Bratt, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 13:05Goal by Pageau (Barzal, Romanov)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Palat, Marino, Hischier, Bahl, Mercer · NYI Pageau, Barzal, Hutton, Romanov, Holmstrom

  40. P2 13:54Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 17:01Shot by Palmieri, saved by Schmid
  42. P2 17:06Shot by Nelson, saved by Schmid
  43. P2 17:21Shot by Lazar, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 18:00Palmieri: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Toffoli, Marino, McLeod, Mercer, Hughes · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pulock, Engvall, Romanov

  45. P2 19:31Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin5v4
  46. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:46Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin
  49. P3 2:17Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Schmid
  50. P3 4:59Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin
  51. P3 5:08Goal by Hughes (Mercer, Smith)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Smith, Toffoli, Bahl, Hughes, Mercer · NYI Reilly, Mayfield, Horvat, Barzal, Holmstrom

  52. P3 5:25Shot by Dobson, saved by Schmid
  53. P3 6:01Shot by Bratt, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 6:09Shot by Siegenthaler, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 6:14Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 6:54Shot by Holtz, saved by Sorokin
  57. P3 7:08Shot by Holtz, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 8:19Shot by Siegenthaler, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 8:21Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 9:43Bratt: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Palat, Bratt, Hischier, Bahl, Hughes · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Mayfield, Engvall, Dobson

  61. P3 10:08Shot by Barzal, saved by Schmid4v5
  62. P3 10:35Barzal: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NJD Lazar, Siegenthaler, Bahl, Mercer · NYI Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  63. P3 10:56Holmstrom: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NJD Siegenthaler, Hughes, Holtz, Hughes · NYI Pageau, Pulock, Dobson, Holmstrom

  64. P3 11:09Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin4v3
  65. P3 11:10Goal by Hischier (Hughes, Hughes)4v3+28 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Toffoli, Hischier, Hughes, Hughes · NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Romanov

  66. P3 12:17Shot by Toffoli, saved by Sorokin5v4
  67. P3 12:28Shot by Bratt, saved by Sorokin5v4
  68. P3 13:48Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Smith, Lazar, Marino, McLeod, Holtz · NYI Lee, Mayfield, Horvat, Barzal, Romanov

  69. P3 15:48Shot by Reilly, saved by Schmid4v5
  70. P3 15:49Shot by Lee, saved by Schmid
  71. P3 17:56Smith: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NJD Smith, Palat, Marino, Bratt, Hischier · NYI Lee, Mayfield, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  72. P3 17:56Lee: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NJD Smith, Palat, Marino, Bratt, Hischier · NYI Lee, Mayfield, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  73. P3 17:57Shot by Pageau, saved by Schmid
  74. P3 19:37Goal by Lazar (Bahl, McLeod)+46 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Lazar, Marino, McLeod, Bahl, Holtz · NYI Horvat, Pulock, Barzal, Romanov, Holmstrom

  75. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  76. P3 0:00Final5v6