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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 3, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York

San Jose Sharks 5, New York Rangers 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 68% of the time.

NYR winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:05Shot by Miller, saved by Blackwood
  3. P1 3:40Shot by Trouba, saved by Blackwood
  4. P1 3:50Goal by Duclair (Burroughs)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Lafrenière · SJS Granlund, Burroughs, Duclair, Ferraro, Zetterlund

  5. P1 4:07Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Blackwood
  6. P1 5:49MacDonald: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pitlick, Goodrow, Vesey, Gustafsson, Schneider · SJS Hoffman, Burroughs, Smith, MacDonald, Rutta

  7. P1 7:16Shot by Granlund, saved by Quick5v4
  8. P1 7:55Eklund: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Trouba, Gustafsson, Brodzinski, Lafrenière · SJS Granlund, Burroughs, MacDonald, Okhotiuk, Eklund

  9. P1 8:24Shot by Trocheck, saved by Blackwood5v4
  10. P1 8:44Goal by Panarin (Zibanejad, Fox)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox · SJS Hertl, Benning, Ferraro, Zetterlund

  11. P1 10:12Shot by Carpenter, saved by Quick
  12. P1 10:17Shot by Carpenter, saved by Quick
  13. P1 10:23Shot by Hoffman, saved by Quick
  14. P1 12:21Goal by Carpenter (Rutta)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Bonino, Gustafsson, Miller, Cuylle · SJS Bailey, Carpenter, Labanc, Rutta, Okhotiuk

  15. P1 12:26Shot by Vesey, saved by Blackwood
  16. P1 12:28Shot by Pitlick, saved by Blackwood
  17. P1 12:33Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Blackwood
  18. P1 12:52Shot by Trocheck, saved by Blackwood
  19. P1 12:55Goal by Panarin (Trocheck, Lafrenière)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Lafrenière · SJS Granlund, Burroughs, Duclair, Ferraro, Zetterlund

  20. P1 13:50Shot by Carpenter, saved by Quick
  21. P1 14:17Shot by Goodrow, saved by Blackwood
  22. P1 15:31Shot by Burroughs, saved by Quick
  23. P1 16:09Shot by Cuylle, saved by Blackwood
  24. P1 16:42Goal by Zibanejad (Kreider, Brodzinski)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Brodzinski, Miller · SJS Bailey, Carpenter, Labanc, Rutta, Okhotiuk

  25. P1 17:32Carpenter: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière · SJS Burroughs, Carpenter, Ferraro, Barabanov, Eklund

  26. P1 17:38Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Quick5v4
  27. P1 19:14Shot by Panarin, saved by Blackwood5v4
  28. P1 19:32Shot by Fox, saved by Blackwood
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:10Shot by Trocheck, saved by Blackwood
  32. P2 1:57Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Blackwood
  33. P2 3:25Shot by Ferraro, saved by Quick
  34. P2 5:13Shot by Labanc, saved by Quick
  35. P2 5:32Shot by Schneider, saved by Blackwood
  36. P2 5:51Shot by MacDonald, saved by Quick
  37. P2 6:34Shot by Trouba, saved by Blackwood
  38. P2 6:45Shot by Granlund, saved by Quick
  39. P2 6:47Shot by Granlund, saved by Quick
  40. P2 6:47Shot by Granlund, saved by Quick
  41. P2 7:00Shot by Trocheck, saved by Blackwood
  42. P2 7:03Shot by Fox, saved by Blackwood
  43. P2 7:17Zibanejad: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Brodzinski, Miller · SJS Hertl, Rutta, Okhotiuk, Barabanov, Eklund

  44. P2 8:50Shot by Bonino, saved by Blackwood4v5
  45. P2 9:16Goal by MacDonald (Labanc, Hoffman)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Miller, Schneider · SJS Hoffman, Duclair, Labanc, MacDonald, Barabanov

  46. P2 10:14Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Blackwood
  47. P2 10:15Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Blackwood
  48. P2 10:16Benning: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Gustafsson, Panarin, Lafrenière · SJS Granlund, Benning, Duclair, Zetterlund, Addison

  49. P2 10:16Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Blackwoodother
  50. P2 11:32Cuylle: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Bonino, Fox, Lindgren, Cuylle · SJS Burroughs, Bailey, Carpenter, Labanc, Ferraro

  51. P2 13:10Shot by Duclair, saved by Quick4v5
  52. P2 14:44Shot by Fox, saved by Blackwood
  53. P2 15:12Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Blackwood
  54. P2 16:03Goal by Cuylle (Bonino, Trouba)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Bonino, Trouba, Miller, Cuylle · SJS Hertl, Rutta, Okhotiuk, Barabanov, Eklund

  55. P2 16:21Shot by Labanc, saved by Quick
  56. P2 17:33Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Blackwood
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 3:55Shot by Trocheck, saved by Blackwood
  60. P3 4:35Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Blackwood
  61. P3 4:38Shot by Trocheck, saved by Blackwood
  62. P3 4:41Goal by Panarin (Trocheck, Brodzinski)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Gustafsson, Brodzinski, Panarin, Schneider · SJS Hertl, Benning, Duclair, Ferraro, Zetterlund

  63. P3 6:43Shot by Okhotiuk, saved by Quick
  64. P3 7:35Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Blackwood
  65. P3 10:27Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Quick
  66. P3 11:05Shot by Benning, saved by Quick
  67. P3 11:38Shot by Rutta, saved by Quick
  68. P3 11:40Shot by Eklund, saved by Quick
  69. P3 13:04Goal by Miller (Panarin, Trouba)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Lafrenière · SJS Burroughs, Carpenter, Labanc, Okhotiuk, Barabanov

  70. P3 13:17Shot by Vesey, saved by Blackwood
  71. P3 14:35Shot by Granlund, saved by Quick
  72. P3 14:38Goal by Zetterlund (Granlund, Duclair)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Brodzinski, Fox, Lindgren · SJS Granlund, Burroughs, Duclair, Rutta, Zetterlund

  73. P3 15:50Goal by Barabanov (Addison, Hertl)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Lafrenière · SJS Hertl, Ferraro, Addison, Barabanov, Eklund

  74. P3 18:46Shot by Granlund, saved by Quick5v6
  75. P3 19:26Shot by Granlund, saved by Quick5v6
  76. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  77. P3 0:00Final5v6