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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 7, 2023·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Nashville Predators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 64% of the time.

NSH winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Schenn, saved by Johansson
  3. P1 0:36Shot by Lauzon, saved by Johansson
  4. P1 0:57Shot by Josi, saved by Johansson
  5. P1 1:24Shot by Point, saved by Saros
  6. P1 3:36Shot by Glendening, saved by Saros
  7. P1 4:41Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros
  8. P1 6:50Shot by Sherwood, saved by Johansson
  9. P1 7:31McCarron: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, McCarron, Lauzon, Sherwood, Tomasino · TBL Hedman, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Barré-Boulet

  10. P1 7:38Shot by Hedman, saved by Saros4v5
  11. P1 8:20Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Johansson4v5
  12. P1 11:14Shot by Jeannot, saved by Saros
  13. P1 12:48Shot by Glendening, saved by Saros
  14. P1 13:32Goal by Barré-Boulet (Hagel, Cirelli)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Novak, Lauzon, Fabbro, Parssinen, Evangelista · TBL de Haan, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Barré-Boulet

  15. P1 15:30Stamkos: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Fabbro, Smith · TBL Watson, Glendening, Motte, Cernak, Sergachev

  16. P1 17:14Goal by Parssinen (Tomasino, McDonagh)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Novak, Tomasino, Parssinen, Evangelista · TBL Hedman, de Haan, Glendening, Motte

  17. P1 19:04Shot by Perbix, saved by Saros
  18. P1 19:17Shot by Josi, saved by Johansson
  19. P1 19:19Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Johansson
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:07Shot by Cernak, saved by Saros
  23. P2 1:55Shot by McCarron, saved by Johansson
  24. P2 2:02Shot by Barré-Boulet, saved by Saros
  25. P2 2:30Hagel: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McCarron, Lauzon, Fabbro, Sherwood, Tomasino · TBL de Haan, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Barré-Boulet

  26. P2 2:37Goal by Forsberg (Josi, Nyquist)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Sissons · TBL Glendening, Motte, Cernak, Sergachev

  27. P2 4:28Shot by Sissons, saved by Johansson
  28. P2 4:32Goal by McDonagh, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Smith · TBL Stamkos, de Haan, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh

  29. P2 4:59Shot by Barré-Boulet, saved by Saros
  30. P2 5:08Sherwood: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McCarron, Lauzon, Fabbro, Sherwood, Tomasino · TBL Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel, Barré-Boulet

  31. P2 5:17Shot by Paul, saved by Saros4v5
  32. P2 7:02Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros4v5
  33. P2 8:02Shot by Forsberg, saved by Johansson
  34. P2 9:25Shot by Nyquist, saved by Johansson
  35. P2 10:03Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros
  36. P2 10:28Shot by Hagel, saved by Saros
  37. P2 10:30Josi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Smith · TBL de Haan, Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  38. P2 12:15Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros4v5
  39. P2 12:30Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros
  40. P2 12:44Shot by de Haan, saved by Saros
  41. P2 13:12Shot by Cernak, saved by Saros
  42. P2 14:22Shot by Evangelista, saved by Johansson
  43. P2 14:55Shot by McDonagh, saved by Johansson
  44. P2 15:28Shot by Sherwood, saved by Johansson
  45. P2 15:34Shot by Josi, saved by Johansson
  46. P2 16:07Shot by Perbix, saved by Saros
  47. P2 17:54Forsberg: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Schenn, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Stastney · TBL Paul, Cernak, Sergachev, Eyssimont, Jeannot

  48. P2 19:48Shot by Stamkos, saved by Saros4v5
  49. P2 19:50Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros4v5
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:19Shot by Cirelli, saved by Saros
  53. P3 1:20Shot by Cirelli, saved by Saros
  54. P3 1:21Barré-Boulet: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg · TBL Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel, Barré-Boulet

  55. P3 3:00Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Johansson5v4
  56. P3 3:32Shot by Trenin, saved by Johansson
  57. P3 4:18Shot by Parssinen, saved by Johansson
  58. P3 4:25Shot by Schenn, saved by Johansson
  59. P3 4:49Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros
  60. P3 5:15Shot by Perbix, saved by Saros
  61. P3 6:11Goal by Josi (Smith)+4 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Smith · TBL Paul, Point, Cernak, Sergachev, Barré-Boulet

  62. P3 7:12Shot by Hedman, saved by Saros
  63. P3 7:23Shot by Cirelli, saved by Saros
  64. P3 8:05Shot by Raddysh, saved by Saros
  65. P3 9:12Shot by Fabbro, saved by Johansson
  66. P3 10:13Smith: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Schenn, Sissons, Trenin, Stastney, Smith · TBL Watson, Glendening, Sergachev, Eyssimont, Perbix

  67. P3 10:13Watson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Schenn, Sissons, Trenin, Stastney, Smith · TBL Watson, Glendening, Sergachev, Eyssimont, Perbix

  68. P3 10:58Shot by Tomasino, saved by Johansson
  69. P3 10:59Shot by McCarron, saved by Johansson
  70. P3 11:43Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros5v6
  71. P3 11:58Shot by Point, saved by Saros5v6
  72. P3 12:04Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros5v6
  73. P3 13:13Goal by Trenin (Sherwood)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Schenn, Sissons, Trenin, Sherwood, Stastney · TBL Hedman, Paul, Cirelli, Sergachev, Eyssimont, Barré-Boulet

  74. P3 15:14Shot by Forsberg, saved by Johansson
  75. P3 16:39Shot by Motte, saved by Saros
  76. P3 16:54Shot by Schenn, saved by Johansson
  77. P3 17:56Shot by Fabbro, saved by Johansson
  78. P3 0:00Watson: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Fabbro, Smith · TBL de Haan, Watson, Glendening, Motte, Raddysh

  79. P3 0:00Watson: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Fabbro, Smith · TBL de Haan, Watson, Glendening, Motte, Raddysh

  80. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  81. P3 0:00Final5v4