Wed, Dec 13, 2023·Ball Arena, Denver
Buffalo Sabres 1, Colorado Avalanche 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 53% of the time.
43%
10%
8%
39%
COL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:01 | 0.05 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 22:21 | 0.23 | 54.0% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:51 | 0.19 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.01 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:34 | 0.15 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:01 | 0.25 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 16:20 | 0.35 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:58 | 0.08 | 44.3% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:54 | 0.49 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:34 | 0.45 | 73.6% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.06 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:55 | 0.00 | 14.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.01 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:23 | 0.00 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:05 | 0.06 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.00 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:29 | 0.15 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:57 | 0.06 | 41.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 24 | 5 | .828 | 2.75 | −2.3 | 60:00 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:52 | 0.00 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:52 | 0.04 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 22:30 | 1.05 | 79.3% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:53 | 0.06 | 74.9% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 20:37 | 0.35 | 71.2% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:23 | 0.00 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:57 | 0.02 | 34.4% | +5.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.28 | 75.3% | +16.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 16:25 | 0.06 | 51.2% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.01 | 10.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.07 | 16.0% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.20 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:00 | 0.08 | 39.9% | +5.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.00 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:33 | 0.10 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:48 | 0.05 | 58.8% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:06 | 0.00 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:37 | 0.37 | 72.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 2.59 | +1.6 | 60:00 |