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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 15, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont

Boston Bruins 5, New York Islanders 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 81% of the time.

NYI winsBOS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:07Shot by Fasching, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 0:23Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 1:36Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 1:59Shot by Lohrei, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 2:52Shot by Engvall, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 6:03Shot by Cizikas, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 6:04Shot by Cizikas, saved by Ullmark
  9. P1 6:26Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 6:28Shot by Geekie, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 6:52Shot by Reilly, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 6:59Shot by Horvat, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 8:33Shot by Grzelcyk, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 8:49Shot by Fasching, saved by Ullmark
  15. P1 10:02Shot by Coyle, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 11:38Shot by Palmieri, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 13:25Boqvist: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Reilly, Gauthier, Aho, Holmstrom · BOS van Riemsdyk, Grzelcyk, Carlo, Frederic, Boqvist

  18. P1 13:55Shot by Nelson, saved by Ullmark5v4
  19. P1 15:41Shot by Engvall, saved by Ullmark
  20. P1 15:43Shot by Lee, saved by Ullmark
  21. P1 15:45Shot by Engvall, saved by Ullmark
  22. P1 15:45Shot by Lee, saved by Ullmark
  23. P1 16:22Shot by Dobson, saved by Ullmark
  24. P1 17:56Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Sorokin
  25. P1 19:34Shot by Dobson, saved by Ullmark
  26. P1 19:55Shot by Frederic, saved by Sorokin
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:27Shot by Nelson, saved by Ullmark
  30. P2 1:42Goal by Romanov (Barzal, Horvat)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson, Romanov · BOS Shattenkirk, Lindholm, Pastrnak, Heinen, Geekie

  31. P2 2:11Shot by Lee, saved by Ullmark
  32. P2 2:45Shot by DeBrusk, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 3:12Shot by Coyle, saved by Sorokin
  34. P2 4:29Shot by Lee, saved by Ullmark
  35. P2 7:05Shot by Palmieri, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 7:10Shot by Reilly, saved by Ullmark
  37. P2 7:11Shot by Engvall, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 8:02Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 8:22Shot by Lohrei, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 8:33Shot by Barzal, saved by Ullmark
  41. P2 8:54Shot by Horvat, saved by Ullmark
  42. P2 9:17Shot by Horvat, saved by Ullmark
  43. P2 10:01Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 11:25Shot by Grzelcyk, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 12:28Shot by Aho, saved by Ullmark
  46. P2 13:26Goal by Holmstrom (Pageau)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Pageau, Dobson, Bolduc, Holmstrom · BOS Shattenkirk, Grzelcyk, Pastrnak, Frederic, Boqvist

  47. P2 13:32Gauthier: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Gauthier, Dobson, Romanov, Holmstrom · BOS Grzelcyk, Wotherspoon, Boqvist, Lauko, Beecher

  48. P2 13:58Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Sorokin4v5
  49. P2 14:27Shot by Pageau, saved by Ullmark4v5
  50. P2 14:32Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Ullmark4v5
  51. P2 14:45Goal by Geekie (van Riemsdyk, Marchand)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Dobson, Bolduc, Holmstrom · BOS Marchand, van Riemsdyk, Lindholm, Pastrnak, Geekie

  52. P2 16:35Gauthier: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Fasching, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson, Romanov · BOS Marchand, Lindholm, Pastrnak, Wotherspoon, Frederic

  53. P2 17:26Goal by Pastrnak (Shattenkirk, Geekie)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Bortuzzo, Cizikas, Romanov · BOS Marchand, Shattenkirk, Pastrnak, DeBrusk, Geekie

  54. P2 17:48Shot by Carlo, saved by Sorokin
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 2:15Shot by Frederic, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 3:15Shattenkirk: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Fasching, Dobson, Romanov · BOS Marchand, Shattenkirk, Coyle, DeBrusk, Lohrei

  59. P3 3:19Shot by Horvat, saved by Ullmark5v4
  60. P3 5:06Goal by Horvat (Nelson, Reilly)5v4+28 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Reilly, Horvat, Barzal · BOS Lindholm, Carlo, DeBrusk, Frederic

  61. P3 6:32Shot by Palmieri, saved by Ullmark
  62. P3 9:36Shot by Coyle, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 9:39Lee: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson, Romanov · BOS Marchand, Coyle, Grzelcyk, Pastrnak, Wotherspoon

  64. P3 10:48Goal by van Riemsdyk (Shattenkirk, Pastrnak)4v5+29 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Dobson, Romanov, Holmstrom · BOS Marchand, Shattenkirk, van Riemsdyk, Pastrnak, Geekie

  65. P3 11:50Coyle: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Reilly, Engvall, Aho · BOS Coyle, Lindholm, Heinen, Wotherspoon, DeBrusk

  66. P3 12:01Goal by Nelson (Horvat, Barzal)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson · BOS Marchand, Lindholm, Carlo, Beecher

  67. P3 15:14Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Sorokin
  68. P3 16:51Goal by Lohrei, unassisted+39 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Reilly, Gauthier, Aho, Holmstrom · BOS Marchand, Grzelcyk, Pastrnak, Geekie, Lohrei

  69. P3 18:21Shot by Marchand, saved by Sorokin
  70. P3 18:37Shot by Geekie, saved by Sorokin
  71. P3 18:45Shot by DeBrusk, saved by Sorokin
  72. P3 19:13Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Sorokin
  73. P3 19:36Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Sorokin
  74. P3 19:42Pastrnak: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Reilly, Engvall, Dobson · BOS van Riemsdyk, Coyle, Lindholm, Pastrnak, Carlo

  75. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  76. OT 0:00Period start
  77. OT 1:08Shot by Nelson, saved by Ullmark4v3
  78. OT 1:42Shot by Horvat, saved by Ullmark4v3
  79. OT 1:52Shot by Coyle, saved by Sorokin4v4
  80. OT 2:01Shot by Dobson, saved by Ullmark4v4
  81. OT 2:03Shot by Barzal, saved by Ullmark4v4
  82. OT 2:09Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Sorokin4v4
  83. OT 2:56Shot by Marchand, saved by Sorokin4v4
  84. OT 4:08Shot by Marchand, saved by Sorokin3v3
  85. OT 4:34Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Sorokin3v3
  86. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  87. SO Period start
  88. SO Shot by Horvat, saved by Ullmarkother
  89. SO Shot by DeBrusk, saved by Sorokinother
  90. SO Shot by Barzal, saved by Ullmarkother
  91. SO Goal by Coyle, unassistedother
  92. SO Goal by Holmstrom, unassistedother
  93. SO Goal by Pastrnak, unassistedother
  94. SO Period endother
  95. SO Finalother