Fri, Dec 15, 2023·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Buffalo Sabres 5, Vegas Golden Knights 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 86% of the time.
80%
10%
VGK winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 26:18 | 0.01 | 43.4% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:51 | 0.15 | 28.4% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:43 | 0.00 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 19:23 | 0.26 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:47 | 0.38 | 40.1% | +46.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:43 | 0.03 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 18:25 | 0.56 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:38 | 0.25 | 35.8% | +46.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 16:38 | 0.73 | 50.9% | +49.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.05 | 15.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.00 | 51.0% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.06 | 8.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 15:16 | 0.19 | 50.1% | +49.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:29 | 0.00 | 10.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:42 | 0.01 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:32 | 0.02 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:43 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:09 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 5.30 | +3.3 | 60:00 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 23:32 | 0.03 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:45 | 0.09 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:22 | 0.00 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:08 | 0.85 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 8 | 19:54 | 0.67 | 45.4% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:15 | 0.03 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:54 | 0.74 | 86.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.26 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:25 | 0.47 | 41.2% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.38 | 79.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.04 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:17 | 0.26 | 71.6% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.31 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:48 | 0.58 | 86.1% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.16 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.00 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:30 | 0.34 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:26 | 0.10 | 69.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 2.06 | −1.9 | 59:13 |