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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 19, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Columbus Blue Jackets 9, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 62% of the time.

BUF winsCBJ wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Goal by Dahlin (Cozens, Mittelstadt)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Peterka · CBJ Werenski, Marchenko, Voronkov, Chinakhov, Blankenburg

  3. P1 1:20Shot by Thompson, saved by Tarasov
  4. P1 3:27Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Levi
  5. P1 4:57Shot by Sillinger, saved by Levi
  6. P1 5:57Shot by Kuraly, saved by Levi
  7. P1 7:11Shot by Danforth, saved by Levi
  8. P1 8:17Shot by Bemstrom, saved by Levi
  9. P1 8:59Shot by Texier, saved by Levi
  10. P1 10:26Shot by Danforth, saved by Levi
  11. P1 10:35Goal by Gaudreau (Fantilli)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power, Benson · CBJ Gaudreau, Werenski, Danforth, Blankenburg, Fantilli

  12. P1 11:33Shot by Robinson, saved by Tarasov
  13. P1 13:19Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Levi
  14. P1 14:40Goal by Fantilli (Gaudreau, Provorov)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Clifton, Samuelsson, Krebs, Quinn · CBJ Gaudreau, Werenski, Danforth, Blankenburg, Fantilli

  15. P1 15:54Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Levi
  16. P1 16:05Shot by Marchenko, saved by Levi
  17. P1 17:13Shot by Thompson, saved by Tarasov
  18. P1 18:12Shot by Sillinger, saved by Levi
  19. P1 19:03Krebs: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Robinson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs · CBJ Provorov, Peeke, Marchenko, Voronkov, Chinakhov

  20. P1 19:48Goal by Marchenko (Gaudreau, Werenski)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Robinson, Samuelsson, Quinn · CBJ Gaudreau, Werenski, Marchenko, Voronkov, Chinakhov

  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:28Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Levi
  24. P2 1:23Shot by Benson, saved by Tarasov
  25. P2 1:51Shot by Bemstrom, saved by Levi
  26. P2 3:45Shot by Peterka, saved by Tarasov
  27. P2 4:56Shot by Thompson, saved by Tarasov
  28. P2 5:05Shot by Fantilli, saved by Levi
  29. P2 7:37Goal by Marchenko (Chinakhov, Peeke)+9 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Robinson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs · CBJ Kuraly, Provorov, Peeke, Marchenko, Chinakhov

  30. P2 7:55Goal by Marchenko (Chinakhov, Provorov)+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Cozens, Peterka, Power · CBJ Provorov, Peeke, Marchenko, Voronkov, Chinakhov

  31. P2 8:15Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Tarasov
  32. P2 8:52Goal by Gudbranson (Texier, Kuraly)+2 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power, Benson · CBJ Gudbranson, Kuraly, Gaunce, Bean, Texier

  33. P2 9:39Shot by Johnson, saved by Tarasov
  34. P2 9:44Okposo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Okposo, Robinson, Krebs, Power · CBJ Gaudreau, Werenski, Danforth, Blankenburg, Fantilli

  35. P2 10:40Shot by Krebs, saved by Tarasov4v5
  36. P2 11:26Shot by Thompson, saved by Tarasov4v5
  37. P2 11:33Shot by Bemstrom, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  38. P2 11:40Shot by Sillinger, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  39. P2 11:57Shot by Krebs, saved by Tarasov
  40. P2 12:05Shot by Quinn, saved by Tarasov
  41. P2 12:27Goal by Kuraly (Texier, Gaunce)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Quinn, Power · CBJ Gudbranson, Kuraly, Gaunce, Bean, Texier

  42. P2 13:45Shot by Provorov, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P2 14:37Shot by Sillinger, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P2 15:58Shot by Werenski, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P2 15:59Shot by Gaunce, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P2 16:27Shot by Cozens, saved by Tarasov
  47. P2 16:48Shot by Cozens, saved by Tarasov
  48. P2 16:49Shot by Benson, saved by Tarasov
  49. P2 18:54Goal by Okposo (Mittelstadt, Olofsson)0 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Okposo, Clifton, Olofsson, Mittelstadt · CBJ Gaudreau, Provorov, Peeke, Danforth, Fantilli

  50. P2 19:25Bean: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Clifton, Jost, Krebs, Benson · CBJ Gudbranson, Bean, Bemstrom, Johnson, Sillinger

  51. P2 19:53Shot by Thompson, saved by Tarasov5v4
  52. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:57Shot by Peterka, saved by Tarasov5v4
  55. P3 1:07Shot by Dahlin, saved by Tarasov5v4
  56. P3 1:49Shot by Cozens, saved by Tarasov
  57. P3 1:55Peeke: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Benson · CBJ Gaudreau, Werenski, Peeke, Danforth, Voronkov

  58. P3 2:16Shot by Tuch, saved by Tarasov5v4
  59. P3 2:57Goal by Thompson (Dahlin, Tuch)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Peterka · CBJ Werenski, Bean, Danforth, Sillinger

  60. P3 3:10Shot by Dahlin, saved by Tarasov
  61. P3 3:11Shot by Cozens, saved by Tarasov
  62. P3 3:43Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Tarasov
  63. P3 5:32Shot by Bean, saved by Luukkonen
  64. P3 5:51Shot by Olofsson, saved by Tarasov
  65. P3 7:51Goal by Cozens (Benson, Peterka)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Jokiharju, Cozens, Peterka, Power, Benson · CBJ Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Bean, Danforth, Fantilli

  66. P3 8:30Goal by Sillinger (Werenski, Johnson)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Robinson, Samuelsson, Dahlin · CBJ Werenski, Provorov, Bemstrom, Johnson, Sillinger

  67. P3 8:57Shot by Gaunce, saved by Luukkonen
  68. P3 10:37Shot by Werenski, saved by Luukkonen
  69. P3 10:59Goal by Johnson (Sillinger, Bemstrom)0 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Krebs, Power · CBJ Werenski, Bemstrom, Johnson, Sillinger, Blankenburg

  70. P3 12:10Shot by Texier, saved by Luukkonen
  71. P3 12:12Shot by Kuraly, saved by Luukkonen
  72. P3 14:03Voronkov: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Jokiharju, Cozens, Peterka, Power, Benson · CBJ Werenski, Marchenko, Voronkov, Chinakhov, Blankenburg

  73. P3 15:05Shot by Peterka, saved by Tarasov5v4
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final