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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 19, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

New York Rangers 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 56% of the time.

TOR winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:38Shot by Marner, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 0:56Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Jones
  4. P1 2:41Shot by Robertson, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 5:15Shot by Cuylle, saved by Jones
  6. P1 6:22Shot by Panarin, saved by Jones
  7. P1 7:15Shot by Vesey, saved by Jones
  8. P1 7:16Shot by Goodrow, saved by Jones
  9. P1 8:31Shot by Miller, saved by Jones
  10. P1 8:50Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 12:22Shot by Cuylle, saved by Jones
  12. P1 12:41Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Jones
  13. P1 13:47Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 14:55Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Jones
  15. P1 15:15Shot by Schneider, saved by Jones
  16. P1 16:48Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 19:27Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Jones
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:26Shot by McCabe, saved by Shesterkin
  21. P2 0:56Shot by Knies, saved by Shesterkin
  22. P2 2:02Shot by Panarin, saved by Jones
  23. P2 4:05Shot by Vesey, saved by Jones
  24. P2 4:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P2 4:38Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  26. P2 4:56Shot by Rielly, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P2 5:04Shot by Lagesson, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P2 5:41Shot by Wheeler, saved by Jones
  29. P2 6:11Goal by Zibanejad (Wheeler, Kreider)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, McCabe, Gregor, Kampf, McMann · NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller

  30. P2 6:20Shot by Panarin, saved by Jones
  31. P2 7:32Goal by Matthews (Rielly, Bertuzzi)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Matthews, Timmins · NYR Goodrow, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière

  32. P2 7:59Lagesson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Nylander, Lagesson, Matthews, Timmins, Knies · NYR Pitlick, Goodrow, Vesey, Gustafsson, Schneider

  33. P2 8:45Shot by Panarin, saved by Jones4v5
  34. P2 8:51Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  35. P2 9:23Shot by Panarin, saved by Jones4v5
  36. P2 9:33Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Jones4v5
  37. P2 9:37Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Jones4v5
  38. P2 9:43Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Jones4v5
  39. P2 9:50Goal by Lafrenière (Brodzinski, Gustafsson)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Liljegren, Kampf · NYR Wheeler, Vesey, Gustafsson, Brodzinski, Lafrenière

  40. P2 10:05Shot by Goodrow, saved by Jones
  41. P2 12:26Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Jones
  42. P2 12:46Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  43. P2 12:58Shot by Gregor, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P2 13:30Shot by Kampf, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P2 13:36Shot by Goodrow, saved by Jones
  46. P2 14:22Shot by Rielly, saved by Shesterkin
  47. P2 15:57Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P2 16:22Shot by Timmins, saved by Shesterkin
  49. P2 16:24Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P2 18:20Shot by McCabe, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P2 19:37Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:36Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Shesterkin
  55. P3 1:16Goal by Matthews (McCabe, Nylander)+26 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Knies · NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Fox, Lindgren

  56. P3 1:34Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Jones
  57. P3 1:44Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Jones
  58. P3 1:55Shot by Panarin, saved by Jones
  59. P3 4:12Shot by Knies, saved by Shesterkin
  60. P3 5:09Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Jones
  61. P3 5:23Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Jones
  62. P3 5:46Shot by Panarin, saved by Jones
  63. P3 6:16Shot by Fox, saved by Jones
  64. P3 7:13Shot by Rielly, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 8:08Goal by Schneider (Gustafsson, Wheeler)+31 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Marner · NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Schneider

  66. P3 10:08Shot by Vesey, saved by Jones
  67. P3 10:37Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Shesterkin
  68. P3 12:10Shot by Liljegren, saved by Shesterkin
  69. P3 12:20Shot by Liljegren, saved by Shesterkin
  70. P3 13:42Kampf: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, McCabe, Gregor, Kampf, McMann · NYR Pitlick, Goodrow, Vesey, Fox, Lindgren

  71. P3 15:08Goal by Panarin (Gustafsson, Trocheck)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Lagesson, Gregor, Liljegren · NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Panarin

  72. P3 15:33Shot by Timmins, saved by Shesterkin
  73. P3 15:39Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin6v5
  74. P3 15:40Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin6v5
  75. P3 16:47Goal by Zibanejad (Lindgren, Kreider)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren · NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Lindgren

  76. P3 18:05Shot by Gregor, saved by Shesterkin
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final