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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 23, 2023·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Boston Bruins 2, Minnesota Wild 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 95% of the time.

MIN winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

MIN forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pastrnak–Heinen–ZachaMarchand–Coyle–DeBruskvan Riemsdyk–Frederic–GeekieSteen–Lauko–Beechervan Riemsdyk–Pastrnak–ZachaHeinen–Frederic–GeekiePastrnak–Heinen–GeekiePastrnak–Zacha–FredericLindholm–McAvoyCarlo–LohreiWotherspoon–MitchellMcAvoy–LohreiMitchell–LohreiCarlo–WotherspoonLindholm–LohreiLindholm–Wotherspoon
Eriksson Ek–Kaprizov–Boldy5:300.24–0.003:220.15–0.040:440.07–0.000:350.00–0.000:430.00–0.006:170.29–0.012:090.00–0.031:200.07–0.001:240.32–0.00
Duhaime–Lettieri–Dewar1:570.03–0.002:110.14–0.210:370.17–0.000:500.00–0.003:090.18–0.170:340.13–0.000:530.00–0.000:380.03–0.000:440.02–0.04
Maroon–Foligno–Gaudreau0:500.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:380.00–0.150:490.00–0.001:260.05–0.001:340.00–0.100:330.00–0.150:390.00–0.05
Johansson–Lucchini–Rossi0:560.00–0.001:520.06–0.010:500.00–0.001:040.00–0.002:180.09–0.001:590.02–0.010:390.06–0.00
Maroon–Johansson–Gaudreau1:190.20–0.001:230.00–0.000:590.00–0.001:150.00–0.001:090.00–0.001:210.20–0.09
Foligno–Lucchini–Rossi0:480.00–0.000:320.00–0.160:370.01–0.000:340.00–0.000:490.00–0.171:010.01–0.00
Middleton–Faber6:530.26–0.004:220.08–0.021:100.09–0.041:550.17–0.000:360.00–0.008:530.19–0.021:530.00–0.003:000.11–0.002:030.34–0.040:390.00–0.05
Goligoski–Bogosian0:340.00–0.003:430.10–0.022:310.02–0.261:250.06–0.011:310.00–0.153:400.29–0.205:130.16–0.131:200.00–0.000:580.03–0.010:500.00–0.150:410.06–0.00
Merrill–Mermis2:490.20–0.151:240.08–0.121:220.00–0.162:350.00–0.001:510.07–0.102:390.00–0.192:240.06–0.141:280.00–0.091:300.20–0.09
Bogosian–Middleton0:490.00–0.05
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBoldy FEriksson Ek FKaprizov FMaroon FGaudreau FJohansson FRossi FFoligno FLucchini FLettieri FDuhaime FDewar FMiddleton DFaber DBogosian DGoligoski DMerrill DMermis DFleury GZacha FHeinen FPastrnak FCoyle FMarchand FDeBrusk FFrederic FGeekie Fvan Riemsdyk FSteen FBeecher FLauko FLindholm DMcAvoy DLohrei DCarlo DWotherspoon DMitchell DUllmark G
MINBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brock FaberMIN2627:471:041:4345
Charlie McAvoyBOS3327:050:492:0956
Hampus LindholmBOS3125:110:492:1147
Jake MiddletonMIN2523:240:562:0924
Pavel ZachaBOS2322:380:592:1353
Joel Eriksson EkMIN2722:160:491:59113
David PastrnakBOS1921:501:092:0952
Kirill KaprizovMIN2521:340:521:5993
Matt BoldyMIN2521:130:511:44113
Brandon CarloBOS3020:030:401:4308
Mason LohreiBOS2619:070:442:1102
Brad MarchandBOS2118:480:542:1446
Alex GoligoskiMIN2318:100:471:2221
Marco RossiMIN1617:521:072:4830
Charlie CoyleBOS2317:270:461:2756
Zach BogosianMIN2417:190:431:4032
Danton HeinenBOS1917:050:542:0132
Marcus FolignoMIN1816:360:552:1014
Frederick GaudreauMIN1816:060:542:0133
Parker WotherspoonBOS1616:021:001:3721
Marcus JohanssonMIN1815:420:521:4611
Jake DeBruskBOS2115:000:431:2333
Morgan GeekieBOS1914:430:461:2721
Patrick MaroonMIN1614:400:551:3331
James van RiemsdykBOS1812:480:431:2110
Jon MerrillMIN1412:350:541:4300
Dakota MermisMIN1612:300:471:4300
Trent FredericBOS1811:580:401:3100
Ian MitchellBOS1410:500:461:2920
Connor DewarMIN1610:460:401:1411
Vinni LettieriMIN1210:190:521:4011
Jake LucchiniMIN1310:050:471:5901
John BeecherBOS149:390:411:1105
Brandon DuhaimeMIN139:070:421:1111
Oskar SteenBOS127:150:361:1112
Jakub LaukoBOS76:070:521:1400