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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 31, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

New York Islanders 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 74% of the time.

PIT winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:07Ludvig: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Hinostroza, Ruhwedel, Acciari, Ludvig · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Dobson, Romanov

  3. P1 0:07Martin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Hinostroza, Ruhwedel, Acciari, Ludvig · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Dobson, Romanov

  4. P1 0:25Shot by Barzal, saved by Nedeljkovic
  5. P1 1:54Shot by Cizikas, saved by Nedeljkovic
  6. P1 2:18Goal by Eller (Harkins, Puustinen)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Eller, Pettersson, Harkins, Puustinen · NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Fasching, Dobson, Romanov

  7. P1 5:31Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 6:01Shot by Cizikas, saved by Nedeljkovic
  9. P1 6:30Shot by Mayfield, saved by Nedeljkovic
  10. P1 6:38Shot by Palmieri, saved by Nedeljkovic
  11. P1 7:45Shot by Martin, saved by Nedeljkovic
  12. P1 9:11Shot by Fasching, saved by Nedeljkovic
  13. P1 10:24Shot by Harkins, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 10:39Shot by Graves, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 11:31Crosby: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson · NYI Lee, Gauthier, Dobson, Bolduc, Holmstrom

  16. P1 12:11Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin4v5
  17. P1 12:39Shot by Nelson, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  18. P1 12:44Shot by Nelson, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  19. P1 12:46Shot by Palmieri, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  20. P1 12:49Shot by Nelson, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  21. P1 14:19Shot by Martin, saved by Nedeljkovic
  22. P1 16:05Shot by Reilly, saved by Nedeljkovic
  23. P1 17:17Shot by Carter, saved by Sorokin
  24. P1 17:32Shot by Graves, saved by Sorokin
  25. P1 18:12Shot by Romanov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  26. P1 18:23Shot by Smith, saved by Sorokin
  27. P1 18:24Shot by Smith, saved by Sorokin
  28. P1 18:26Horvat: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Smith, Pettersson, O'Connor · NYI Lee, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson, Romanov

  29. P1 19:07Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin5v4
  30. P1 19:33Holmstrom: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Guentzel · NYI Pageau, Aho, Dobson, Holmstrom

  31. P1 19:59Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin5v3
  32. P1 0:00Period end5v3
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:20Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin5v3
  35. P2 1:49Shot by Nelson, saved by Nedeljkovic
  36. P2 2:20Goal by Acciari (O'Connor)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Smith, Graves, Acciari, O'Connor · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Mayfield, Fasching, Bolduc

  37. P2 2:51Shot by Lee, saved by Nedeljkovic
  38. P2 5:39Shot by Fasching, saved by Nedeljkovic
  39. P2 5:54Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 6:10Shot by Gauthier, saved by Nedeljkovic
  41. P2 7:22Martin: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Hinostroza, Ruhwedel, Acciari, Ludvig · NYI Martin, Cizikas, Barzal, Dobson, Romanov

  42. P2 7:51Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin5v4
  43. P2 8:23Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin5v4
  44. P2 8:32Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin5v4
  45. P2 8:34Romanov: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Smith, Rakell, Guentzel · NYI Cizikas, Pageau, Mayfield, Romanov

  46. P2 8:34Rakell: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Smith, Rakell, Guentzel · NYI Cizikas, Pageau, Mayfield, Romanov

  47. P2 9:22Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  48. P2 10:00Shot by Harkins, saved by Sorokin
  49. P2 10:43Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin
  50. P2 11:04Shot by Nelson, saved by Nedeljkovic
  51. P2 11:56Shot by Dobson, saved by Nedeljkovic
  52. P2 12:07Shot by Puustinen, saved by Sorokin
  53. P2 12:48Shot by Smith, saved by Sorokin
  54. P2 12:58Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin
  55. P2 15:01Shot by Horvat, saved by Nedeljkovic
  56. P2 15:16Shot by Barzal, saved by Nedeljkovic
  57. P2 15:17Shot by Lee, saved by Nedeljkovic
  58. P2 15:18Shot by Lee, saved by Nedeljkovic
  59. P2 15:49Shot by Nelson, saved by Nedeljkovic
  60. P2 16:29O'Connor: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Smith, Graves, O'Connor · NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Gauthier, Bolduc, Holmstrom

  61. P2 19:20Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Nedeljkovic
  62. P2 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 0:27Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  65. P3 1:21Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sorokin
  66. P3 2:14Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 2:41Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  68. P3 3:00Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  69. P3 3:21Shot by Martin, saved by Nedeljkovic
  70. P3 3:23Shot by Cizikas, saved by Nedeljkovic
  71. P3 4:10Shot by Barzal, saved by Nedeljkovic
  72. P3 4:11Shot by Lee, saved by Nedeljkovic
  73. P3 4:41Shot by Horvat, saved by Nedeljkovic
  74. P3 4:50Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin
  75. P3 5:00Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Nedeljkovic
  76. P3 5:20Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  77. P3 7:04Shot by Acciari, saved by Sorokin
  78. P3 7:22Shot by Barzal, saved by Nedeljkovic
  79. P3 10:01Shot by Reilly, saved by Nedeljkovic
  80. P3 10:46Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin
  81. P3 11:58Shot by Smith, saved by Sorokin
  82. P3 12:10Shot by Graves, saved by Sorokin
  83. P3 13:47Shot by Barzal, saved by Nedeljkovic
  84. P3 13:51Goal by Bolduc, unassisted+10 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Eller, Hinostroza, Ruhwedel, Ludvig · NYI Lee, Mayfield, Horvat, Barzal, Bolduc

  85. P3 14:51Shot by Pettersson, saved by Sorokin
  86. P3 16:05Shot by Barzal, saved by Nedeljkovic
  87. P3 16:09Shot by Reilly, saved by Nedeljkovic
  88. P3 16:59Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sorokin
  89. P3 17:49Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin
  90. P3 19:17Goal by Eller, unassisted5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Eller, Guentzel, Pettersson, O'Connor · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  91. P3 19:25Palmieri: Delaying game bench face off violation (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Eller, Ruhwedel, Acciari, Ludvig · NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Gauthier, Bolduc, Holmstrom

  92. P3 19:25Horvat: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Eller, Ruhwedel, Acciari, Ludvig · NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Gauthier, Bolduc, Holmstrom

  93. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  94. P3 0:00Final5v4