Tue, Jan 2, 2024·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Calgary Flames 3, Minnesota Wild 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 52% of the time.
38%
9%
44%
MIN winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:00 | 0.03 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 23:32 | 0.00 | 47.5% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:12 | 0.00 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 22:33 | 0.03 | 41.5% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:15 | 0.32 | 35.6% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:41 | 0.26 | 39.7% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:37 | 0.49 | 41.0% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.75 | 43.9% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:18 | 0.13 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.15 | 35.5% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.33 | 37.8% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.00 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:36 | 0.07 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:18 | 0.00 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10:42 | 0.49 | 89.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:59 | 0.08 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:24 | 0.09 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:12 | 0.00 | 92.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 3.03 | +2.0 | 59:26 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 26:25 | 0.11 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 24:26 | 0.91 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:03 | 0.37 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:46 | 0.36 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:36 | 0.03 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:15 | 0.00 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.16 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.16 | 76.1% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.03 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:11 | 0.28 | 54.7% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.04 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.07 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:10 | 0.34 | 72.6% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:33 | 0.00 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:41 | 0.08 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:21 | 0.00 | 10.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:15 | 0.00 | 11.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:32 | 0.09 | 10.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 2.55 | +0.6 | 59:33 |