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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 6, 2024·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Buffalo Sabres 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 65% of the time.

PIT winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Skinner–Tuch–ThompsonGreenway–Mittelstadt–BensonGirgensons–Robinson–KrebsCozens–Quinn–PeterkaClifton–SamuelssonJokiharju–DahlinJohnson–PowerSamuelsson–DahlinDahlin–PowerClifton–Dahlin
Crosby–Rakell–Guentzel4:080.28–0.071:560.22–0.011:260.22–0.002:050.00–0.063:390.44–0.034:360.34–0.001:290.00–0.060:430.01–0.010:440.00–0.00
Malkin–Smith–Rust0:510.00–0.003:160.03–0.211:180.06–0.102:580.03–0.001:370.00–0.001:440.20–0.10
Carter–Harkins–Acciari2:080.27–0.340:340.04–0.001:240.00–0.070:300.02–0.003:170.07–0.182:330.27–0.16
Eller–Puustinen–O'Connor1:490.00–0.240:370.03–0.002:130.03–0.030:430.10–0.00
Malkin–Rust–O'Connor0:340.00–0.001:100.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Harkins–Acciari–O'Connor1:160.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Eller–Smith–Puustinen0:540.31–0.041:100.31–0.04
Letang–Pettersson6:200.54–0.444:450.05–0.010:550.02–0.000:400.30–0.004:540.15–0.037:290.53–0.221:240.25–0.160:530.00–0.01
Karlsson–Joseph3:060.42–0.181:180.03–0.172:490.32–0.383:070.02–0.104:400.83–0.352:090.00–0.183:040.02–0.10
Ruhwedel–Graves0:510.00–0.012:140.02–0.080:450.00–0.001:500.11–0.092:280.03–0.102:320.05–0.042:150.16–0.06
Letang–Karlsson0:520.22–0.000:430.00–0.040:460.00–0.09
Pettersson–Joseph1:160.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Karlsson–Ruhwedel0:460.10–0.000:490.10–0.000:480.13–0.00
Graves–Joseph0:460.00–0.010:450.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGuentzel FRakell FCrosby FSmith FRust FMalkin FEller FPuustinen FO'Connor FHarkins FAcciari FCarter FPettersson DLetang DKarlsson DJoseph DRuhwedel DGraves DJarry GSkinner FThompson FTuch FPeterka FCozens FQuinn FGreenway FMittelstadt FBenson FKrebs FGirgensons FRobinson FJokiharju DDahlin DSamuelsson DClifton DJohnson DPower DLuukkonen G
PITBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT2726:260:591:4546
Rasmus DahlinBUF3124:110:472:2663
Marcus PetterssonPIT2523:180:561:3936
Erik KarlssonPIT2623:110:542:1853
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2722:590:512:4343
Jake GuentzelPIT2322:230:582:5352
Evgeni MalkinPIT2120:511:001:5433
Sidney CrosbyPIT2220:460:572:5452
Rickard RakellPIT2220:220:562:3162
Jordan GreenwayBUF2720:190:451:2329
Connor CliftonBUF2520:140:492:3421
Tage ThompsonBUF2619:240:451:4363
Alex TuchBUF2419:060:482:0073
Owen PowerBUF2518:360:451:3855
Jeff SkinnerBUF2117:530:511:5643
Henri JokiharjuBUF2817:050:371:1853
Bryan RustPIT2417:030:431:4116
Casey MittelstadtBUF1916:590:541:3654
Pierre-Olivier JosephPIT2416:220:411:1823
Dylan CozensBUF2114:490:421:1323
Lars EllerPIT2113:590:401:2405
Erik JohnsonBUF2213:520:381:0826
Zach BensonBUF1713:420:481:2551
Drew O'ConnorPIT1913:230:421:2021
Noel AcciariPIT1913:220:421:3427
Reilly SmithPIT1613:140:501:3800
Jack QuinnBUF1812:420:421:1831
Jeff CarterPIT1612:080:461:1707
Chad RuhwedelPIT1711:530:421:1704
Ryan GravesPIT1511:520:471:2404
JJ PeterkaBUF1611:120:421:2621
Peyton KrebsBUF1410:220:441:0330
Jansen HarkinsPIT149:390:411:2912
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF178:280:300:5931
Eric RobinsonBUF158:150:331:0230
Valtteri PuustinenPIT95:310:370:5710