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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 9, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

San Jose Sharks 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 84% of the time.

TOR winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Shot by Rielly, saved by Kahkonen
  3. P1 2:59Shot by Rielly, saved by Kahkonen
  4. P1 3:22Shot by Hertl, saved by Jones
  5. P1 3:42Shot by Eklund, saved by Jones
  6. P1 3:55Shot by Benoit, saved by Kahkonen
  7. P1 6:13Shot by Ferraro, saved by Jones
  8. P1 7:06Shot by Benoit, saved by Kahkonen
  9. P1 7:37Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Kahkonen
  10. P1 7:40Shot by Ferraro, saved by Jones
  11. P1 9:23Shot by Giordano, saved by Kahkonen
  12. P1 10:18Shot by Rielly, saved by Kahkonen
  13. P1 11:12Shot by Matthews, saved by Kahkonen
  14. P1 13:22Shot by Brodie, saved by Kahkonen
  15. P1 13:23Shot by McMann, saved by Kahkonen
  16. P1 14:07Shot by Domi, saved by Kahkonen
  17. P1 15:38Shot by Marner, saved by Kahkonen
  18. P1 16:29Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Kahkonen
  19. P1 16:48Goal by Rielly (Nylander, Brodie)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander · SJS Granlund, Duclair, Ferraro, Zetterlund, Emberson

  20. P1 17:05Barabanov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Knies · SJS Burroughs, Bailey, Kunin, Addison, Barabanov

  21. P1 17:22Goal by Matthews (Marner, Nylander)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · SJS Granlund, Carpenter, Ferraro, Rutta

  22. P1 19:08Shot by Duclair, saved by Jones
  23. P1 19:24Shot by Liljegren, saved by Kahkonen
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:45Shot by Knies, saved by Kahkonen
  27. P2 0:54Goal by Marner (McCabe, Liljegren)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Knies · SJS Hoffman, Hertl, Duclair, Ferraro, Emberson

  28. P2 1:12Shot by Brodie, saved by Kahkonen
  29. P2 1:52Shot by Bailey, saved by Jones
  30. P2 2:06Goal by Holmberg (McMann, Kampf)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liljegren, Kampf, Holmberg, Benoit, McMann · SJS Burroughs, Bailey, Kunin, Ferraro, Barabanov

  31. P2 3:13Shot by Duclair, saved by Jones
  32. P2 3:13Shot by Hertl, saved by Jones
  33. P2 4:57Shot by Liljegren, saved by Blackwood
  34. P2 5:41Benoit: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Kampf, Holmberg, Benoit, McMann · SJS Hertl, Duclair, Rutta, Thrun, Barabanov

  35. P2 5:51Shot by Addison, saved by Jones4v5
  36. P2 7:02Shot by Thrun, saved by Jones4v5
  37. P2 7:21Goal by Thrun (Granlund, Duclair)4v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Liljegren, Kampf, Knies · SJS Granlund, Hertl, Duclair, Ferraro, Thrun

  38. P2 8:14Shot by Rielly, saved by Blackwood
  39. P2 8:25Shot by Brodie, saved by Blackwood
  40. P2 8:52Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Blackwood
  41. P2 10:40Shot by Domi, saved by Blackwood
  42. P2 11:17Shot by Nylander, saved by Blackwood
  43. P2 11:25Shot by Liljegren, saved by Blackwood
  44. P2 11:32Shot by McCabe, saved by Blackwood
  45. P2 12:58Shot by Matthews, saved by Blackwood
  46. P2 13:26Shot by Robertson, saved by Blackwood
  47. P2 13:52Shot by Domi, saved by Blackwood
  48. P2 14:03Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Blackwood
  49. P2 14:15Shot by Tavares, saved by Blackwood
  50. P2 14:50Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Blackwood
  51. P2 18:17Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Jones
  52. P2 19:40Shot by Burroughs, saved by Jones
  53. P2 19:54Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Blackwood
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:20Shot by Zadina, saved by Jones
  57. P3 0:25Shot by Eklund, saved by Jones
  58. P3 0:31Shot by Hertl, saved by Jones
  59. P3 1:10Shot by Knies, saved by Blackwood
  60. P3 1:16Shot by Benoit, saved by Blackwood
  61. P3 1:27Goal by McCabe (Marner, Benoit)+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, Knies · SJS Granlund, Duclair, Rutta, Zetterlund, Thrun

  62. P3 1:41Shot by Bailey, saved by Jones
  63. P3 2:21Shot by Ferraro, saved by Jones
  64. P3 3:07Sabourin: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Kampf, Holmberg, Benoit, McMann · SJS Hoffman, Sabourin, Carpenter, Rutta, Thrun

  65. P3 3:11Shot by Rielly, saved by Blackwood5v4
  66. P3 3:58Shot by Marner, saved by Blackwood5v4
  67. P3 4:00Goal by Marner (Rielly, Nylander)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · SJS Hertl, Bailey, Ferraro, Thrun

  68. P3 5:04Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Blackwood5v4
  69. P3 5:54Goal by Robertson (Knies, McCabe)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, McCabe, Holmberg, Robertson, Knies · SJS Granlund, Kunin, Ferraro, Thrun

  70. P3 7:29Shot by Granlund, saved by Jones
  71. P3 8:34Shot by Thrun, saved by Jones
  72. P3 9:48Shot by Ferraro, saved by Jones
  73. P3 11:10Shot by Holmberg, saved by Blackwood
  74. P3 11:18Shot by Liljegren, saved by Blackwood
  75. P3 12:30Shot by Bailey, saved by Jones
  76. P3 14:05Shot by Zadina, saved by Jones
  77. P3 18:34Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Blackwood
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final