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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 12, 2024·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Nashville Predators 6, Dallas Stars 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 88% of the time.

DAL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:49Shot by Suter, saved by Lankinen
  3. P1 2:05Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Lankinen
  4. P1 2:12Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Lankinen
  5. P1 4:22Marchment: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Seguin, Hakanpää, Lindell, Marchment · NSH Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Lauzon, Carrier

  6. P1 5:18Shot by Faksa, saved by Lankinen4v5
  7. P1 5:37Shot by Sissons, saved by Oettinger4v5
  8. P1 6:56Shot by Hintz, saved by Lankinen
  9. P1 8:11Shot by Forsberg, saved by Oettinger
  10. P1 8:19Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Oettinger
  11. P1 12:14Shot by Lauzon, saved by Oettinger
  12. P1 18:17Shot by Carrier, saved by Oettinger
  13. P1 18:24Shot by Lauzon, saved by Oettinger
  14. P1 19:05Shot by Benn, saved by Lankinen
  15. P1 19:14Shot by Lindell, saved by Lankinen
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 2:09Shot by Smith, saved by Oettinger
  19. P2 3:09Shot by Tomasino, saved by Oettinger
  20. P2 4:23Shot by Pavelski, saved by Lankinen
  21. P2 5:51Shot by Fabbro, saved by Oettinger
  22. P2 6:26Shot by Tomasino, saved by Oettinger
  23. P2 7:24Shot by McDonagh, saved by Oettinger
  24. P2 7:36Shot by Pavelski, saved by Lankinen
  25. P2 8:37Shot by Duchene, saved by Lankinen
  26. P2 8:44Shot by Seguin, saved by Lankinen
  27. P2 9:18Shot by Trenin, saved by Oettinger
  28. P2 9:22Goal by Lauzon, unassisted+21 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Seguin, Hanley, Marchment, Harley · NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Gurianov, Trenin, Carrier

  29. P2 11:45Shot by Novak, saved by Oettinger
  30. P2 12:03Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Hakanpää, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson · NSH Josi, Novak, Fabbro, Smith, Evangelista

  31. P2 12:51Benn: High sticking double minor (4 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Benn, Hintz, Robertson, Harley · NSH McDonagh, O'Reilly, McCarron, Lauzon

  32. P2 13:34Shot by Duchene, saved by Lankinen4v4
  33. P2 13:51Goal by Novak (Gurianov, Josi)4v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Seguin, Hakanpää, Lundkvist · NSH McDonagh, Novak, Lauzon, Gurianov

  34. P2 14:54Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Oettinger4v5
  35. P2 15:01Shot by Forsberg, saved by Oettinger4v5
  36. P2 15:42Shot by Josi, saved by Oettinger4v5
  37. P2 16:37Shot by Nyquist, saved by Oettinger4v5
  38. P2 17:33Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Lankinen
  39. P2 18:14Shot by Sissons, saved by Oettinger
  40. P2 18:19Shot by Benn, saved by Lankinen
  41. P2 18:34Shot by Smith, saved by Oettinger
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:11Shot by Pavelski, saved by Lankinen
  45. P3 0:31Shot by Gurianov, saved by Oettinger
  46. P3 1:09Goal by Hakanpää (Duchene, Seguin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Seguin, Hakanpää, Lindell, Robertson · NSH Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Lauzon, Carrier

  47. P3 2:24Shot by Harley, saved by Lankinen
  48. P3 2:51Shot by Sissons, saved by Oettinger
  49. P3 3:29Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Oettinger
  50. P3 3:39Shot by Forsberg, saved by Oettinger
  51. P3 3:40Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Oettinger
  52. P3 3:41Goal by O'Reilly (Forsberg)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Suter, Pavelski, Benn, Harley, Johnston · NSH McDonagh, Schenn, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg

  53. P3 4:10Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Benn, Robertson, Harley, Johnston · NSH Josi, Novak, Fabbro, Smith, Evangelista

  54. P3 4:51Shot by Robertson, saved by Lankinen5v4
  55. P3 7:29Shot by Harley, saved by Lankinen
  56. P3 8:11Goal by Johnston (Lundkvist, Harley)6v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Benn, Robertson, Lundkvist, Harley, Johnston · NSH McDonagh, Schenn, McCarron, Parssinen, Smith

  57. P3 9:39Shot by McDonagh, saved by Oettinger
  58. P3 9:49Seguin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Suter, Duchene, Seguin, Hanley, Robertson · NSH McDonagh, Schenn, Novak, Trenin, Evangelista

  59. P3 10:08Goal by Forsberg (Josi, O'Reilly)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hakanpää, Faksa, Lindell, Steel · NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Sissons

  60. P3 10:31Shot by Schenn, saved by Oettinger
  61. P3 11:05Shot by Evangelista, saved by Oettinger
  62. P3 11:40Shot by Gurianov, saved by Oettinger
  63. P3 12:05Forsberg: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Seguin, Hakanpää, Lindell, Robertson · NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Fabbro

  64. P3 13:06Shot by Seguin, saved by Lankinen5v4
  65. P3 13:19Shot by Nyquist, saved by Oettinger5v4
  66. P3 13:36Goal by Duchene (Robertson, Pavelski)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Duchene, Seguin, Robertson, Lundkvist · NSH McDonagh, Nyquist, McCarron, Lauzon

  67. P3 13:55Shot by Forsberg, saved by Oettinger
  68. P3 14:43Hanley: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Suter, Smith, Faksa, Hanley, Steel · NSH Schenn, Novak, Lauzon, Parssinen, Evangelista

  69. P3 14:57Shot by Sissons, saved by Oettinger4v5
  70. P3 17:27Goal by Nyquist (Josi, O'Reilly)6v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Benn, Duchene, Hintz, Robertson, Harley · NSH McDonagh, Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg

  71. P3 19:29Goal by Parssinen, unassisted6v50 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Benn, Seguin, Robertson, Lundkvist, Harley, Johnston · NSH McDonagh, Schenn, Nyquist, Novak, Parssinen

  72. P3 19:34Shot by Tomasino, saved by Oettinger
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final