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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 13, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Colorado Avalanche 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Colorado Avalanche

5

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 90% of the time.

TOR winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:10Shot by Makar, saved by Jones
  3. P1 1:12Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Jones
  4. P1 4:32Shot by McMann, saved by Georgiev
  5. P1 5:21Shot by Rantanen, saved by Jones
  6. P1 6:23Goal by Domi, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Domi, Liljegren, Holmberg · COL Manson, Girard, Colton, O'Connor, Kiviranta

  7. P1 8:15Shot by Gregor, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 9:57Shot by Matthews, saved by Georgiev
  9. P1 10:17Shot by Marner, saved by Georgiev
  10. P1 10:33Shot by Rantanen, saved by Jones
  11. P1 10:47Goal by Rielly, unassisted+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Marner, Holmberg, Benoit · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Jones, Makar

  12. P1 13:04Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones
  13. P1 14:27Shot by Holmberg, saved by Georgiev
  14. P1 14:57Shot by Giordano, saved by Georgiev
  15. P1 15:00Shot by Holmberg, saved by Georgiev
  16. P1 15:00Shot by Holmberg, saved by Georgiev
  17. P1 15:04Goal by Liljegren, unassisted+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Domi, Liljegren, Holmberg · COL Manson, MacDermid, Olofsson, Jones, Girard

  18. P1 18:04Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Jones
  19. P1 18:11Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Georgiev
  20. P1 18:47Shot by Liljegren, saved by Georgiev
  21. P1 18:54Shot by Marner, saved by Georgiev
  22. P1 19:50Shot by Kampf, saved by Georgiev
  23. P1 19:58Shot by Johansen, saved by Jones
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:28Shot by Drouin, saved by Jones
  27. P2 1:30Shot by Gregor, saved by Georgiev
  28. P2 1:48Shot by Polin, saved by Jones
  29. P2 2:27Shot by Liljegren, saved by Georgiev
  30. P2 3:29Shot by Holmberg, saved by Georgiev
  31. P2 5:17Giordano: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Tavares, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Liljegren · COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  32. P2 5:27Goal by Drouin (Colton, MacKinnon)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, McCabe, Marner, Kampf · COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Colton, Makar

  33. P2 5:27Kampf: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, McCabe, Marner, Kampf · COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Colton, Makar

  34. P2 5:58Shot by Makar, saved by Jones4v5
  35. P2 5:59Shot by Makar, saved by Jones4v5
  36. P2 6:11Shot by Colton, saved by Jones4v5
  37. P2 7:06Shot by Johansen, saved by Jones4v5
  38. P2 8:28O'Connor: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Domi, Marner, Holmberg, Benoit · COL Johnson, Manson, MacKinnon, Jones, O'Connor

  39. P2 8:37Shot by Nylander, saved by Georgiev5v4
  40. P2 8:43Shot by Rielly, saved by Georgiev5v4
  41. P2 8:56Shot by Makar, saved by Jones5v4
  42. P2 11:15Shot by McMann, saved by Georgiev
  43. P2 11:39Shot by Toews, saved by Jones
  44. P2 12:10Shot by O'Connor, saved by Jones
  45. P2 13:13Goal by Rantanen (Girard)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies · COL Manson, MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Girard

  46. P2 15:07Shot by Nylander, saved by Georgiev
  47. P2 18:31Shot by Toews, saved by Jones
  48. P2 18:33Shot by Drouin, saved by Jones
  49. P2 19:28Shot by Nylander, saved by Georgiev
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:28Shot by Nylander, saved by Georgiev
  53. P3 1:57Shot by Polin, saved by Jones
  54. P3 3:01Shot by Malinski, saved by Jones
  55. P3 4:17Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Georgiev
  56. P3 4:58Tavares: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Gregor, Kampf, McMann · COL Johansen, MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  57. P3 5:33Shot by Rantanen, saved by Jones4v5
  58. P3 5:55Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones4v5
  59. P3 6:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones4v5
  60. P3 6:30Shot by Toews, saved by Jones4v5
  61. P3 7:20Shot by O'Connor, saved by Jones
  62. P3 7:35Goal by Cogliano (Manson, O'Connor)+29 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Domi, Liljegren, Holmberg · COL Cogliano, Manson, Girard, O'Connor, Kiviranta

  63. P3 9:15McCabe: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, McCabe, Gregor, Kampf, McMann · COL Toews, Rantanen, Colton, Kiviranta, Malinski

  64. P3 9:20Shot by Makar, saved by Jones4v5
  65. P3 9:35Shot by Colton, saved by Jones4v5
  66. P3 10:13Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones4v5
  67. P3 13:10Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Georgiev
  68. P3 13:15Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Georgiev
  69. P3 14:34Shot by McCabe, saved by Georgiev
  70. P3 16:35Goal by MacKinnon (Rantanen, Drouin)+43 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, McMann · COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  71. P3 16:47Shot by McCabe, saved by Georgiev
  72. P3 19:53Goal by Colton (Johansen, Kiviranta)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Matthews, Gregor, Liljegren, Knies · COL Johansen, Toews, Colton, Makar, Kiviranta

  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final