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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 15, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

San Jose Sharks 0, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 65% of the time.

BUF winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:14Shot by Duclair, saved by Luukkonen
  3. P1 3:16Shot by Ferraro, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 4:25Shot by Bailey, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 4:40Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Kahkonen
  6. P1 5:04Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Kahkonen
  7. P1 9:05Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Luukkonen
  8. P1 11:36Shot by Johnson, saved by Kahkonen
  9. P1 11:55Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Kahkonen
  10. P1 12:48Shot by Robinson, saved by Kahkonen
  11. P1 13:08Shot by Rutta, saved by Luukkonen
  12. P1 13:28Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Kahkonen
  13. P1 15:11Shot by Vlasic, saved by Luukkonen
  14. P1 15:32Shot by Thompson, saved by Kahkonen
  15. P1 17:41Shot by Vlasic, saved by Luukkonen
  16. P1 18:04Shot by Barabanov, saved by Luukkonen
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 3:53Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Kahkonen
  20. P2 4:00Shot by Eklund, saved by Luukkonen
  21. P2 4:37Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Luukkonen
  22. P2 4:55Shot by Vlasic, saved by Luukkonen
  23. P2 5:12Shot by Johnson, saved by Kahkonen
  24. P2 6:08Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Kahkonen
  25. P2 6:31Shot by Sabourin, saved by Luukkonen
  26. P2 9:14Shot by Zadina, saved by Luukkonen
  27. P2 9:17Shot by Hertl, saved by Luukkonen
  28. P2 9:21Shot by Thrun, saved by Luukkonen
  29. P2 9:40Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Kahkonen
  30. P2 10:10Shot by Okposo, saved by Kahkonen
  31. P2 10:45Shot by Thompson, saved by Kahkonen
  32. P2 11:34Goal by Mittelstadt (Okposo, Johnson)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Greenway, Mittelstadt, Johnson, Power · SJS Vlasic, Granlund, Duclair, Ferraro, Eklund

  33. P2 11:51Shot by Power, saved by Kahkonen
  34. P2 12:51Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Kahkonen
  35. P2 13:31Shot by Power, saved by Kahkonen
  36. P2 13:36Zetterlund: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Tuch, Thompson, Power, Benson · SJS Vlasic, Granlund, Duclair, Ferraro, Zetterlund

  37. P2 13:54Shot by Thompson, saved by Kahkonen5v4
  38. P2 14:37Goal by Tuch (Quinn, Mittelstadt)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Quinn · SJS Vlasic, Hertl, Kunin, Ferraro

  39. P2 15:34Johnson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Greenway, Mittelstadt, Johnson, Power · SJS Granlund, Rutta, Zadina, Thrun, Eklund

  40. P2 15:51Shot by Granlund, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  41. P2 18:29Shot by Eklund, saved by Luukkonen
  42. P2 18:51Shot by Hertl, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P2 19:27Shot by Duclair, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P2 19:27Shot by Duclair, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:50Shot by Ferraro, saved by Luukkonen
  48. P3 1:31Shot by Power, saved by Kahkonen
  49. P3 1:40Shot by Barabanov, saved by Luukkonen
  50. P3 3:34Shot by Eklund, saved by Luukkonen
  51. P3 3:55Shot by Barabanov, saved by Luukkonen
  52. P3 4:28Shot by Thompson, saved by Kahkonen
  53. P3 5:40Burroughs: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Clifton, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn · SJS Burroughs, Bailey, Kunin, Zadina, Okhotiuk

  54. P3 5:40Girgensons: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Clifton, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn · SJS Burroughs, Bailey, Kunin, Zadina, Okhotiuk

  55. P3 7:13Shot by Okhotiuk, saved by Luukkonen4v4
  56. P3 7:53Power: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Greenway, Thompson, Johnson, Power · SJS Vlasic, Granlund, Ferraro, Zetterlund, Barabanov

  57. P3 9:55Shot by Zadina, saved by Luukkonen
  58. P3 9:56Shot by Kunin, saved by Luukkonen
  59. P3 11:08Okhotiuk: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Girgensons, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn · SJS Hertl, Burroughs, Okhotiuk, Barabanov, Eklund

  60. P3 12:09Shot by Thompson, saved by Kahkonen5v4
  61. P3 13:21Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Kahkonen
  62. P3 13:39Shot by Peterka, saved by Kahkonen
  63. P3 13:46Shot by Peterka, saved by Kahkonen
  64. P3 13:53Shot by Krebs, saved by Kahkonen
  65. P3 13:54Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Kahkonen
  66. P3 15:08Shot by Greenway, saved by Kahkonen
  67. P3 16:02Shot by Barabanov, saved by Luukkonen
  68. P3 16:34Goal by Greenway (Mittelstadt, Dahlin)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Greenway, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Power · SJS Granlund, Hertl, Duclair, Zetterlund, Barabanov, Eklund

  69. P3 16:47Shot by Robinson, saved by Kahkonen
  70. P3 16:57Shot by Johnson, saved by Kahkonen
  71. P3 17:14Shot by Tuch, saved by Kahkonen
  72. P3 17:27Shot by Tuch, saved by Kahkonen
  73. P3 19:02Shot by Benson, saved by Kahkonen
  74. P3 19:30Shot by Clifton, saved by Kahkonen
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final