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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 27, 2024·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

New York Rangers 7, Ottawa Senators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 60% of the time.

OTT winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:38Shot by Miller, saved by Korpisalo
  3. P1 0:41Shot by Kreider, saved by Korpisalo
  4. P1 1:29Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Korpisalo
  5. P1 2:09Shot by Mackey, saved by Korpisalo
  6. P1 3:03Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Korpisalo
  7. P1 3:33Shot by Kreider, saved by Korpisalo
  8. P1 7:34Shot by Batherson, saved by Quick
  9. P1 7:56Shot by Vesey, saved by Korpisalo
  10. P1 8:29Shot by Giroux, saved by Quick
  11. P1 8:42Shot by Wheeler, saved by Korpisalo
  12. P1 9:15Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Quick
  13. P1 11:43Goal by Tkachuk (Giroux)+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Miller, Schneider, Lafrenière

  14. P1 11:59Shot by Stützle, saved by Quick
  15. P1 13:54Shot by Vesey, saved by Korpisalo
  16. P1 14:30Goodrow: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Chartier, Chabot, Chychrun, Kastelic, Kelly · NYR Pitlick, Goodrow, Vesey, Miller, Schneider

  17. P1 14:30Kastelic: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Chartier, Chabot, Chychrun, Kastelic, Kelly · NYR Pitlick, Goodrow, Vesey, Miller, Schneider

  18. P1 16:04Shot by Giroux, saved by Quick
  19. P1 16:06Shot by Stützle, saved by Quick
  20. P1 16:38Shot by Cuylle, saved by Korpisalo
  21. P1 17:03Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Korpisalo5v6
  22. P1 17:21Shot by Trocheck, saved by Korpisalo5v6
  23. P1 17:23Batherson: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Batherson, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub · NYR Trocheck, Vesey, Panarin, Miller, Kakko, Jones

  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:00Shot by Stützle, saved by Quick
  27. P2 1:15Zibanejad: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Tarasenko, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Miller, Schneider

  28. P2 1:24Goal by Chychrun (Batherson, Chabot)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Chabot, Chychrun, Batherson, Stützle · NYR Trocheck, Goodrow, Miller, Schneider

  29. P2 4:03Shot by Kastelic, saved by Quick
  30. P2 4:33Shot by Wheeler, saved by Korpisalo
  31. P2 4:58Tkachuk: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chychrun, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Fox, Mackey

  32. P2 4:58Mackey: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chychrun, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Fox, Mackey

  33. P2 5:51Goal by Lafrenière (Panarin, Fox)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Joseph, Norris, Sanderson, Zub · NYR Trocheck, Gustafsson, Panarin, Fox, Lafrenière

  34. P2 8:27Joseph: Embellishment (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Joseph, Chychrun, Norris, Pinto · NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Fox

  35. P2 8:27Wheeler: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Joseph, Chychrun, Norris, Pinto · NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Fox

  36. P2 8:33Goal by Kreider (Zibanejad)4v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chabot, Chychrun, Stützle · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Miller, Jones

  37. P2 9:12Goal by Jones (Panarin, Trocheck)4v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Miller, Jones

  38. P2 11:16Goal by Brodzinski (Jones, Cuylle)+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Greig, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · NYR Gustafsson, Brodzinski, Kakko, Jones, Cuylle

  39. P2 13:19Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Quick
  40. P2 13:47Shot by Schneider, saved by Sogaard
  41. P2 14:19Shot by Chabot, saved by Quick
  42. P2 16:54Goal by Wheeler (Zibanejad, Kreider)+8 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Chabot, Joseph, Chychrun, Norris · NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Miller, Schneider

  43. P2 17:00Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Quick
  44. P2 17:05Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Quick
  45. P2 17:36Shot by Schneider, saved by Sogaard
  46. P2 18:05Zub: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chartier, Kastelic, Kelly, Sanderson, Zub · NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Mackey, Lafrenière

  47. P2 18:38Shot by Fox, saved by Sogaard4v5
  48. P2 19:03Shot by Joseph, saved by Quick4v5
  49. P2 19:42Shot by Chabot, saved by Quick4v5
  50. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:29Shot by Chychrun, saved by Quick
  53. P3 2:12Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Sogaard
  54. P3 4:08Shot by Pinto, saved by Quick
  55. P3 4:13Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Quick
  56. P3 4:14Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Quick
  57. P3 4:16Shot by Pinto, saved by Quick
  58. P3 4:31Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Quick
  59. P3 4:41Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Quick
  60. P3 4:47Shot by Chabot, saved by Quick
  61. P3 5:30Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Sogaard
  62. P3 8:02Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Quick
  63. P3 8:39Shot by Miller, saved by Sogaard
  64. P3 8:46Shot by Giroux, saved by Quick
  65. P3 8:50Shot by Chychrun, saved by Quick
  66. P3 10:04Zub: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · NYR Zibanejad, Panarin, Miller, Jones, Lafrenière

  67. P3 10:11Shot by Chartier, saved by Quick4v5
  68. P3 11:27Shot by Panarin, saved by Sogaard4v5
  69. P3 11:54Shot by Fox, saved by Sogaard4v5
  70. P3 13:25Shot by Pinto, saved by Quick
  71. P3 15:18Shot by Chartier, saved by Quick
  72. P3 17:17Goal by Panarin (Lafrenière)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Tarasenko, Chabot, Chychrun, Norris, Tkachuk · NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Mackey, Lafrenière

  73. P3 17:17Chychrun: Misconduct (10 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Tarasenko, Chabot, Chychrun, Norris, Tkachuk · NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Mackey, Lafrenière

  74. P3 17:42Shot by Jones, saved by Sogaard
  75. P3 17:52Goal by Kakko (Brodzinski, Gustafsson)0 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Chartier, Brannstrom, Kastelic, Kelly, Bernard-Docker · NYR Gustafsson, Brodzinski, Kakko, Jones, Cuylle

  76. P3 18:13Shot by Greig, saved by Quick
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final