Sun, Jan 28, 2024·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Los Angeles Kings 3, St. Louis Blues 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 112 | 212 | 09 | 00 | 333 |
| STL | 110 | 213 | 07 | 12 | 432 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:06LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Anze Kopitar, Alex Laferriere · Snap, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 12:51STLNick LeddyAssists: Jordan Kyrou, Colton Parayko · Slap, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 5:39LAKJaret Anderson-DolanSHAssists: Trevor Lewis, Vladislav Gavrikov · Wrist, 0.31 xG2–1
- P2 6:34STLPavel BuchnevichPPAssists: Scott Perunovich, Jordan Kyrou · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–2
- P2 12:07STLJordan KyrouAssists: Scott Perunovich, Robert Thomas · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–3
- P2 18:44LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Trevor Moore, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–3
- OT 1:04STLBrayden SchennGWGAssists: Pavel Buchnevich · Snap, 0.11 xG3–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 0:27STLColton Parayko: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:34LAKTrevor Moore: High sticking2 min
- P2 4:36LAKAlex Laferriere: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:30LAKPierre-Luc Dubois: Slashing2 min
- P2 16:37LAKMikey Anderson: Holding2 min
- P3 2:27LAKTrevor Lewis: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:39LAKKevin Fiala: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Thomas
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Laferriere10:10
xG 0.67–0.14 (82%)attempts 15–3goals 1–1
- Lewis – Turcotte – Kaliyev5:16
xG 0.22–0.10 (70%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- Danault – Fiala – Moore11:13
xG 0.22–0.37 (38%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Grundstrom – Dubois – Anderson-Dolan9:36
xG 0.25–0.54 (31%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson13:55
xG 1.04–0.31 (77%)attempts 20–9goals 1–0
- Gavrikov – Roy13:33
xG 0.25–0.07 (79%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Doughty – Englund2:37
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–3goals 1–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestBuchnevich – Kyrou – Thomas10:43
xG 0.43–0.26 (62%)attempts 8–9goals 2–0
- Walker – Toropchenko – Alexandrov2:00
xG 0.16–0.08 (65%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Schenn – Saad – Neighbours7:52
xG 0.28–0.24 (54%)attempts 4–8goals 0–1
- Sundqvist – Blais – Alexandrov5:05
xG 0.14–0.24 (36%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Scandella – Perunovich9:18
xG 0.38–0.37 (51%)attempts 7–12goals 1–0
- Krug – Kessel11:11
xG 0.28–0.42 (40%)attempts 7–15goals 0–0
- Leddy – Parayko18:35
xG 0.49–0.80 (38%)attempts 14–17goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).