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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 10, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Vancouver Canucks 3, Detroit Red Wings 4 (OT)

Away

Vancouver Canucks

3

Final

Overtime

Home

Detroit Red Wings

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 55% of the time.

DET winsVAN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:45Goal by Raymond (Perron, Petry)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, DeBrincat, Raymond · VAN Cole, Myers, Miller, Pettersson, Suter

  3. P1 1:21Shot by Walman, saved by DeSmith
  4. P1 4:29Shot by Juulsen, saved by Lyon
  5. P1 5:35Shot by Aman, saved by Lyon
  6. P1 6:05Shot by Fischer, saved by DeSmith
  7. P1 6:13Shot by Chiarot, saved by DeSmith
  8. P1 10:08Perron: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Perron, Kane, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Compher · VAN Miller, Di Giuseppe, Hronek, Hughes, Mikheyev, Aman

  9. P1 10:14Shot by Lindholm, saved by Lyon4v5
  10. P1 10:40Shot by Miller, saved by Lyon4v5
  11. P1 10:58Shot by Boeser, saved by Lyon4v5
  12. P1 11:40Hughes: Holding the stick (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen · VAN Joshua, Garland, Suter, Hughes, Mikheyev

  13. P1 11:40Larkin: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen · VAN Joshua, Garland, Suter, Hughes, Mikheyev

  14. P1 12:27Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Lyon
  15. P1 12:31Shot by Zadorov, saved by Lyon
  16. P1 14:15Shot by Petry, saved by DeSmith
  17. P1 14:43Shot by Sprong, saved by DeSmith
  18. P1 15:00Shot by Fabbri, saved by DeSmith
  19. P1 15:08Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by DeSmith
  20. P1 16:04Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Lyon
  21. P1 17:33Zadorov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Kane, Compher, Walman, Seider · VAN Zadorov, Juulsen, Pettersson, Suter, Hoglander

  22. P1 18:30Shot by Kane, saved by DeSmith5v4
  23. P1 19:25Shot by Fabbri, saved by DeSmith5v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:22Shot by Miller, saved by Lyon
  27. P2 1:09Goal by Hoglander (Hronek, Pettersson)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · VAN Hronek, Pettersson, Suter, Hughes, Hoglander

  28. P2 1:29Shot by Fischer, saved by DeSmith
  29. P2 2:45Shot by Sprong, saved by DeSmith
  30. P2 4:11Zadorov: Match penalty (5 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · VAN Zadorov, Juulsen, Pettersson, Suter, Hoglander

  31. P2 4:43Shot by Blueger, saved by Lyon5v4
  32. P2 5:37Shot by Myers, saved by Lyon5v4
  33. P2 6:53Shot by Fabbri, saved by DeSmith5v4
  34. P2 7:57Shot by Joshua, saved by Lyon5v4
  35. P2 8:17Shot by Kane, saved by DeSmith5v4
  36. P2 8:59Shot by Perron, saved by DeSmith5v4
  37. P2 9:03Hronek: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Perron, Gostisbehere, Compher, Larkin, Fabbri · VAN Blueger, Joshua, Hronek, Hughes

  38. P2 11:10Goal by Hronek (Mikheyev, Pettersson)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Compher, Larkin, Fabbri, Seider · VAN Cole, Myers, Miller, Hronek, Pettersson

  39. P2 11:40Shot by Hronek, saved by Lyon
  40. P2 12:38Shot by Sprong, saved by DeSmith
  41. P2 13:27Goal by Pettersson (Suter, Hronek)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Perron, Kane, Chiarot, Compher · VAN Myers, Hronek, Pettersson, Suter, Hoglander

  42. P2 14:11Shot by Seider, saved by DeSmith
  43. P2 14:37Shot by Raymond, saved by DeSmith
  44. P2 15:09Shot by Suter, saved by Lyon
  45. P2 15:29Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Lyon
  46. P2 16:05Shot by Miller, saved by Lyon
  47. P2 17:51Larkin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · VAN Cole, Juulsen, Pettersson, Suter, Hoglander

  48. P2 17:51Raymond: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · VAN Cole, Juulsen, Pettersson, Suter, Hoglander

  49. P2 17:51Hoglander: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · VAN Cole, Juulsen, Pettersson, Suter, Hoglander

  50. P2 17:51DeBrincat: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · VAN Cole, Juulsen, Pettersson, Suter, Hoglander

  51. P2 17:51Cole: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · VAN Cole, Juulsen, Pettersson, Suter, Hoglander

  52. P2 19:41Shot by Hronek, saved by Lyon4v5
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:29Shot by Boeser, saved by Lyon
  56. P3 0:39Hoglander: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Perron, Kane, Chiarot, Compher · VAN Myers, Lindholm, Boeser, Hughes, Hoglander

  57. P3 1:15Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by DeSmith5v4
  58. P3 2:34Goal by Sprong (Kane, Veleno)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Sprong, Veleno, Seider, Raymond · VAN Myers, Lindholm, Joshua, Hronek

  59. P3 3:31Shot by Perron, saved by DeSmith
  60. P3 4:11Shot by DeBrincat, saved by DeSmith
  61. P3 5:38Shot by Cole, saved by Lyon
  62. P3 6:59Shot by Garland, saved by Lyon
  63. P3 7:51Goal by Rasmussen (Walman, Fischer)+30 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Walman, Fischer, Rasmussen, Seider · VAN Hronek, Pettersson, Suter, Hughes, Hoglander

  64. P3 8:19Shot by Sprong, saved by DeSmith
  65. P3 10:48Perron: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Perron, Kane, Chiarot, Compher · VAN Cole, Miller, Lindholm, Boeser, Juulsen

  66. P3 11:45Shot by Lindholm, saved by Lyon4v5
  67. P3 11:46Shot by Miller, saved by Lyon4v5
  68. P3 11:47Shot by Boeser, saved by Lyon4v5
  69. P3 11:48Shot by Miller, saved by Lyon4v5
  70. P3 11:51Shot by Miller, saved by Lyon4v5
  71. P3 12:26Shot by Miller, saved by Lyon4v5
  72. P3 12:41Shot by Miller, saved by Lyon4v5
  73. P3 13:29Shot by Compher, saved by DeSmith
  74. P3 15:27Shot by Lindholm, saved by Lyon
  75. P3 18:15Shot by Chiarot, saved by DeSmith
  76. P3 18:49Joshua: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Copp, Walman, Fischer, Rasmussen, Seider · VAN Cole, Myers, Blueger, Joshua, Garland

  77. P3 18:49Seider: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Copp, Walman, Fischer, Rasmussen, Seider · VAN Cole, Myers, Blueger, Joshua, Garland

  78. P3 18:49Blueger: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Copp, Walman, Fischer, Rasmussen, Seider · VAN Cole, Myers, Blueger, Joshua, Garland

  79. P3 18:49Rasmussen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Copp, Walman, Fischer, Rasmussen, Seider · VAN Cole, Myers, Blueger, Joshua, Garland

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. OT 0:00Period start
  82. OT 0:21Shot by Walman, saved by DeSmith3v3
  83. OT 0:23Hughes: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway (0 min)3v3

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, Raymond · VAN Lindholm, Pettersson, Hughes

  84. OT 0:23Goal by Walman, unassistedother+45 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, Raymond · VAN Lindholm, Pettersson, Hughes

  85. OT 0:23Period end
  86. OT 0:23Final4v4