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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 10, 2024·UBS Arena, Elmont

Calgary Flames 5, New York Islanders 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 71% of the time.

NYI winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Nelson, saved by Markstrom
  3. P1 0:51Shot by Barzal, saved by Markstrom
  4. P1 3:23Shot by Weegar, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 3:47Goal by Weegar (Markstrom, Coleman)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Weegar, Mangiapane, Hanifin

  6. P1 5:56Shot by Weegar, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 5:59Shot by Weegar, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 7:21Shot by Kadri, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 11:08Shot by Dobson, saved by Markstrom
  10. P1 11:25Shot by Horvat, saved by Markstrom
  11. P1 16:34Shot by Coleman, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 18:36Shot by Andersson, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 18:46Shot by Barzal, saved by Markstrom
  14. P1 19:19Shot by Barzal, saved by Markstrom
  15. P1 19:54Shot by Tanev, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:20Shot by Reilly, saved by Markstrom
  19. P2 1:36Shot by Pospisil, saved by Varlamov
  20. P2 2:39Shot by Hanifin, saved by Varlamov
  21. P2 2:54Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Markstrom
  22. P2 3:13Shot by Engvall, saved by Markstrom
  23. P2 4:27Shot by Reilly, saved by Markstrom
  24. P2 5:25Shot by Pelech, saved by Markstrom
  25. P2 6:35Shot by Backlund, saved by Varlamov
  26. P2 7:19Shot by Pulock, saved by Markstrom
  27. P2 7:40Pelech: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal · CGY Kadri, Tanev, Hanifin, Pospisil, Zary

  28. P2 7:52Shot by Hanifin, saved by Varlamov4v5
  29. P2 8:35Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Varlamov4v5
  30. P2 8:38Goal by Huberdeau (Sharangovich, Hanifin)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Aho, Holmstrom · CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Hanifin, Sharangovich, Kuzmenko

  31. P2 8:59Shot by Barzal, saved by Markstrom
  32. P2 9:49Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 11:49Shot by Andersson, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 13:32Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 13:41Shot by Horvat, saved by Markstrom
  36. P2 13:54Shot by Coleman, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 14:03Shot by Andersson, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 14:49Shot by Palmieri, saved by Markstrom
  39. P2 15:16Goal by Weegar (Duehr, Pelletier)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Barzal, Aho, Dobson, Holmstrom · CGY Weegar, Andersson, Rooney, Pelletier, Duehr

  40. P2 16:38Cizikas: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Pachal

  41. P2 16:38Martin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Pachal

  42. P2 16:38Backlund: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Pachal

  43. P2 16:38Mangiapane: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Pachal

  44. P2 17:29Shot by Barzal, saved by Markstrom
  45. P2 17:41Shot by Horvat, saved by Markstrom
  46. P2 18:03Shot by Palmieri, saved by Markstrom
  47. P2 19:02Shot by Barzal, saved by Markstrom
  48. P2 19:33Shot by Coleman, saved by Varlamov
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:14Shot by Palmieri, saved by Markstrom
  52. P3 3:23Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Varlamov
  53. P3 4:00Goal by Nelson (Dobson, Palmieri)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Martin, Palmieri, Nelson, Reilly, Dobson · CGY Kadri, Weegar, Hanifin, Pospisil, Zary

  54. P3 5:35Shot by Dobson, saved by Markstrom
  55. P3 10:23Shot by Cizikas, saved by Markstrom
  56. P3 12:10Shot by Mayfield, saved by Markstrom
  57. P3 12:35Zary: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Pulock, Dobson · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Hanifin, Rooney, Pelletier, Duehr

  58. P3 13:16Shot by Nelson, saved by Markstrom5v4
  59. P3 13:27Shot by Palmieri, saved by Markstrom5v4
  60. P3 13:28Shot by Palmieri, saved by Markstrom5v4
  61. P3 15:50Shot by Nelson, saved by Markstrom6v5
  62. P3 15:59Goal by Coleman, unassisted6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Mangiapane, Hanifin

  63. P3 16:50Shot by Dobson, saved by Markstrom6v5
  64. P3 17:20Shot by Barzal, saved by Markstrom6v5
  65. P3 17:28Goal by Pageau (Barzal)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Martin, Pageau, Reilly, Engvall, Barzal, Holmstrom · CGY Tanev, Huberdeau, Hanifin, Rooney, Sharangovich

  66. P3 18:00Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Markstrom6v5
  67. P3 18:12Shot by Lee, saved by Markstrom6v5
  68. P3 18:20Shot by Dobson, saved by Markstrom6v5
  69. P3 19:00Shot by Palmieri, saved by Markstrom6v5
  70. P3 19:00Shot by Palmieri, saved by Markstrom6v5
  71. P3 19:38Goal by Weegar (Huberdeau, Kadri)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson · CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Andersson, Sharangovich

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final