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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 10, 2024·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Columbus Blue Jackets

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 60% of the time.

CBJ winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:50Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 1:08Shot by Werenski, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 1:53Shot by Kuraly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 2:00Shot by Point, saved by Merzlikins
  6. P1 2:35Shot by Bean, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 2:51Shot by Cernak, saved by Merzlikins
  8. P1 4:03Shot by Danforth, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 4:47Shot by Point, saved by Merzlikins
  10. P1 8:15Shot by Stamkos, saved by Merzlikins
  11. P1 8:17Shot by Point, saved by Merzlikins
  12. P1 8:30Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 11:08Shot by Werenski, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 11:39Shot by Raddysh, saved by Merzlikins
  15. P1 12:42Shot by Cirelli, saved by Merzlikins
  16. P1 12:50Shot by Cernak, saved by Merzlikins
  17. P1 13:32Johnson: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Bean, Marchenko, Voronkov, Johnson · TBL Glendening, Paul, Perbix, Chaffee, Lilleberg

  18. P1 13:53Shot by Stamkos, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  19. P1 14:21Shot by Provorov, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  20. P1 15:37Shot by Hagel, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  21. P1 15:40Goal by Paul (Hagel, Raddysh)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Kuraly, Severson, Werenski, Sillinger · TBL Paul, Raddysh, Hagel, Eyssimont, Barré-Boulet

  22. P1 18:32Shot by Kuraly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 19:29Shot by Cirelli, saved by Merzlikins
  24. P1 19:39Shot by Stamkos, saved by Merzlikins
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:12Shot by Cernak, saved by Merzlikins
  28. P2 0:13Shot by Fleury, saved by Merzlikins
  29. P2 0:49Goal by Cirelli (Hagel, Paul)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Roslovic, Provorov, Texier, Sillinger · TBL Paul, Fleury, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  30. P2 1:00Shot by Voronkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 1:20Shot by Boqvist, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 1:57Shot by Jenner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 2:09Shot by Kucherov, saved by Merzlikins
  34. P2 2:20Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 5:22Cernak: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Severson, Provorov, Chinakhov · TBL Paul, Fleury, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  36. P2 5:36Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  37. P2 7:07Shot by Jenner, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  38. P2 8:09Shot by Danforth, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 8:31Shot by Olivier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 10:35Shot by Paul, saved by Merzlikins
  41. P2 11:25Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 12:59Shot by Hedman, saved by Merzlikins
  43. P2 13:04Shot by Stamkos, saved by Merzlikins
  44. P2 13:28Shot by Hedman, saved by Merzlikins
  45. P2 13:39Shot by Werenski, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 13:43Shot by Kuraly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 13:45Shot by Werenski, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 15:31Shot by Fleury, saved by Merzlikins
  49. P2 16:22Shot by Provorov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 17:45Shot by Glendening, saved by Merzlikins
  51. P2 18:59Shot by Kuraly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 19:50Severson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Severson, Werenski, Marchenko · TBL Hedman, Motte, Paul, Raddysh, Hagel

  53. P2 19:50Raddysh: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Severson, Werenski, Marchenko · TBL Hedman, Motte, Paul, Raddysh, Hagel

  54. P2 19:50Severson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Severson, Werenski, Marchenko · TBL Hedman, Motte, Paul, Raddysh, Hagel

  55. P2 19:57Shot by Stamkos, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  56. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:23Goal by Stamkos (Hedman, Kucherov)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Kuraly, Provorov, Sillinger · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point

  59. P3 0:40Shot by Cirelli, saved by Merzlikins
  60. P3 2:37Shot by Texier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 3:05Hedman: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Kuraly, Werenski, Olivier, Danforth · TBL Hedman, Glendening, Barré-Boulet, Perbix, Chaffee

  62. P3 3:08Shot by Motte, saved by Merzlikins5v4
  63. P3 3:31Shot by Marchenko, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  64. P3 4:33Shot by Werenski, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  65. P3 5:11Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 5:56Shot by Kuraly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 6:23Shot by Kucherov, saved by Merzlikins
  68. P3 6:37Shot by Perbix, saved by Merzlikins
  69. P3 7:05Shot by Chaffee, saved by Merzlikins
  70. P3 7:26Shot by Chaffee, saved by Merzlikins
  71. P3 7:49Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Merzlikins
  72. P3 8:07Shot by Provorov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  73. P3 10:36Shot by Hedman, saved by Merzlikins
  74. P3 10:38Shot by Motte, saved by Merzlikins
  75. P3 11:24Shot by Provorov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  76. P3 11:26Eyssimont: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Provorov, Danforth, Texier, Boqvist, Sillinger · TBL Hedman, Motte, Sheary, Raddysh, Eyssimont

  77. P3 11:26Eyssimont: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Provorov, Danforth, Texier, Boqvist, Sillinger · TBL Hedman, Motte, Sheary, Raddysh, Eyssimont

  78. P3 11:26Provorov: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Provorov, Danforth, Texier, Boqvist, Sillinger · TBL Hedman, Motte, Sheary, Raddysh, Eyssimont

  79. P3 11:26Provorov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Provorov, Danforth, Texier, Boqvist, Sillinger · TBL Hedman, Motte, Sheary, Raddysh, Eyssimont

  80. P3 11:54Shot by Hedman, saved by Merzlikins
  81. P3 12:22Goal by Jenner (Gaudreau, Werenski)+3 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Jenner, Roslovic, Werenski · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh

  82. P3 14:39Motte: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Jenner, Severson, Marchenko, Johnson · TBL Motte, Sheary, Fleury, Cernak, Hagel

  83. P3 14:50Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  84. P3 15:04Shot by Boqvist, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  85. P3 15:08Shot by Glendening, saved by Merzlikins5v4
  86. P3 15:50Goal by Jenner (Gaudreau, Marchenko)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Werenski, Boqvist, Marchenko · TBL Hedman, Sheary, Cirelli, Perbix

  87. P3 18:51Shot by Marchenko, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  88. P3 19:12Goal by Hagel (Kucherov, Cirelli)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Werenski, Boqvist, Marchenko, Voronkov · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  89. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  90. P3 0:00Final6v5