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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 15, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Philadelphia Flyers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 58% of the time.

TOR winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:07Shot by Knies, saved by Ersson
  3. P1 1:08Shot by Walker, saved by Samsonov
  4. P1 1:10Shot by Poehling, saved by Samsonov
  5. P1 5:45Shot by McCabe, saved by Ersson
  6. P1 5:59Walker: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Holmberg, Benoit · PHI Deslauriers, Seeler, Laughton, Konecny, Walker

  7. P1 6:39Shot by York, saved by Samsonov5v4
  8. P1 7:05Shot by Marner, saved by Ersson5v4
  9. P1 7:42Goal by Sanheim (Laughton, Konecny)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Bertuzzi, Domi, Robertson, Knies · PHI Laughton, Sanheim, Konecny, York

  10. P1 8:18Shot by Hathaway, saved by Samsonov
  11. P1 10:04Shot by Atkinson, saved by Samsonov
  12. P1 10:51Shot by Tavares, saved by Ersson
  13. P1 12:16Shot by Marner, saved by Ersson
  14. P1 13:24Shot by Kampf, saved by Ersson
  15. P1 14:43Shot by Zamula, saved by Samsonov
  16. P1 15:47Shot by Konecny, saved by Samsonov
  17. P1 16:10Shot by Frost, saved by Samsonov
  18. P1 17:39Shot by Poehling, saved by Samsonov
  19. P1 18:20Shot by Marner, saved by Ersson
  20. P1 18:44Shot by Matthews, saved by Ersson
  21. P1 0:00Seeler: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Benoit, McMann · PHI Seeler, Laughton, Hathaway, Cates, Walker

  22. P1 0:00McMann: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Benoit, McMann · PHI Seeler, Laughton, Hathaway, Cates, Walker

  23. P1 0:00Period end4v4
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:17Shot by Couturier, saved by Samsonov4v4
  26. P2 1:16Shot by Tippett, saved by Samsonov4v4
  27. P2 3:07Shot by Kampf, saved by Ersson
  28. P2 3:18Shot by Tippett, saved by Samsonov
  29. P2 3:19Shot by Couturier, saved by Samsonov
  30. P2 3:21McCabe: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, Knies · PHI Couturier, Konecny, Tippett, Walker, York

  31. P2 3:48Shot by Konecny, saved by Samsonov4v5
  32. P2 4:40Shot by Drysdale, saved by Samsonov4v5
  33. P2 6:23Shot by Cates, saved by Samsonov
  34. P2 6:24Shot by Cates, saved by Samsonov
  35. P2 9:10Shot by Gregor, saved by Ersson
  36. P2 9:27Shot by Seeler, saved by Samsonov
  37. P2 9:46Shot by Gregor, saved by Ersson
  38. P2 11:06Goal by Matthews (Marner)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren · PHI Seeler, Couturier, Sanheim, Tippett, Cates

  39. P2 11:25Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Ersson
  40. P2 11:59Shot by Tavares, saved by Ersson
  41. P2 12:52Tippett: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Knies · PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Konecny, Tippett, Zamula

  42. P2 13:06Shot by Tavares, saved by Ersson5v4
  43. P2 14:20Goal by Matthews (Marner, Nylander)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · PHI Sanheim, Konecny, Cates, York

  44. P2 15:45Shot by Matthews, saved by Ersson
  45. P2 18:55Goal by Matthews (Liljegren)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Domi, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren · PHI Atkinson, Couturier, Sanheim, Tippett, York

  46. P2 19:13Shot by Poehling, saved by Samsonov
  47. P2 19:31Shot by Laughton, saved by Samsonov
  48. P2 19:43Shot by McMann, saved by Ersson
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:25Shot by Knies, saved by Ersson
  52. P3 0:36Shot by Laughton, saved by Samsonov
  53. P3 4:24Deslauriers: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Benoit · PHI Deslauriers, Couturier, Konecny, York, Drysdale

  54. P3 4:24Benoit: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Benoit · PHI Deslauriers, Couturier, Konecny, York, Drysdale

  55. P3 4:24Deslauriers: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Benoit · PHI Deslauriers, Couturier, Konecny, York, Drysdale

  56. P3 4:24Deslauriers: Instigator misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Benoit · PHI Deslauriers, Couturier, Konecny, York, Drysdale

  57. P3 4:34Shot by Marner, saved by Ersson5v4
  58. P3 5:04Shot by Nylander, saved by Ersson5v4
  59. P3 5:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Ersson5v4
  60. P3 6:17Konecny: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Giordano, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Domi, Marner · PHI Staal, Laughton, Sanheim, Konecny

  61. P3 6:17Giordano: Embellishment (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Giordano, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Domi, Marner · PHI Staal, Laughton, Sanheim, Konecny

  62. P3 6:24Shot by Robertson, saved by Ersson
  63. P3 7:54Shot by Hathaway, saved by Samsonov
  64. P3 9:14Shot by Tippett, saved by Samsonov
  65. P3 9:44Shot by McCabe, saved by Ersson
  66. P3 10:46Shot by Konecny, saved by Samsonov
  67. P3 10:51Shot by Drysdale, saved by Samsonov
  68. P3 11:12Shot by Tippett, saved by Samsonov
  69. P3 11:15Gregor: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Gregor, Kampf, Benoit, McMann · PHI Sanheim, Konecny, Tippett, Poehling, Drysdale

  70. P3 13:05Shot by Sanheim, saved by Samsonov4v5
  71. P3 13:50Shot by Gregor, saved by Ersson
  72. P3 14:12Shot by Cates, saved by Samsonov
  73. P3 14:14Goal by Hathaway (Cates, Seeler)+10 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Domi, Lagesson, Matthews, Liljegren, Knies · PHI Seeler, Hathaway, Poehling, Cates, Walker

  74. P3 14:39Bertuzzi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Benoit · PHI Staal, Atkinson, Konecny, Frost, Zamula

  75. P3 15:10Shot by Farabee, saved by Samsonov4v5
  76. P3 15:15Goal by Konecny (Tippett, Farabee)4v5+32 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Brodie, Marner, Holmberg · PHI Konecny, Tippett, Frost, Farabee, Drysdale

  77. P3 19:07Shot by Marner, saved by Ersson
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. OT 0:00Period start
  80. OT 0:54Goal by Nylander (Liljegren, Marner)3v3+45 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Domi, Nylander, Liljegren · PHI Sanheim, Konecny, Frost

  81. OT 0:54Period end3v3
  82. OT 0:54Final4v4