Thu, Feb 22, 2024·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Vegas Golden Knights 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 79% of the time.
15%
73%
VGK winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:18 | 0.02 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:30 | 0.08 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 19:58 | 0.07 | 49.0% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:11 | 0.03 | 78.4% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 18:40 | 0.02 | 55.7% | +4.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 18:37 | 0.06 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 18:01 | 0.65 | 75.6% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:22 | 0.20 | 57.2% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:19 | 0.21 | 50.6% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:53 | 0.05 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.00 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:38 | 0.50 | 41.1% | +10.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14:32 | 0.59 | 57.2% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:52 | 0.04 | 44.0% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.05 | 39.4% | +10.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 13:39 | 0.68 | 87.4% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.20 | 90.5% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 12:40 | 0.47 | 81.9% | +14.8 |
| W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.04 | −1.0 | 60:00 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:41 | 0.05 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 20:29 | 0.12 | 42.9% | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:45 | 0.00 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.01 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:03 | 0.00 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:38 | 0.01 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.11 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:24 | 0.32 | 35.4% | +2.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 17:39 | 0.44 | 37.8% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.13 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.15 | 40.4% | +2.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:36 | 0.10 | 40.5% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:34 | 0.00 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14:22 | 0.19 | 39.1% | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 11:55 | 0.15 | 34.6% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.05 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:22 | 0.11 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:27 | 0.11 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
| – | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 1.72 | −1.3 | 14:20 | |
| L | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 2.20 | −1.8 | 45:40 |