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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 24, 2024·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

New York Rangers 2, Philadelphia Flyers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 73% of the time.

PHI winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:34Shot by Atkinson, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 2:00Shot by Walker, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 2:06Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 2:18Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 3:00Rempe: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PHI Staal, Deslauriers, Laughton, Poehling, Drysdale · NYR Goodrow, Fox, Lindgren, Cuylle, Rempe

  7. P1 3:00Deslauriers: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PHI Staal, Deslauriers, Laughton, Poehling, Drysdale · NYR Goodrow, Fox, Lindgren, Cuylle, Rempe

  8. P1 3:58Shot by Kreider, saved by Ersson
  9. P1 4:37Shot by Couturier, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 5:12Shot by Schneider, saved by Ersson
  11. P1 6:43Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 6:45Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 6:46Shot by Foerster, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 7:04Shot by Farabee, saved by Shesterkin
  15. P1 7:42Lafrenière: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Hathaway, Sanheim, Poehling, Farabee, Zamula · NYR Trocheck, Gustafsson, Panarin, Schneider, Lafrenière

  16. P1 7:46Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  17. P1 8:03Farabee: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Tippett, Frost, Farabee, Drysdale, Foerster · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Lindgren

  18. P1 8:33Shot by Fox, saved by Ersson4v4
  19. P1 8:44Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Ersson4v4
  20. P1 9:00Shot by Sanheim, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  21. P1 9:35Shot by Poehling, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  22. P1 10:48Gustafsson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Laughton, Farabee, York, Drysdale · NYR Gustafsson, Brodzinski, Kakko, Schneider, Cuylle

  23. P1 11:11Shot by Farabee, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  24. P1 12:40Shot by Trouba, saved by Ersson5v4
  25. P1 14:07Shot by Kakko, saved by Ersson
  26. P1 14:15Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Ersson
  27. P1 15:04Shot by Foerster, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P1 15:40Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ersson
  29. P1 16:11Shot by Seeler, saved by Shesterkin
  30. P1 16:55Shot by Cates, saved by Shesterkin
  31. P1 17:48Shot by Farabee, saved by Shesterkin
  32. P1 18:19Shot by Foerster, saved by Shesterkin
  33. P1 19:31Shot by Kakko, saved by Ersson
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:43Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ersson
  37. P2 0:51Farabee: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Farabee, York, Drysdale, Foerster · NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière

  38. P2 1:53Shot by Panarin, saved by Ersson4v5
  39. P2 3:51Shot by Rempe, saved by Ersson
  40. P2 3:57Shot by Goodrow, saved by Ersson
  41. P2 4:22Shot by Panarin, saved by Ersson
  42. P2 6:16Shot by Couturier, saved by Shesterkin
  43. P2 7:18Shot by Lindgren, saved by Ersson
  44. P2 8:12Shot by Rempe, saved by Ersson
  45. P2 8:47Hathaway: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: PHI Staal, Deslauriers, Laughton, Hathaway, Drysdale · NYR Goodrow, Trouba, Miller, Edstrom, Rempe

  46. P2 11:04Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ersson4v5
  47. P2 11:37Panarin: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Atkinson, Seeler, Couturier, Walker · NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  48. P2 11:56Goal by Lafrenière (Trocheck, Miller)4v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Poehling, Walker, Farabee · NYR Trocheck, Gustafsson, Miller, Lafrenière

  49. P2 12:18Shot by Trocheck, saved by Ersson4v4
  50. P2 13:40Shot by Couturier, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P2 14:34Shot by Frost, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P2 14:52Shot by Sanheim, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P2 19:00Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:35Shot by Cates, saved by Shesterkin
  57. P3 1:54Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin
  58. P3 2:01Shot by Atkinson, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P3 2:11Shot by Atkinson, saved by Shesterkin
  60. P3 2:19Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P3 2:36Goal by Foerster (Laughton, Sanheim)+26 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Deslauriers, Laughton, Sanheim, Zamula, Foerster · NYR Goodrow, Gustafsson, Brodzinski, Kakko, Schneider

  62. P3 2:52Shot by Goodrow, saved by Ersson
  63. P3 4:53Shot by Schneider, saved by Ersson
  64. P3 5:49Shot by Cates, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 6:31Goal by Rempe (Goodrow, Schneider)+29 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Couturier, Walker, Farabee, Foerster · NYR Kreider, Goodrow, Fox, Schneider, Rempe

  66. P3 8:58Couturier: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Farabee, York, Drysdale, Foerster · NYR Brodzinski, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko, Cuylle

  67. P3 10:10Shot by Sanheim, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  68. P3 11:03Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ersson
  69. P3 11:22Shot by Couturier, saved by Shesterkin
  70. P3 12:07Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin
  71. P3 13:06Shot by Poehling, saved by Shesterkin
  72. P3 13:42Shot by Walker, saved by Shesterkin
  73. P3 14:14Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin
  74. P3 15:44Shot by Miller, saved by Ersson
  75. P3 15:53Shot by Couturier, saved by Shesterkin
  76. P3 15:57Miller: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Atkinson, Couturier, Sanheim, Farabee, Zamula · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Vesey, Miller

  77. P3 17:37Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin6v4
  78. P3 19:00Shot by Laughton, saved by Shesterkin6v5
  79. P3 19:20Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin6v5
  80. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  81. P3 0:00Final6v5