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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 24, 2024·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Dallas Stars 2, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Away

Dallas Stars

2

Final

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Carolina Hurricanes

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 70% of the time.

CAR winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:12Shot by Harley, saved by Kochetkov
  3. P1 0:15Shot by Stankoven, saved by Kochetkov
  4. P1 1:20Shot by Lindell, saved by Kochetkov
  5. P1 2:00Shot by Stankoven, saved by Kochetkov
  6. P1 2:16Shot by Bunting, saved by Oettinger
  7. P1 2:25Shot by Necas, saved by Oettinger
  8. P1 5:36Skjei: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Pesce, Bunting, Necas, Drury · DAL Pavelski, Benn, Duchene, Heiskanen, Harley, Johnston

  9. P1 6:53Shot by Aho, saved by Oettinger4v5
  10. P1 10:00Shot by Jarvis, saved by Oettinger
  11. P1 11:27Shot by Slavin, saved by Oettinger
  12. P1 11:43Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Oettinger
  13. P1 13:02Shot by Lindell, saved by Kochetkov
  14. P1 14:43Shot by Necas, saved by Oettinger
  15. P1 16:38Goal by Robertson (Heiskanen, Pavelski)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Jarvis · DAL Pavelski, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen, Harley

  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 2:16Goal by Aho (Fast, Svechnikov)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Fast, Pesce, Aho, Svechnikov · DAL Marchment, Steel, Heiskanen, Dellandrea, Harley

  19. P2 4:10Shot by Bunting, saved by Oettinger
  20. P2 4:22Robertson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Jarvis · DAL Pavelski, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen, Harley

  21. P2 5:54Shot by Skjei, saved by Oettinger5v4
  22. P2 7:14Shot by Martinook, saved by Oettinger
  23. P2 8:15Goal by Johnston (Benn, Heiskanen)+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Bunting, Necas, Drury · DAL Benn, Heiskanen, Harley, Stankoven, Johnston

  24. P2 9:10Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Oettinger
  25. P2 10:48Shot by Aho, saved by Oettinger
  26. P2 11:34Shot by Stankoven, saved by Kochetkov
  27. P2 12:13Shot by Necas, saved by Oettinger
  28. P2 14:57Shot by Robertson, saved by Kochetkov
  29. P2 15:00Shot by Lindell, saved by Kochetkov
  30. P2 15:24Drury: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Skjei, DeAngelo, Bunting, Necas, Drury · DAL Suter, Benn, Lindell, Stankoven, Johnston

  31. P2 15:52Shot by Benn, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  32. P2 17:27Shot by Lindell, saved by Kochetkov
  33. P2 17:51Shot by Drury, saved by Oettinger
  34. P2 18:14Shot by Bunting, saved by Oettinger
  35. P2 18:15Shot by Bunting, saved by Oettinger
  36. P2 19:33Shot by Harley, saved by Kochetkov
  37. P2 19:59Orlov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Orlov, Fast, Aho, Svechnikov · DAL Benn, Heiskanen, Dellandrea, Harley, Johnston

  38. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 4:45Orlov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Orlov, Teravainen, Pesce, Jarvis · DAL Suter, Pavelski, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson

  41. P3 4:47Shot by Pavelski, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  42. P3 8:00Pavelski: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Orlov, DeAngelo, Bunting, Necas, Drury · DAL Suter, Pavelski, Hanley, Hintz, Robertson

  43. P3 8:22Shot by Burns, saved by Oettinger5v4
  44. P3 10:41Shot by Duchene, saved by Kochetkov
  45. P3 13:37Shot by Skjei, saved by Oettinger
  46. P3 14:21Shot by Marchment, saved by Kochetkov
  47. P3 14:34Shot by Burns, saved by Oettinger
  48. P3 19:39Shot by Necas, saved by Oettinger6v5
  49. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  50. P3 0:00Final6v5