Wed, Feb 28, 2024·Madison Square Garden, New York
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, New York Rangers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 09 | 010 | 112 | 131 |
| NYR | 017 | 29 | 24 | 430 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 7:17NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Vincent Trocheck · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P2 14:19NYRAdam FoxPPGWGAssists: Chris Kreider · Snap, 0.19 xG0–2
- P3 3:24CBJCole SillingerAssists: Damon Severson · Snap, 0.24 xG1–2
- P3 19:07NYRChris KreiderENAssists: Artemi Panarin, Jimmy Vesey · Wrist, 0.77 xG1–3
- P3 19:48NYRArtemi PanarinENAssists: Jacob Trouba, K'Andre Miller · Wrist, 0.43 xG1–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 10:59CBJIvan Provorov: Interference2 min
- P2 13:38CBJMathieu Olivier: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 1:52NYRBarclay Goodrow: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:29CBJKent Johnson: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:20NYRIgor Shesterkin: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:32CBJDmitri Voronkov: Fighting5 min
- P3 15:32NYRWill Cuylle: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Trocheck won the faceoff against Jenner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Olivier – Danforth10:14
xG 0.73–0.19 (80%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Nylander – Johnson – Sillinger10:38
xG 0.38–0.23 (63%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Marchenko – Voronkov – Chinakhov9:53
xG 0.38–0.53 (42%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Gaudreau – Jenner – Roslovic11:25
xG 0.58–0.82 (42%)attempts 17–19goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Provorov15:20
xG 1.15–0.30 (79%)attempts 19–14goals 0–1
- Gudbranson – Bean10:41
xG 0.56–0.46 (55%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Werenski2:22
xG 0.11–0.03 (77%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière12:32
xG 0.85–0.42 (67%)attempts 25–15goals 1–0
- Goodrow – Edstrom – Rempe4:55
xG 0.13–0.02 (86%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Vesey – Edstrom2:18
xG 0.08–0.08 (49%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Kakko10:45
xG 0.59–0.70 (46%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Trouba – Miller18:34
xG 0.82–0.98 (46%)attempts 27–16goals 0–0
- Fox – Lindgren15:58
xG 0.78–0.96 (45%)attempts 17–22goals 1–0
- Gustafsson – Schneider12:31
xG 0.30–0.56 (35%)attempts 6–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).