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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 28, 2024·Madison Square Garden, New York

Columbus Blue Jackets 1, New York Rangers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.

NYR winsCBJ wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Merzlikins
  3. P1 2:37Shot by Boqvist, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 3:29Shot by Trouba, saved by Merzlikins
  5. P1 6:04Shot by Kuraly, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 7:19Shot by Trocheck, saved by Merzlikins
  7. P1 7:40Shot by Roslovic, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 9:48Shot by Panarin, saved by Merzlikins
  9. P1 10:07Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 10:59Provorov: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Gustafsson, Panarin, Edstrom, Schneider, Rempe · CBJ Kuraly, Severson, Provorov, Olivier, Danforth

  11. P1 11:07Shot by Trocheck, saved by Merzlikins5v4
  12. P1 11:43Shot by Sillinger, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  13. P1 13:11Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Merzlikins
  14. P1 14:22Shot by Roslovic, saved by Shesterkin
  15. P1 14:32Shot by Provorov, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 14:42Shot by Severson, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 14:59Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Merzlikins
  18. P1 15:27Shot by Johnson, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P1 16:41Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Merzlikins
  20. P1 16:50Shot by Cuylle, saved by Merzlikins
  21. P1 17:51Shot by Kreider, saved by Merzlikins
  22. P1 17:52Shot by Kakko, saved by Merzlikins
  23. P1 17:53Shot by Kakko, saved by Merzlikins
  24. P1 18:12Shot by Panarin, saved by Merzlikins
  25. P1 18:33Shot by Trocheck, saved by Merzlikins
  26. P1 18:38Shot by Miller, saved by Merzlikins
  27. P1 18:44Shot by Miller, saved by Merzlikins
  28. P1 18:57Shot by Vesey, saved by Merzlikins
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:15Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Shesterkin
  32. P2 4:08Shot by Trouba, saved by Merzlikins
  33. P2 4:57Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Shesterkin
  34. P2 7:17Goal by Panarin (Trocheck)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière · CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Severson, Roslovic, Provorov

  35. P2 7:31Shot by Fox, saved by Merzlikins
  36. P2 9:44Shot by Olivier, saved by Shesterkin
  37. P2 9:49Shot by Johnson, saved by Shesterkin
  38. P2 10:43Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 10:44Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 10:45Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  41. P2 11:27Shot by Trouba, saved by Merzlikins
  42. P2 13:06Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Merzlikins
  43. P2 13:38Olivier: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Fox, Lindgren, Edstrom, Rempe · CBJ Gaudreau, Kuraly, Severson, Provorov, Olivier

  44. P2 14:19Goal by Fox (Kreider)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox · CBJ Gudbranson, Jenner, Roslovic, Bean

  45. P2 16:02Shot by Cuylle, saved by Merzlikins
  46. P2 16:42Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Shesterkin
  47. P2 18:32Shot by Kuraly, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P2 18:35Shot by Kuraly, saved by Shesterkin
  49. P2 19:12Shot by Rempe, saved by Merzlikins
  50. P2 19:30Shot by Edstrom, saved by Merzlikins
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:27Shot by Lindgren, saved by Merzlikins
  54. P3 1:52Goodrow: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Goodrow, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière · CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Roslovic, Werenski, Boqvist

  55. P3 2:29Johnson: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Lindgren · CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Werenski, Boqvist, Johnson

  56. P3 2:57Shot by Roslovic, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  57. P3 3:21Shot by Sillinger, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  58. P3 3:24Goal by Sillinger (Severson)4v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Fox, Lindgren · CBJ Gaudreau, Severson, Provorov, Sillinger

  59. P3 5:16Shot by Marchenko, saved by Shesterkin
  60. P3 5:20Shesterkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller, Kakko · CBJ Werenski, Boqvist, Marchenko, Voronkov, Chinakhov

  61. P3 7:23Shot by Marchenko, saved by Shesterkin
  62. P3 8:26Shot by Johnson, saved by Shesterkin
  63. P3 10:06Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Merzlikins
  64. P3 10:39Shot by Sillinger, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 11:24Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Shesterkin
  66. P3 11:34Shot by Jenner, saved by Shesterkin
  67. P3 13:21Shot by Kuraly, saved by Shesterkin
  68. P3 14:01Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  69. P3 15:32Voronkov: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller, Kakko, Cuylle · CBJ Severson, Provorov, Nylander, Voronkov, Johnson

  70. P3 15:32Cuylle: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller, Kakko, Cuylle · CBJ Severson, Provorov, Nylander, Voronkov, Johnson

  71. P3 18:50Shot by Marchenko, saved by Shesterkin5v6
  72. P3 19:07Goal by Kreider (Panarin, Vesey)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Vesey, Panarin, Lindgren, Schneider · CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Werenski, Boqvist, Marchenko, Sillinger

  73. P3 19:48Goal by Panarin (Trouba, Miller)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Panarin, Miller · CBJ Severson, Roslovic, Provorov, Nylander, Chinakhov, Johnson

  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final