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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 2, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

New York Rangers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)

Away

New York Rangers

3

Final

Shootout

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.

TOR winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:43Shot by Fox, saved by Samsonov
  3. P1 2:01Shot by Cuylle, saved by Samsonov
  4. P1 2:37Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 2:48Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 5:44Shot by Brodie, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 6:12Shot by Vesey, saved by Samsonov
  8. P1 6:25Shot by Holmberg, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 6:38Shot by Edstrom, saved by Samsonov
  10. P1 7:07Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 7:28Trouba: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Domi, Nylander, Matthews · NYR Goodrow, Trouba, Miller, Edstrom, Rempe

  12. P1 7:44Shot by Kreider, saved by Samsonov5v4
  13. P1 10:19Shot by Knies, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 10:33Shot by McMann, saved by Shesterkin
  15. P1 10:47Shot by Brodie, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 10:57Shot by Domi, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 11:33Goal by Lafrenière (Fox)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bertuzzi, Domi, Nylander, Lyubushkin · NYR Trocheck, Fox, Lindgren, Edstrom, Lafrenière

  18. P1 14:27Shot by Knies, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P1 14:33Shot by Rielly, saved by Shesterkin
  20. P1 15:40Shot by Vesey, saved by Samsonov
  21. P1 16:05Liljegren: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Bertuzzi, Domi, Marner, Liljegren · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Vesey, Gustafsson, Panarin, Schneider

  22. P1 16:19Trocheck: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Kampf, Benoit · NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  23. P1 17:05Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  24. P1 17:41Shot by Trouba, saved by Samsonov4v4
  25. P1 17:59Benoit: Interference (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Benoit · NYR Goodrow, Trouba, Miller, Lafrenière

  26. P1 18:20Shot by Panarin, saved by Samsonov4v5
  27. P1 19:24Shot by Kreider, saved by Samsonov4v5
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 3:41Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin
  31. P2 3:54Goal by Marner (Matthews)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Lyubushkin, Knies · NYR Vesey, Gustafsson, Brodzinski, Lindgren, Cuylle

  32. P2 4:02Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  33. P2 5:03Goal by Trocheck (Lafrenière, Panarin)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Knies · NYR Trocheck, Gustafsson, Panarin, Schneider, Lafrenière

  34. P2 5:15Shot by Edstrom, saved by Samsonov
  35. P2 6:46Shot by McMann, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 6:47Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  37. P2 8:46Shot by Domi, saved by Shesterkin
  38. P2 8:54Goal by Nylander (Domi, McCabe)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Bertuzzi, Domi, Nylander, Benoit · NYR Trocheck, Gustafsson, Panarin, Schneider, Lafrenière

  39. P2 9:44Shot by McMann, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 10:43Shot by Trouba, saved by Samsonov
  41. P2 11:42Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin
  42. P2 13:45Shot by Kreider, saved by Samsonov
  43. P2 14:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P2 14:48Lindgren: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Knies · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko

  45. P2 16:00Shot by Fox, saved by Samsonov5v4
  46. P2 19:07Knies: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, Knies · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller, Kakko

  47. P2 19:45Shot by Panarin, saved by Samsonov4v5
  48. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:33Shot by Panarin, saved by Samsonov4v5
  51. P3 0:38Shot by Rielly, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  52. P3 1:05Shot by Panarin, saved by Samsonov4v5
  53. P3 3:10Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P3 3:11Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  55. P3 3:54Shot by Trouba, saved by Samsonov
  56. P3 4:10Shot by Kreider, saved by Samsonov
  57. P3 4:19Shot by McCabe, saved by Shesterkin
  58. P3 4:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P3 5:59Shot by Vesey, saved by Samsonov
  60. P3 6:00Shot by Vesey, saved by Samsonov
  61. P3 7:06Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Shesterkin
  62. P3 7:17Goal by Tavares (Jarnkrok, Rielly)+29 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Benoit, McMann · NYR Goodrow, Trouba, Kakko, Schneider, Cuylle

  63. P3 8:27Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Samsonov
  64. P3 10:32Shot by Trouba, saved by Samsonov
  65. P3 10:58Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  66. P3 11:00Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  67. P3 12:27Shot by Domi, saved by Shesterkin
  68. P3 13:16Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Samsonov
  69. P3 14:01Reaves: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Holmberg · NYR Trocheck, Gustafsson, Panarin, Schneider, Rempe

  70. P3 14:01Rempe: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Holmberg · NYR Trocheck, Gustafsson, Panarin, Schneider, Rempe

  71. P3 15:28Shot by Panarin, saved by Samsonov
  72. P3 16:16Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Samsonov
  73. P3 16:36Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  74. P3 16:38Shot by McMann, saved by Shesterkin
  75. P3 17:17Shot by Fox, saved by Samsonov
  76. P3 18:51Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Samsonov5v6
  77. P3 18:53Goal by Trocheck (Lafrenière, Panarin)5v6+43 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bertuzzi, Marner, Matthews, Benoit · NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox, Lafrenière

  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. OT 0:00Period start
  80. OT 1:44Shot by Panarin, saved by Samsonov3v3
  81. OT 2:07Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Samsonov3v3
  82. OT 3:00Shot by Trocheck, saved by Samsonov3v3
  83. OT 4:01Shot by Panarin, saved by Samsonov3v3
  84. OT 4:24Shot by Kreider, saved by Samsonov3v3
  85. OT 4:53Lafrenière: Too many men on the ice (2 min)3v3

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Marner, Matthews · NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Lafrenière

  86. OT 5:00Period end4v3
  87. SO Period start
  88. SO Shot by Panarin, saved by Samsonovother
  89. SO Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkinother
  90. SO Goal by Zibanejad, unassistedother
  91. SO Goal by Marner, unassistedother
  92. SO Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Samsonovother
  93. SO Goal by Domi, unassistedother
  94. SO Period endother
  95. SO Finalother