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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 2, 2024·American Airlines Center, Dallas

San Jose Sharks 2, Dallas Stars 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 89% of the time.

DAL winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:52Shot by Benn, saved by Chrona
  3. P1 1:10Shot by Kunin, saved by Oettinger
  4. P1 1:53Shot by Hintz, saved by Chrona
  5. P1 4:36Shot by Eklund, saved by Oettinger
  6. P1 4:39Goal by Eklund (Kunin, Rutta)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Smith, Faksa, Lindell, Steel, Harley · SJS Kunin, Rutta, Zadina, Thrun, Eklund

  7. P1 4:59Ferraro: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Benn, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen, Harley · SJS Vlasic, Hoffman, Bailey, Ferraro, Sturm

  8. P1 5:11Shot by Duchene, saved by Chrona5v4
  9. P1 6:10Shot by Robertson, saved by Chrona5v4
  10. P1 6:28Shot by Johnston, saved by Chrona5v4
  11. P1 6:29Shot by Benn, saved by Chrona5v4
  12. P1 8:40Shot by Bailey, saved by Oettinger
  13. P1 9:46Shot by Harley, saved by Chrona
  14. P1 10:54Shot by Ferraro, saved by Oettinger
  15. P1 13:39Shot by Stankoven, saved by Chrona
  16. P1 13:51Shot by Dellandrea, saved by Chrona
  17. P1 14:40Okhotiuk: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Smith, Lindell, Marchment, Steel, Harley · SJS Hoffman, Burroughs, Kunin, Sturm, Okhotiuk

  18. P1 15:10Shot by Pavelski, saved by Chrona5v4
  19. P1 16:07Shot by Pavelski, saved by Chrona5v4
  20. P1 16:52Shot by Ferraro, saved by Oettinger
  21. P1 19:45Shot by Lindell, saved by Chrona
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:15Shot by Harley, saved by Chrona
  25. P2 2:27Shot by Smith, saved by Chrona
  26. P2 3:05Shot by Steel, saved by Chrona
  27. P2 3:08Goal by Faksa (Steel, Smith)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Smith, Hakanpää, Faksa, Lindell, Steel · SJS Hoffman, Burroughs, Bailey, Sturm, Okhotiuk

  28. P2 3:45Shot by Robertson, saved by Chrona
  29. P2 3:48Shot by Johnston, saved by Chrona
  30. P2 4:10Shot by Stankoven, saved by Chrona
  31. P2 4:11Shot by Johnston, saved by Chrona
  32. P2 4:14Shot by Johnston, saved by Chrona
  33. P2 4:54Shot by Suter, saved by Chrona
  34. P2 5:29Shot by Dellandrea, saved by Chrona
  35. P2 5:54Shot by Duchene, saved by Chrona
  36. P2 6:11Shot by Zadina, saved by Oettinger
  37. P2 8:50Shot by Kunin, saved by Oettinger
  38. P2 9:04Shot by Dellandrea, saved by Chrona
  39. P2 12:34Dellandrea: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Lindell, Marchment, Dellandrea, Lundkvist · SJS Burroughs, Carpenter, Smith, Addison, Okhotiuk

  40. P2 14:36Shot by Ferraro, saved by Oettinger
  41. P2 16:18Shot by Duchene, saved by Chrona
  42. P2 16:27Shot by Duchene, saved by Chrona
  43. P2 17:08Goal by Zadina (Kunin)+24 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Benn, Heiskanen, Harley, Stankoven, Johnston · SJS Burroughs, Kunin, Zadina, Okhotiuk, Eklund

  44. P2 18:16Shot by Granlund, saved by Oettinger
  45. P2 18:40Shot by Suter, saved by Chrona
  46. P2 19:31Shot by Hintz, saved by Chrona
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 4:05Zadina: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Suter, Smith, Hintz, Robertson, Lundkvist · SJS Burroughs, Kunin, Ferraro, Zadina, Eklund

  50. P3 4:08Goal by Robertson (Heiskanen, Benn)5v4+27 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Benn, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen · SJS Carpenter, Ferraro, Rutta, Sturm

  51. P3 4:36Shot by Okhotiuk, saved by Oettinger
  52. P3 4:47Burroughs: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Suter, Duchene, Lindell, Marchment, Dellandrea · SJS Granlund, Burroughs, Duclair, Zetterlund, Okhotiuk

  53. P3 5:05Shot by Pavelski, saved by Chrona5v4
  54. P3 5:18Shot by Robertson, saved by Chrona5v4
  55. P3 5:52Shot by Benn, saved by Chrona5v4
  56. P3 6:38Shot by Benn, saved by Chrona5v4
  57. P3 7:05Shot by Duclair, saved by Oettinger5v6
  58. P3 7:09Lundkvist: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DAL Suter, Hintz, Robertson, Dellandrea, Lundkvist · SJS Hoffman, Duclair, Ferraro, Zetterlund, Okhotiuk, Eklund

  59. P3 7:09Eklund: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DAL Suter, Hintz, Robertson, Dellandrea, Lundkvist · SJS Hoffman, Duclair, Ferraro, Zetterlund, Okhotiuk, Eklund

  60. P3 9:27Shot by Bailey, saved by Oettinger
  61. P3 10:42Shot by Ferraro, saved by Oettinger
  62. P3 12:02Shot by Rutta, saved by Oettinger
  63. P3 14:04Shot by Bailey, saved by Oettinger
  64. P3 14:05Shot by Carpenter, saved by Oettinger
  65. P3 15:32Shot by Burroughs, saved by Oettinger
  66. P3 17:49Shot by Johnston, saved by Chrona
  67. P3 19:22Shot by Duclair, saved by Oettinger
  68. P3 19:57Shot by Benn, saved by Chrona
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. OT 0:00Period start
  71. OT 1:10Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Oettinger3v3
  72. OT 1:33Shot by Stankoven, saved by Chrona3v3
  73. OT 2:26Heiskanen: Interference (2 min)3v3

    On ice: DAL Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston · SJS Ferraro, Zetterlund, Eklund

  74. OT 2:58Shot by Duclair, saved by Oettinger3v4
  75. OT 4:26Shot by Duclair, saved by Oettinger4v4
  76. OT 4:27Shot by Hakanpää, saved by Chrona4v4
  77. OT 5:00Period end4v4
  78. SO Period start
  79. SO Shot by Robertson, saved by Chronaother
  80. SO Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Oettingerother
  81. SO Goal by Duchene, unassistedother
  82. SO Goal by Duclair, unassistedother
  83. SO Shot by Hintz, saved by Chronaother
  84. SO Shot by Eklund, saved by Oettingerother
  85. SO Shot by Johnston, saved by Chronaother
  86. SO Shot by Granlund, saved by Oettingerother
  87. SO Shot by Stankoven, saved by Chronaother
  88. SO Shot by Pavelski, saved by Chronaother
  89. SO Shot by Hoffman, saved by Oettingerother
  90. SO Goal by Benn, unassistedother
  91. SO Period endother
  92. SO Finalother