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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 7, 2024·TD Garden, Boston

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Boston Bruins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 70% of the time.

BOS winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Reaves–Gregor–KampfTavares–Jarnkrok–McMannBertuzzi–Marner–MatthewsBertuzzi–Domi–NylanderTavares–Domi–NylanderMarner–Matthews–KniesJarnkrok–Marner–MatthewsTavares–Jarnkrok–BertuzziJarnkrok–Domi–McMannNylander–Gregor–KampfBrodie–McCabeRielly–LyubushkinLiljegren–BenoitRielly–LiljegrenLyubushkin–BenoitMcCabe–BenoitBrodie–BenoitMcCabe–LyubushkinBrodie–Liljegren
Marchand–Coyle–DeBrusk1:230.00–0.190:450.02–0.002:260.01–0.020:490.00–0.062:210.01–0.141:090.01–0.051:360.00–0.020:510.00–0.06
Brazeau–Boqvist–Lauko3:210.13–0.011:460.06–0.000:400.00–0.000:420.00–0.002:460.12–0.010:510.00–0.001:120.07–0.000:420.00–0.00
Pastrnak–Heinen–Zacha0:350.00–0.003:040.19–0.030:310.00–0.001:000.07–0.000:450.12–0.000:320.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Pastrnak–Zacha–Frederic0:590.01–0.010:430.06–0.000:450.00–0.000:580.01–0.211:220.06–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Frederic–Geekie0:320.00–0.001:350.15–0.001:310.15–0.000:320.00–0.00
Heinen–Brazeau–Boqvist0:510.00–0.000:390.00–0.040:310.00–0.071:180.00–0.040:310.00–0.07
van Riemsdyk–Geekie–Lauko0:420.00–0.000:450.00–0.040:300.00–0.010:450.00–0.04
Frederic–Geekie–Boqvist0:370.00–0.010:450.08–0.00
Pastrnak–Frederic–Geekie0:410.00–0.050:430.00–0.05
Brazeau–Geekie–Lauko0:480.23–0.030:370.23–0.03
Shattenkirk–Wotherspoon4:140.01–0.011:200.29–0.031:460.13–0.000:360.00–0.070:430.06–0.001:260.23–0.030:580.01–0.012:100.73–0.001:070.00–0.071:330.07–0.001:130.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:350.00–0.01
Grzelcyk–McAvoy0:390.00–0.003:220.01–0.431:230.00–0.031:250.01–0.000:340.00–0.004:230.03–0.182:150.01–0.060:530.00–0.28
Carlo–Lohrei2:210.19–0.012:080.00–0.240:480.07–0.021:250.08–0.001:420.00–0.002:200.19–0.201:270.00–0.040:510.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:440.07–0.00
Grzelcyk–Carlo0:320.00–0.001:390.02–0.020:480.00–0.061:270.00–0.000:340.00–0.020:390.02–0.000:530.00–0.010:480.00–0.06
Carlo–Wotherspoon0:520.00–0.000:510.02–0.021:070.00–0.020:500.00–0.021:410.00–0.020:310.02–0.00
Shattenkirk–Lohrei1:500.00–0.051:120.00–0.050:490.00–0.00
McAvoy–Lohrei0:520.28–0.000:430.15–0.000:450.15–0.000:520.28–0.00
Carlo–McAvoy0:340.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCoyle FMarchand FDeBrusk FFrederic Fvan Riemsdyk FGeekie FPastrnak FZacha FHeinen FBrazeau FBoqvist FLauko FGrzelcyk DMcAvoy DLohrei DCarlo DShattenkirk DWotherspoon DSwayman GMarner FKnies FMatthews FJarnkrok FTavares FMcMann FNylander FDomi FBertuzzi FGregor FKampf FReaves FRielly DLyubushkin DBrodie DMcCabe DBenoit DLiljegren DWoll G
BOSTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brandon CarloBOS2724:320:552:1135
Charlie McAvoyBOS2624:230:562:2033
Jake McCabeTOR2421:200:532:1734
Mitch MarnerTOR2320:510:542:1731
Morgan RiellyTOR2420:510:521:5646
TJ BrodieTOR2220:370:561:4732
Auston MatthewsTOR1919:111:012:1731
David PastrnakBOS1618:411:102:3120
John TavaresTOR2118:330:531:3964
Parker WotherspoonBOS2117:510:511:4433
Pavel ZachaBOS2217:260:481:3044
Ilya LyubushkinTOR2717:240:391:0507
Simon BenoitTOR2317:220:451:4803
William NylanderTOR2117:200:501:4052
Matt GrzelcykBOS2616:570:391:3213
Brad MarchandBOS2116:540:482:2014
David KampfTOR2216:450:461:4616
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2416:140:411:1542
Charlie CoyleBOS2016:090:482:0815
Calle JarnkrokTOR1915:150:481:1712
Kevin ShattenkirkBOS2115:140:441:3142
Mason LohreiBOS2314:530:391:3552
Jake DeBruskBOS2314:510:391:0722
Trent FredericBOS1914:410:461:1712
Morgan GeekieBOS2014:230:431:0552
Tyler BertuzziTOR1814:120:471:2321
Max DomiTOR1713:430:481:2331
Jesper BoqvistBOS1913:350:431:3121
Justin BrazeauBOS1613:050:491:3133
Jakub LaukoBOS1713:010:461:3130
Bobby McMannTOR1412:450:551:3212
James van RiemsdykBOS1412:340:541:4631
Danton HeinenBOS1511:540:481:1543
Noah GregorTOR1711:520:421:2114
Ryan ReavesTOR1510:580:441:1514
Matthew KniesTOR63:180:331:0600