Sun, Mar 10, 2024·United Center, Chicago
Arizona Coyotes 4, Chicago Blackhawks 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 110 | 29 | 117 | 436 |
| CHI | 09 | 422 | 310 | 741 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:09ARIClayton KellerAssists: Nick Schmaltz, Barrett Hayton · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P2 0:11ARIClayton KellerAssists: Nick Schmaltz, Barrett Hayton · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–0
- P2 5:28CHIConnor BedardAssists: Ryan Donato, Reese Johnson · Deflected, 0.00 xG2–1
- P2 6:57CHIColin BlackwellAssists: Joey Anderson, Alex Vlasic · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–2
- P2 10:05CHIConnor BedardPPAssists: Philipp Kurashev, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–3
- P2 13:57ARIDylan GuentherUnassisted · Wrist, 0.17 xG3–3
- P2 17:50CHITyler JohnsonPPAssists: Connor Bedard, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–4
- P3 0:33CHIColin BlackwellGWGAssists: Seth Jones, Jason Dickinson · Wrist, 0.21 xG3–5
- P3 6:51ARINick SchmaltzUnassisted · Wrist, 0.09 xG4–5
- P3 8:00CHIRyan DonatoUnassisted · Deflected, 0.01 xG4–6
- P3 17:24CHIColin BlackwellENAssists: Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.68 xG4–7
Penalties (9)
- P1 4:17ARIJoshua Brown: Tripping2 min
- P1 5:59CHITaylor Raddysh: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:46ARIJack McBain: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:05CHIAlex Vlasic: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:05ARINick Bjugstad: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:09ARINick Bjugstad: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 9:24ARISean Durzi: Holding2 min
- P2 17:41ARILiam O'Brien: Unsportsmanlike conduct bench2 min · PPG
- P3 10:34CHIConnor Bedard: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hayton won the faceoff against Bedard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBjugstad – Kerfoot – Maccelli8:25
xG 0.71–0.22 (76%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Crouse – Guenther – Cooley10:07
xG 0.56–0.26 (68%)attempts 13–13goals 1–0
- Kerfoot – McBain – Maccelli2:10
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Schmaltz – Keller – Hayton10:50
xG 0.71–0.96 (43%)attempts 13–18goals 2–3
Defence pairs
- bestVälimäki – Kesselring16:43
xG 0.91–0.67 (58%)attempts 13–19goals 1–0
- Brown – Soderstrom12:22
xG 0.34–0.72 (32%)attempts 10–20goals 0–2
- Durzi – Moser11:52
xG 0.14–0.86 (14%)attempts 9–12goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBlackwell – Dickinson – Anderson7:46
xG 0.57–0.18 (76%)attempts 11–8goals 2–0
- Foligno – Kurashev – Bedard13:27
xG 1.23–1.13 (52%)attempts 17–16goals 0–1
- Johnson – Sanford – Raddysh9:33
xG 0.26–0.31 (46%)attempts 15–7goals 0–1
- Donato – Entwistle – Johnson7:25
xG 0.18–0.39 (32%)attempts 8–10goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestTinordi – Megna11:20
xG 0.80–0.17 (82%)attempts 12–9goals 1–0
- Jones – Vlasic13:24
xG 1.25–0.95 (57%)attempts 23–14goals 3–1
- Tinordi – Zaitsev3:36
xG 0.20–0.07 (75%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).