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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 14, 2024·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

San Jose Sharks 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 61% of the time.

PIT winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:00Shot by Ferraro, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 3:37Shot by Granlund, saved by Jarry
  4. P1 3:41Rust: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Bunting, Joseph · SJS Granlund, Ferraro, Zetterlund, Thrun, Barabanov

  5. P1 6:37Shot by Ferraro, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 6:50Shot by Vlasic, saved by Jarry
  7. P1 7:07Shot by Pettersson, saved by Chrona
  8. P1 8:06Zadina: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Eller, Karlsson, Smith, Graves, Puustinen · SJS Kunin, Ferraro, Zadina, Thrun, Eklund

  9. P1 8:47Shot by Rust, saved by Chrona5v4
  10. P1 10:28Goal by Acciari (Karlsson, O'Connor)+19 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Pettersson, Acciari, Puustinen, O'Connor · SJS Vlasic, Kunin, Zadina, Thrun, Eklund

  11. P1 10:45Shot by O'Connor, saved by Chrona
  12. P1 11:32Shot by Bemstrom, saved by Chrona
  13. P1 12:21Shot by Ludvig, saved by Chrona
  14. P1 12:32Shot by Sturm, saved by Jarry
  15. P1 12:48Shot by Bunting, saved by Chrona
  16. P1 12:55Shot by Ferraro, saved by Jarry
  17. P1 14:28Shot by Addison, saved by Jarry
  18. P1 14:31Goal by Zetterlund (Addison, Thrun)+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Pettersson, Bunting · SJS Granlund, Zetterlund, Addison, Thrun, Barabanov

  19. P1 16:13Shot by O'Connor, saved by Chrona
  20. P1 16:14Shot by Ludvig, saved by Chrona
  21. P1 16:17Addison: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Rakell, Joseph, Ludvig, O'Connor · SJS Ferraro, Kostin, Addison, Sturm, Bordeleau

  22. P1 16:28Shot by Crosby, saved by Chrona5v4
  23. P1 19:01Goal by Vlasic (Kostin, Granlund)+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Pettersson, Acciari, Puustinen, O'Connor · SJS Vlasic, Granlund, Ferraro, Kostin, Barabanov

  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:09Shot by Crosby, saved by Chrona
  27. P2 0:31Shot by Crosby, saved by Chrona
  28. P2 0:37Bunting: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Pettersson, Bunting · SJS Granlund, Burroughs, Ferraro, Zetterlund, Barabanov

  29. P2 0:37Burroughs: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Pettersson, Bunting · SJS Granlund, Burroughs, Ferraro, Zetterlund, Barabanov

  30. P2 2:24Shot by Malkin, saved by Chrona4v4
  31. P2 2:57Shot by Bunting, saved by Chrona
  32. P2 3:54Shot by Graves, saved by Chrona
  33. P2 4:11Goal by Carter (Bemstrom)+19 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Graves, Acciari, Bemstrom, Ludvig · SJS Bailey, Labanc, Ferraro, Addison, Sturm

  34. P2 4:34Shot by Letang, saved by Chrona
  35. P2 6:17Shot by Karlsson, saved by Chrona
  36. P2 7:08Shot by Ludvig, saved by Chrona
  37. P2 7:14Shot by O'Connor, saved by Chrona
  38. P2 7:33Shot by Addison, saved by Jarry
  39. P2 7:56Shot by Letang, saved by Chrona
  40. P2 8:11Shot by Bunting, saved by Chrona
  41. P2 9:44Shot by Bemstrom, saved by Chrona
  42. P2 10:26Shot by Thrun, saved by Jarry
  43. P2 11:05Shot by Bordeleau, saved by Jarry
  44. P2 11:10Shot by Carpenter, saved by Jarry
  45. P2 11:32Shot by O'Connor, saved by Chrona
  46. P2 11:34Goal by Malkin (O'Connor, Eller)+22 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Eller, Pettersson, O'Connor · SJS Bailey, Carpenter, Smith, Ferraro, Thrun

  47. P2 12:46Shot by Barabanov, saved by Jarry
  48. P2 13:00Shot by Eklund, saved by Jarry
  49. P2 13:11Shot by Ferraro, saved by Jarry
  50. P2 14:12Shot by Smith, saved by Chrona
  51. P2 15:25Shot by Ferraro, saved by Jarry
  52. P2 17:32Shot by Joseph, saved by Chrona
  53. P2 18:13Shot by Ferraro, saved by Jarry
  54. P2 18:42Goal by Kostin (Granlund, Vlasic)+24 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Rakell, Bunting, Joseph, Ludvig · SJS Vlasic, Granlund, Kostin, Zetterlund, Addison

  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:10Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Jarry
  58. P3 1:24Shot by Kostin, saved by Jarry
  59. P3 1:35Shot by Bordeleau, saved by Jarry
  60. P3 2:38Goal by Ludvig (Joseph, Smith)+26 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Eller, Smith, Joseph, Ludvig, Puustinen · SJS Burroughs, Bailey, Carpenter, Labanc, Thrun

  61. P3 4:38Goal by Rakell (Joseph, Ludvig)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Rakell, Bunting, Joseph, Ludvig · SJS Vlasic, Burroughs, Kunin, Zadina, Eklund

  62. P3 7:02Malkin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Rakell, Bunting, Joseph, Ludvig · SJS Kunin, Zadina, Addison, Thrun, Eklund

  63. P3 8:53Shot by Thrun, saved by Jarry4v5
  64. P3 9:43Shot by Labanc, saved by Jarry
  65. P3 9:58Shot by Labanc, saved by Jarry
  66. P3 13:21Shot by Smith, saved by Chrona
  67. P3 14:38Shot by Vlasic, saved by Jarry
  68. P3 15:07Shot by Granlund, saved by Jarry
  69. P3 16:34Shot by Kunin, saved by Jarry
  70. P3 17:49Shot by Eklund, saved by Jarry5v6
  71. P3 18:04Goal by Rust (Letang, Crosby)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Pettersson, O'Connor · SJS Granlund, Zetterlund, Addison, Sturm, Bordeleau, Eklund

  72. P3 18:18Shot by Vlasic, saved by Jarry
  73. P3 18:51Shot by Labanc, saved by Jarry
  74. P3 19:49Shot by Zadina, saved by Jarry
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final