Sat, Mar 16, 2024·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
San Jose Sharks 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 011 | 111 | 119 | 241 |
| CBJ | 19 | 27 | 14 | 420 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:41CBJBoone JennerAssists: Johnny Gaudreau, Damon Severson · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–1
- P2 0:49CBJAlex NylanderAssists: Ivan Provorov, Zach Werenski · Snap, 0.07 xG0–2
- P2 11:48SJSFabian ZetterlundAssists: Mario Ferraro, Mikael Granlund · Deflected, 0.06 xG1–2
- P2 15:03CBJJohnny GaudreauGWGAssists: Alex Nylander, Boone Jenner · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–3
- P3 11:42SJSHenry ThrunAssists: Kevin Labanc · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–3
- P3 18:55CBJAlex NylanderENAssists: Johnny Gaudreau · Wrist, 0.69 xG2–4
Penalties (5)
- P2 2:26CBJJake Christiansen: Cross checking2 min
- P2 5:34SJSKevin Labanc: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 19:37CBJJake Bean: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 9:00CBJKirill Marchenko: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:00SJSKevin Labanc: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Granlund won the faceoff against Jenner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestKostin – Sturm – Bordeleau4:59
xG 0.80–0.00 (100%)attempts 11–2goals 0–0
- Carpenter – Labanc – Barabanov3:19
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Kunin – Zadina – Eklund9:18
xG 0.46–0.25 (65%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Bailey – Sturm – Bordeleau2:06
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurroughs – MacDonald8:33
xG 1.06–0.45 (70%)attempts 14–10goals 0–1
- Vlasic – Thrun11:57
xG 0.52–0.12 (81%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Ferraro – Thrun3:21
xG 0.29–0.03 (90%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Jenner – Nylander12:41
xG 1.00–0.39 (72%)attempts 22–11goals 3–1
- Gaunce – Olivier – Meyer8:32
xG 0.13–0.22 (38%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Texier – Marchenko – Sillinger11:00
xG 0.03–0.70 (4%)attempts 4–14goals 0–0
- Fix-Wolansky – Voronkov – Pyyhtia9:52
xG 0.19–1.02 (16%)attempts 8–18goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Provorov10:03
xG 0.57–0.08 (88%)attempts 17–7goals 1–0
- Gudbranson – Christiansen2:03
xG 0.03–0.02 (57%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Severson – Werenski5:34
xG 0.21–0.23 (47%)attempts 6–6goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).