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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 21, 2024·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Philadelphia Flyers 2, Carolina Hurricanes 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 74% of the time.

CAR winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:48Shot by Burns, saved by Ersson
  3. P1 1:13Shot by Noesen, saved by Ersson
  4. P1 1:56Shot by Laughton, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 2:06Shot by Poehling, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 2:48Shot by Skjei, saved by Ersson
  7. P1 5:12Shot by Brink, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 5:58Shot by Martinook, saved by Ersson
  9. P1 7:52Shot by Lemieux, saved by Ersson
  10. P1 7:56Shot by Slavin, saved by Ersson
  11. P1 9:29Shot by York, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 9:36Shot by Tippett, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 10:05Frost: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Guentzel, Pesce, Aho, Necas, Jarvis · PHI Laughton, Sanheim, Tippett, York, Brink

  14. P1 10:44Shot by Aho, saved by Ersson5v4
  15. P1 11:18Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Ersson5v4
  16. P1 12:41Shot by Martinook, saved by Ersson
  17. P1 12:58Svechnikov: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Kuznetsov, Chatfield, Necas, Svechnikov · PHI Johnson, Cates, Lycksell, Zamula, Foerster

  18. P1 13:39Martinook: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Martinook, Pesce, Aho · PHI Konecny, Tippett, Frost, Farabee, York

  19. P1 13:55Shot by York, saved by Andersen3v5
  20. P1 14:29Shot by York, saved by Andersen3v5
  21. P1 14:47Shot by Farabee, saved by Andersen3v5
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:47Sanheim: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Guentzel, Pesce, Aho, Jarvis · PHI Hathaway, Sanheim, Poehling, York, Foerster

  25. P2 1:39Shot by Attard, saved by Andersen5v4
  26. P2 2:46Shot by Guentzel, saved by Ersson5v4
  27. P2 2:53Shot by Sanheim, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 3:15Shot by Frost, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 3:25Shot by Tippett, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 3:56Goal by Martinook (Necas, Pesce)+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Pesce, Necas · PHI Laughton, Sanheim, Konecny, Tippett, York

  31. P2 4:21Goal by Laughton (Farabee, Brink)+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Kuznetsov, Chatfield, Necas, Svechnikov · PHI Johnson, Laughton, Farabee, Zamula, Brink

  32. P2 7:48Shot by Burns, saved by Ersson
  33. P2 8:36Shot by Poehling, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 9:26Shot by Staal, saved by Ersson
  35. P2 10:43Goal by Chatfield (Aho, Orlov)+21 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Guentzel, Aho, Chatfield, Jarvis · PHI Poehling, Zamula, York, Brink, Foerster

  36. P2 11:02Shot by Pesce, saved by Ersson
  37. P2 11:50Shot by Martinook, saved by Ersson
  38. P2 12:26Shot by Burns, saved by Ersson
  39. P2 12:37Shot by Slavin, saved by Ersson
  40. P2 13:15Shot by York, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 14:50Shot by Necas, saved by Ersson
  42. P2 14:51Shot by Lemieux, saved by Ersson
  43. P2 15:58Shot by Brink, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 16:58Shot by Guentzel, saved by Ersson
  45. P2 19:20Shot by Lemieux, saved by Ersson
  46. P2 19:54Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Ersson
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:07Shot by Poehling, saved by Andersen
  50. P3 0:19Shot by Pesce, saved by Ersson
  51. P3 0:34Shot by Aho, saved by Ersson
  52. P3 1:10Shot by Brink, saved by Andersen
  53. P3 1:59Shot by Lycksell, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 2:09Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Ersson
  55. P3 2:29Shot by Sanheim, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 2:33Shot by Ginning, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 2:46Shot by Foerster, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 4:02Shot by Martinook, saved by Ersson
  59. P3 4:59Shot by Zamula, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 5:55Shot by Konecny, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 5:58Svechnikov: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Martinook, Pesce, Aho, Svechnikov · PHI Johnson, Sanheim, Konecny, Poehling, Foerster

  62. P3 7:17Shot by Skjei, saved by Ersson4v5
  63. P3 7:50Shot by Foerster, saved by Andersen4v5
  64. P3 10:16Goal by Konecny (Frost, Tippett)+31 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce, Kotkaniemi · PHI Konecny, Tippett, Frost, Ginning, Attard

  65. P3 11:13Shot by Farabee, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 13:41Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Ersson
  67. P3 14:33Shot by Tippett, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 15:02Shot by Skjei, saved by Ersson
  69. P3 16:33Shot by York, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 17:14Shot by Konecny, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 17:24Shot by Frost, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 17:46Shot by Attard, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. OT 0:00Period start
  75. OT 0:26Shot by Aho, saved by Ersson3v3
  76. OT 0:49Shot by Guentzel, saved by Ersson3v3
  77. OT 1:28Goal by Jarvis (Burns)3v3+45 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Guentzel, Jarvis · PHI Laughton, Farabee, York

  78. OT 1:28Period end3v3
  79. OT 1:28Final4v4