Fri, Mar 22, 2024·Mullett Arena, Tempe
Seattle Kraken 1, Arizona Coyotes 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 010 | 010 | 16 | 02 | 128 |
| ARI | 011 | 07 | 16 | 12 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 7:40SEARyker EvansAssists: Jared McCann, Jaden Schwartz · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P3 18:52ARIClayton KellerAssists: Nick Bjugstad, Nick Schmaltz · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–1
- OT 4:12ARIDylan GuentherGWGAssists: Logan Cooley · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–2
Penalties (7)
- P1 16:19ARIAlexander Kerfoot: Holding2 min
- P2 0:10ARINick Bjugstad: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:53SEAAdam Larsson: High sticking2 min
- P2 6:50ARIMichael Carcone: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:24SEAWill Borgen: Fighting5 min
- P3 4:24ARIMichael Kesselring: Fighting5 min
- P3 8:32SEAEeli Tolvanen: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beniers won the faceoff against Bjugstad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Tolvanen – Beniers11:17
xG 0.49–0.19 (72%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Tatar – Bellemare – Kartye5:34
xG 0.41–0.17 (70%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Schwartz – Burakovsky – McCann9:49
xG 0.33–0.42 (44%)attempts 10–14goals 1–0
- Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Tanev7:59
xG 0.00–0.31 (2%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDumoulin – Larsson3:16
xG 0.35–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Oleksiak – Borgen12:03
xG 0.56–0.34 (62%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Larsson – Evans14:35
xG 0.45–0.25 (64%)attempts 18–11goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestKerfoot – O'Brien – Carcone7:31
xG 0.20–0.07 (74%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- O'Brien – Carcone – McBain2:15
xG 0.07–0.10 (41%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Schmaltz – Keller12:43
xG 0.33–0.44 (43%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- McBain – Leonard – Maccelli5:53
xG 0.05–0.22 (19%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Dermott – Moser2:09
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Välimäki – Kesselring14:42
xG 0.49–0.71 (41%)attempts 15–17goals 0–0
- Brown – Dermott12:44
xG 0.35–0.74 (32%)attempts 10–19goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).