Tue, Mar 26, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
New Jersey Devils 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.
45%
9%
39%
TOR winsNJD wins
New Jersey Devils
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:29 | 0.00 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:51 | 0.22 | 49.8% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 0 | 20:17 | 0.00 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 20:04 | 0.53 | 59.6% | +37.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:59 | 1.12 | 40.1% | +9.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 19:53 | 0.19 | 51.5% | +54.4 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 19:19 | 0.22 | 47.0% | +54.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:13 | 0.08 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:55 | 0.31 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:45 | 0.02 | 35.6% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:24 | 0.00 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:57 | 0.00 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:39 | 0.13 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:53 | 0.22 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 0 | 9:19 | 0.00 | 41.5% | +31.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:55 | 0.23 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:46 | 0.00 | 28.8% | +22.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:22 | 0.16 | 20.4% | +22.0 |
| W | 45 | 42 | 3 | .933 | 3.67 | +0.7 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 9 | 23:44 | 0.53 | 58.2% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 22:28 | 0.07 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:26 | 0.68 | 61.0% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:23 | 0.06 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:12 | 0.11 | 56.6% | +36.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 20:44 | 0.31 | 54.7% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 19:22 | 0.56 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:47 | 0.02 | 59.3% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.00 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.30 | 60.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:20 | 0.00 | 36.3% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:50 | 0.05 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:54 | 0.08 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 11:22 | 0.47 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:14 | 0.00 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 11:02 | 0.22 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 10:26 | 0.13 | 61.5% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:52 | 0.09 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 19 | 5 | .792 | 2.65 | −2.4 | 59:28 |