Tue, Mar 26, 2024·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Anaheim Ducks 0, Seattle Kraken 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 88% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 04 | 05 | 03 | 012 |
| SEA | 213 | 214 | 09 | 436 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:50SEAEeli TolvanenGWGAssists: Matty Beniers, Jamie Oleksiak · Wrist, 0.22 xG0–1
- P1 16:51SEAJordan EberlePPAssists: Jared McCann, Justin Schultz · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–2
- P2 5:08SEAOliver BjorkstrandPPAssists: Eeli Tolvanen, Matty Beniers · Snap, 0.23 xG0–3
- P2 15:55SEAMatty BeniersAssists: Eeli Tolvanen · Snap, 0.13 xG0–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 16:14ANAJackson LaCombe: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 3:14ANAMason McTavish: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P2 5:46ANARyan Strome: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:27SEABrandon Tanev: High sticking2 min
- P2 18:45ANAAlex Killorn: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:38ANAFrank Vatrano: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beniers won the faceoff against Carlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestLundeström – Leason – Zegras5:24
xG 0.32–0.08 (80%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Vatrano – Zegras – McTavish6:21
xG 0.25–0.06 (81%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Killorn – Terry – Carlsson12:53
xG 0.48–0.51 (48%)attempts 11–12goals 0–1
- Strome – Lundeström – Leason3:08
xG 0.03–0.10 (23%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLagesson – Lindstrom13:46
xG 0.47–0.18 (72%)attempts 18–13goals 0–0
- LaCombe – Mintyukov16:40
xG 0.24–0.89 (21%)attempts 8–22goals 0–1
- Fowler – Zellweger15:49
xG 0.41–1.12 (27%)attempts 11–18goals 0–1
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestKartye – Winterton – Morrison9:11
xG 0.68–0.06 (92%)attempts 16–4goals 0–0
- Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen – Beniers9:24
xG 0.66–0.30 (69%)attempts 9–8goals 2–0
- Gourde – Burakovsky – Tanev9:33
xG 0.35–0.18 (66%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Eberle – Schwartz – McCann11:47
xG 0.17–0.36 (32%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Borgen13:15
xG 0.73–0.30 (71%)attempts 14–12goals 2–0
- Dumoulin – Larsson17:55
xG 0.73–0.33 (69%)attempts 18–6goals 0–0
- Schultz – Olofsson13:45
xG 0.40–0.63 (39%)attempts 14–21goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 88% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).