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Ice Lab

Right wing · #17

Eeli Tolvanen

Nashville Predators Seattle Kraken New York Rangers(traded during the season)
Age
27
Shoots
Left
Height
180 cm
Weight
83 kg
Born
Vihti, FIN
Draft
2017, round 1, #30 (NSH)

Career · 9 seasons

Games
429
Goals
95
Points
193
TOI per game
14:46
xGF% (5v5)
47.4%
Goals above expected
+13.9
ShowAll teamsNashville PredatorsSeattle KrakenNew York Rangers

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2017–18NSH3000012:0730.0%00.536.3%
2018–19NSH4112+213:16250.0%10.654.9%
After a break: 2020–21NSH40111122−1014:486516.9%125.245.5%
2021–22NSH75111223−713:261517.3%613.450.5%
2022–23NSH13224−212:491910.5%01.647.8%
2022–23SEA48161127+1014:599716.5%79.251.2%
2022–23All teams61181331+814:3111615.5%710.950.6%
2023–24SEA81162541−1515:3915310.5%1017.451.3%
2024–25SEA81231235+314:1913716.8%515.646.3%
2025–26SEA78122436−1816:031418.5%1415.840.6%
2026–27NYR6303+313:17837.5%01.839.2%
Total3 teams4299598193−3414:4677612.2%5581.147.4%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.811.250100150200250300350400
10m12m14m16m18m20m50100150200250300350400Game

Player card

Model-based

How 9 seasons compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

2nd line

62nd percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

1st line
  • Goals /600.9074th pct
  • Assists /600.9355th pct
  • ixG /600.7757th pct
  • Goals above expected+13.991st pct

Play-driving

4th line
  • xGF% (5v5)47.4%37th pct
  • CF% (5v5)48.6%47th pct
  • Relative xGF%−2.137th pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.0931st pct

Usage

2nd line
  • TOI per game14:4667th pct
  • PP time share38.8%75th pct
  • Offensive zone starts58.4%59th pct
  • Quality of competition24.4%63rd pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Emil HeinemanMTL/NYI0.75
  2. Alex OvechkinWSH0.71
  3. Nick RitchieTOR0.70
  4. Matthew KniesTOR0.69
  5. Jake NeighboursSTL0.69
  6. Jamie McGinnFLA0.68

Faceoffs

How often Tolvanen wins the draw over 9 seasons, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1578+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

30.4%

21–48 · below the 1578 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

30.5%

Opponents won 50.1% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.9% against them.

Wins above average

−13

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

1.2

69 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

9%11 · −0.936%28 · +1.118%11 · +0.957%7 · +2.350%2 · 0.00%2 · –33%6 · −0.650%2 · +5.2Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone30.8% 12–27
  • Neutral zone27.3% 6–16
  • Defensive zone37.5% 3–5

By strength

  • Even strength30.8% 20–45
  • Power play33.3% 1–2
  • Shorthanded0.0% 0–1

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +14 after a win, −4 after a loss. Each win was worth 0.4 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2020–21616.7%17.1%
2021–2210.0%-4.2%
2022–231225.0%25.9%
2023–243534.3%33.0%
2024–251145.5%47.6%
2025–2630.0%5.0%
2026–2710.0%2.1%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+13.9 goals above expected

020406080100100200300400Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed34.1 km/h46th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph447th pct
  • Hardest shot120.3 km/h42nd pct
  • Distance skated17 km84th pct
  • Offensive-zone time33.1%2nd pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

35.2 km/h22nd pct

▲ +0.5 km/h since 2024–25

343536373821–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 35.0 km/h, 19th percentile (75 games)2022–23: 35.9 km/h, 44th percentile (61 games)2023–24: 35.5 km/h, 33rd percentile (81 games)2024–25: 34.8 km/h, 11th percentile (81 games)2025–26: 35.2 km/h, 22nd percentile (78 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

2.413th pct

▲ +0.4 since 2024–25

024681021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 4.1, 37th percentile (75 games)2022–23: 3.6, 34th percentile (61 games)2023–24: 3.4, 25th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 2.0, 8th percentile (81 games)2025–26: 2.4, 13th percentile (78 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.7 km59th pct

▲ +0.0 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 15.3 km, 33rd percentile (75 games)2022–23: 14.9 km, 23rd percentile (61 games)2023–24: 15.5 km, 48th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 15.6 km, 52nd percentile (81 games)2025–26: 15.7 km, 59th percentile (78 games)

Hardest shot

149.3 km/h90th pct

▼ −2.9 km/h since 2024–25

13014015016021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 155.8 km/h, 94th percentile (75 games)2022–23: 152.6 km/h, 89th percentile (61 games)2023–24: 154.4 km/h, 93rd percentile (81 games)2024–25: 152.3 km/h, 94th percentile (81 games)2025–26: 149.3 km/h, 90th percentile (78 games)

Offensive-zone time

40.1%24th pct

▲ +0.3 points since 2024–25

38%40%42%44%46%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 43.1%, 68th percentile (75 games)2022–23: 44.4%, 79th percentile (61 games)2023–24: 43.7%, 73rd percentile (81 games)2024–25: 39.8%, 21st percentile (81 games)2025–26: 40.1%, 24th percentile (78 games)