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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 29, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New Jersey Devils 2, Buffalo Sabres 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 67% of the time.

BUF winsNJD wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:44Shot by Nosek, saved by Levi
  3. P1 0:58Shot by Cozens, saved by Allen
  4. P1 3:00Goal by Willman (Hughes, Tierney)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Tuch, Jost, Dahlin, Power · NJD Tierney, Willman, Bratt, DeSimone, Hughes

  5. P1 3:57Shot by Mercer, saved by Levi
  6. P1 7:46Shot by Power, saved by Allen
  7. P1 7:50Shot by Peterka, saved by Allen
  8. P1 8:51Shot by Skinner, saved by Allen
  9. P1 10:31Goal by Bratt (Hischier, Meier)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · NJD Meier, Marino, Bratt, Hischier, Bahl

  10. P1 11:29Shot by DeSimone, saved by Levi
  11. P1 13:32Shot by Tuch, saved by Allen
  12. P1 14:16Shot by DeSimone, saved by Levi
  13. P1 14:24Shot by Haula, saved by Levi
  14. P1 14:32Shot by Haula, saved by Levi
  15. P1 14:37Shot by Haula, saved by Levi
  16. P1 15:04Byram: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Jokiharju, Byram, Cozens, Quinn · NJD Haula, Hughes, Holtz, Hughes, Nemec

  17. P1 15:10Shot by Hughes, saved by Levi4v5
  18. P1 15:49Shot by Nemec, saved by Levi4v5
  19. P1 16:38Tuch: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Tuch, Jokiharju, Benson · NJD Meier, Hischier, Hughes, Mercer, Hughes

  20. P1 19:15Shot by Girgensons, saved by Allen
  21. P1 19:18Shot by Girgensons, saved by Allen
  22. P1 19:19Shot by Olofsson, saved by Allen
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:28Goal by Thompson, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · NJD Meier, Marino, Bratt, Hischier, Bahl

  26. P2 1:08Shot by Skinner, saved by Allen
  27. P2 3:31Shot by Peterka, saved by Allen
  28. P2 4:11Shot by Mercer, saved by Levi
  29. P2 4:15Shot by Hughes, saved by Levi
  30. P2 4:19Shot by Hughes, saved by Levi
  31. P2 7:23Shot by Nosek, saved by Levi
  32. P2 11:12Shot by Byram, saved by Allen
  33. P2 11:56Shot by Bahl, saved by Levi
  34. P2 12:21Shot by Clifton, saved by Allen
  35. P2 12:35Shot by Palat, saved by Levi
  36. P2 13:32Shot by Peterka, saved by Allen
  37. P2 14:37Shot by Hughes, saved by Levi
  38. P2 14:41Cozens: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bryson, Byram, Cozens, Quinn, Benson · NJD Haula, DeSimone, Hughes, Holtz, Hughes

  39. P2 16:44Shot by Haula, saved by Levi
  40. P2 17:09Shot by Bratt, saved by Levi
  41. P2 17:10Shot by Bratt, saved by Levi
  42. P2 17:11Shot by Bratt, saved by Levi
  43. P2 17:12Shot by Bratt, saved by Levi
  44. P2 17:29Goal by Thompson (Tuch)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Byram, Peterka · NJD Meier, Marino, Bratt, Hischier, Bahl

  45. P2 18:37Shot by Skinner, saved by Allen
  46. P2 19:19Shot by Cozens, saved by Allen
  47. P2 19:27Shot by Power, saved by Allen
  48. P2 19:43Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Allen
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:33Shot by Tuch, saved by Allen
  52. P3 1:58Shot by Clifton, saved by Allen
  53. P3 2:11Shot by Olofsson, saved by Allen
  54. P3 2:12Shot by Jost, saved by Allen
  55. P3 3:41Shot by Benson, saved by Allen
  56. P3 4:52Shot by Hughes, saved by Levi
  57. P3 6:02Shot by Peterka, saved by Allen
  58. P3 7:49Shot by Mercer, saved by Levi
  59. P3 9:21Shot by Thompson, saved by Allen
  60. P3 11:02Shot by Hughes, saved by Levi
  61. P3 11:26Shot by Hughes, saved by Levi
  62. P3 12:51Shot by Power, saved by Allen
  63. P3 12:56Shot by Dahlin, saved by Allen
  64. P3 14:51Shot by Byram, saved by Allen
  65. P3 14:52Shot by Greenway, saved by Allen
  66. P3 14:53Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Allen
  67. P3 15:17Shot by Thompson, saved by Allen
  68. P3 15:24Shot by Dahlin, saved by Allen
  69. P3 15:26Goal by Thompson (Dahlin, Tuch)+37 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · NJD Haula, Lazar, DeSimone, Hughes, Hughes

  70. P3 18:28Shot by Hischier, saved by Levi5v6
  71. P3 19:22Goal by Peterka (Cozens, Power)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Dahlin, Cozens, Peterka, Power · NJD Palat, Meier, Bratt, Hischier, Hughes, Hughes

  72. P3 19:43Shot by Hughes, saved by Levi5v6
  73. P3 19:44Shot by Hughes, saved by Levi5v6
  74. P3 19:54Goal by Thompson (Jokiharju)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Jokiharju, Byram · NJD Palat, Meier, Bratt, Hischier, Hughes, Hughes

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final