Sat, Mar 30, 2024·Mullett Arena, Tempe
New York Rangers 8, Arizona Coyotes 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 112 | 28 | 512 | 832 |
| ARI | 011 | 311 | 210 | 532 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:15NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Artemi Panarin, Ryan Lindgren · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–0
- P2 1:59NYRRyan LindgrenAssists: Adam Fox, Alexis Lafrenière · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–0
- P2 6:27ARIMatias MaccelliAssists: Jack McBain, Josh Doan · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–1
- P2 6:45NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Vincent Trocheck, Artemi Panarin · Backhand, 0.14 xG3–1
- P2 11:06ARIClayton KellerAssists: Nick Schmaltz · Backhand, 0.17 xG3–2
- P2 19:18ARINick BjugstadAssists: Nick Schmaltz · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–3
- P3 5:45NYRChris KreiderAssists: Jack Roslovic, Ryan Lindgren · Tip-in, 0.14 xG4–3
- P3 7:16NYRZac JonesAssists: Alexis Lafrenière, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.08 xG5–3
- P3 9:33NYRBarclay GoodrowSHGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.19 xG6–3
- P3 12:21ARILawson CrousePPAssists: Logan Cooley, Nick Bjugstad · Snap, 0.16 xG6–4
- P3 14:26ARILogan CooleyAssists: Juuso Välimäki, Matias Maccelli · Slap, 0.05 xG6–5
- P3 17:35NYRArtemi PanarinENAssists: Kaapo Kakko · Wrist, 0.69 xG7–5
- P3 19:45NYRAlexis LafrenièreENAssists: Vincent Trocheck, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.62 xG8–5
Penalties (3)
- P1 15:43NYRBarclay Goodrow: High sticking2 min
- P3 8:03NYRRyan Lindgren: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:50NYRZac Jones: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Bjugstad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière13:31
xG 0.93–0.56 (62%)attempts 12–12goals 4–1
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Roslovic11:43
xG 0.47–0.20 (70%)attempts 20–6goals 1–1
- Brodzinski – Wennberg – Kakko9:19
xG 0.26–0.47 (36%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Goodrow – Vesey – Cuylle8:30
xG 0.18–0.47 (28%)attempts 3–15goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren16:35
xG 0.95–0.26 (78%)attempts 18–7goals 3–0
- Trouba – Miller17:51
xG 0.59–0.77 (43%)attempts 16–19goals 1–2
- Jones – Schneider14:33
xG 0.47–0.76 (38%)attempts 9–20goals 1–1
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestCrouse – Guenther – Cooley11:31
xG 0.41–0.15 (73%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Kerfoot – O'Brien – Carcone6:04
xG 0.27–0.28 (49%)attempts 9–2goals 0–2
- McBain – Maccelli – Doan9:17
xG 0.15–0.35 (30%)attempts 8–10goals 0–1
- Bjugstad – Schmaltz – Keller14:29
xG 0.37–0.74 (33%)attempts 11–15goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestVälimäki – Kesselring15:40
xG 0.56–0.25 (69%)attempts 17–6goals 1–0
- Durzi – Moser18:54
xG 0.60–0.52 (54%)attempts 13–13goals 1–1
- Brown – Dermott12:09
xG 0.15–1.17 (11%)attempts 6–22goals 0–4
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).