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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 30, 2024·Ball Arena, Denver

Nashville Predators 4, Colorado Avalanche 7

Away

Nashville Predators

4

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 77% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:11Shot by Trenin, saved by Lankinen
  3. P1 1:15Shot by Zucker, saved by Georgiev
  4. P1 2:37Shot by Novak, saved by Georgiev
  5. P1 3:06Shot by Forsberg, saved by Georgiev
  6. P1 3:41Goal by Smith (Nyquist, McCarron)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Parise, Wood, MacKinnon, Toews, Makar · NSH Nyquist, McCarron, Lauzon, Stastney, Smith

  7. P1 4:08Shot by Sissons, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 5:07Shot by Wood, saved by Lankinen
  9. P1 5:25Goal by Drouin (MacKinnon, Rantanen)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Girard · NSH Josi, McCarron, Fabbro, Sherwood, Smith

  10. P1 7:18Shot by Parise, saved by Lankinen
  11. P1 7:19Shot by Parise, saved by Lankinen
  12. P1 7:31Shot by Evangelista, saved by Georgiev
  13. P1 7:33Shot by Novak, saved by Georgiev
  14. P1 8:56Shot by Drouin, saved by Lankinen
  15. P1 9:09Shot by Toews, saved by Lankinen
  16. P1 9:16MacKinnon: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Walker · NSH McDonagh, Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg

  17. P1 9:47Shot by Trenin, saved by Lankinen4v5
  18. P1 9:49Shot by Walker, saved by Lankinen4v5
  19. P1 10:08Wood: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Manson, Wood, Lehkonen, Girard · NSH McDonagh, Zucker, Sissons, Novak, Evangelista

  20. P1 10:34O'Reilly: Hooking (2 min)3v5

    On ice: COL Cogliano, Manson, Toews · NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Sissons

  21. P1 11:38Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lankinen4v4
  22. P1 12:20Shot by Rantanen, saved by Lankinen5v4
  23. P1 13:02Goal by Jankowski (Novak)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Parise, Drouin, Toews, Colton, Walker · NSH Schenn, Jankowski, Novak, Stastney, Evangelista

  24. P1 13:43Goal by Fabbro (Zucker, Sherwood)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Lehkonen, Duhaime, Mittelstadt, Makar · NSH Josi, Zucker, Fabbro, Glass, Sherwood

  25. P1 14:18Shot by Forsberg, saved by Georgiev
  26. P1 14:28Shot by Rantanen, saved by Lankinen
  27. P1 15:51Shot by Wood, saved by Lankinen6v5
  28. P1 15:54Sherwood: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Parise, Wood, MacKinnon, Girard, Colton, Walker · NSH Forsberg, McCarron, Lauzon, Fabbro, Sherwood

  29. P1 16:11Goal by Mittelstadt (MacKinnon, Makar)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Mittelstadt, Makar · NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Lauzon, Smith

  30. P1 17:24Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Lankinen
  31. P1 17:54Shot by Jankowski, saved by Georgiev
  32. P1 18:23Shot by Sissons, saved by Georgiev
  33. P1 19:06Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lankinen
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:57Goal by Nyquist (Stastney, Forsberg)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · NSH Schenn, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Stastney

  37. P2 0:57Georgiev: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · NSH Schenn, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Stastney

  38. P2 1:22Shot by Forsberg, saved by Annunen4v5
  39. P2 3:11McDonagh: Match penalty (5 min)

    On ice: COL Parise, Toews, Duhaime, Colton, Walker · NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Novak, Fabbro, Evangelista

  40. P2 4:44Shot by Sherwood, saved by Annunen5v4
  41. P2 5:43Goal by Lehkonen (Makar, Drouin)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Drouin, Girard, Mittelstadt, Makar · NSH Schenn, Sissons, Lauzon, Smith

  42. P2 6:55Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lankinen5v4
  43. P2 8:51Shot by Evangelista, saved by Annunen
  44. P2 8:52Shot by Forsberg, saved by Annunen
  45. P2 9:36Shot by Walker, saved by Lankinen
  46. P2 10:14Shot by Makar, saved by Lankinen
  47. P2 11:09Shot by Fabbro, saved by Annunen
  48. P2 11:13Shot by Zucker, saved by Annunen
  49. P2 11:21Shot by Josi, saved by Annunen
  50. P2 11:22Shot by Glass, saved by Annunen
  51. P2 11:23Shot by Glass, saved by Annunen
  52. P2 11:29Shot by Fabbro, saved by Annunen
  53. P2 12:25Shot by Makar, saved by Lankinen
  54. P2 13:00Shot by Rantanen, saved by Lankinen
  55. P2 13:50Shot by Forsberg, saved by Annunen
  56. P2 14:34Wood: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Cogliano, Manson, Trenin, Makar, Foudy · NSH Josi, Jankowski, Sissons, Novak, Fabbro, Evangelista

  57. P2 15:46Shot by Forsberg, saved by Annunen4v5
  58. P2 16:14Shot by Walker, saved by Lankinen4v5
  59. P2 16:44Sissons: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Parise, Wood, MacKinnon, Girard, Colton, Walker · NSH Schenn, McCarron, Stastney, Smith, Evangelista

  60. P2 17:23Shot by Drouin, saved by Lankinen5v4
  61. P2 17:39Shot by Rantanen, saved by Lankinen5v4
  62. P2 18:25Goal by Makar (Rantanen, Parise)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: COL Parise, MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Makar · NSH Schenn, O'Reilly, Lauzon, Sherwood

  63. P2 19:09Shot by Josi, saved by Annunen
  64. P2 19:31Goal by Trenin, unassisted+24 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cogliano, Manson, Trenin, Girard, Duhaime · NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Fabbro

  65. P2 19:46Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Lankinen
  66. P2 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Period start
  68. P3 1:41Shot by Johnson, saved by Lankinen
  69. P3 1:58Shot by Wood, saved by Lankinen
  70. P3 2:20Shot by Wood, saved by Lankinen
  71. P3 3:03Shot by McCarron, saved by Annunen
  72. P3 3:16Shot by Fabbro, saved by Annunen
  73. P3 3:36Shot by Manson, saved by Lankinen
  74. P3 3:38Goal by MacKinnon (Manson, Toews)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen · NSH O'Reilly, Lauzon, Fabbro, Sherwood, Smith

  75. P3 4:30Shot by Johnson, saved by Lankinen
  76. P3 6:17Shot by Colton, saved by Lankinen
  77. P3 6:54Schenn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Cogliano, Manson, Trenin, Foudy · NSH Schenn, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Stastney

  78. P3 7:04Shot by Makar, saved by Lankinen5v4
  79. P3 7:52Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Lankinen5v4
  80. P3 7:53Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Lankinen5v4
  81. P3 10:15Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Annunen
  82. P3 11:37Shot by Fabbro, saved by Annunen
  83. P3 11:46Shot by Drouin, saved by Lankinen
  84. P3 11:59Shot by Drouin, saved by Lankinen
  85. P3 12:52Shot by Josi, saved by Annunen
  86. P3 12:53Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Annunen
  87. P3 12:58Shot by Josi, saved by Annunen
  88. P3 14:51Shot by Johnson, saved by Lankinen
  89. P3 16:10Goal by MacKinnon (Rantanen)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Sissons, Novak

  90. P3 18:06Lehkonen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Lehkonen, Mittelstadt, Makar, Foudy · NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Fabbro

  91. P3 19:27Shot by Novak, saved by Annunen4v5
  92. P3 19:35Shot by Fabbro, saved by Annunen4v5
  93. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  94. P3 0:00Final4v5