Wed, Apr 3, 2024·Madison Square Garden, New York
New Jersey Devils 3, New York Rangers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 93% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 04 | 38 | 08 | 320 |
| NYR | 215 | 011 | 215 | 441 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:22NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Alexis Lafrenière, Adam Fox · Snap, 0.15 xG0–1
- P1 18:03NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Jack Roslovic · Backhand, 0.21 xG0–2
- P2 2:11NJDOndrej PalatAssists: Jack Hughes, Luke Hughes · Slap, 0.05 xG1–2
- P2 9:53NJDBrendan SmithAssists: Jesper Bratt, Timo Meier · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–2
- P2 11:24NJDNico HischierAssists: Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.18 xG3–2
- P3 5:32NYRKaapo KakkoUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–3
- P3 15:03NYRChris KreiderPPGWGAssists: Adam Fox, Artemi Panarin · Tip-in, 0.13 xG3–4
Penalties (29)
- P1 0:02NJDCurtis Lazar: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02NYRJimmy Vesey: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02NJDJohn Marino: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02NYRK'Andre Miller: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02NJDKevin Bahl: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02NYRBarclay Goodrow: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02NJDChris Tierney: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02NYRJacob Trouba: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02NYRMatt Rempe: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02NJDKurtis MacDermid: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02NYRMatt Rempe: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 0:02NJDKevin Bahl: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 0:02NYRBarclay Goodrow: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 0:02NJDKurtis MacDermid: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 0:02NYRJacob Trouba: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 0:02NJDChris Tierney: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 0:02NYRK'Andre Miller: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 0:02NJDJohn Marino: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 0:54NYRJack Roslovic: Boarding2 min
- P1 4:27NYRWill Cuylle: Boarding2 min
- P1 4:27NJDDawson Mercer: Instigator2 min
- P1 4:27NYRWill Cuylle: Fighting5 min
- P1 4:27NJDDawson Mercer: Fighting5 min
- P1 4:27NJDDawson Mercer: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P1 9:22NJDAlexander Holtz: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P1 15:56NJDTomas Nosek: Cross checking2 min
- P1 19:00NYRVincent Trocheck: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:19NYRChris Kreider: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:38NJDBrendan Smith: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Tierney won the faceoff against Goodrow
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- Palat – Nosek – Hughes8:09
xG 0.22–0.17 (56%)attempts 11–8goals 1–1
- Haula – Lazar – Mercer3:03
xG 0.00–0.11 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
- Haula – Mercer – Holtz4:07
xG 0.00–0.15 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Meier – Bratt – Hischier11:42
xG 0.37–0.82 (31%)attempts 10–19goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- Smith – Siegenthaler2:15
xG 0.05–0.01 (90%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Hughes – Nemec2:27
xG 0.01–0.13 (9%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Siegenthaler – Nemec17:28
xG 0.39–0.88 (30%)attempts 8–18goals 1–1
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Zibanejad – Roslovic8:15
xG 0.74–0.23 (76%)attempts 13–8goals 0–1
- Trocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière12:44
xG 0.81–0.40 (67%)attempts 17–12goals 1–1
- Wennberg – Kakko – Cuylle8:06
xG 0.27–0.13 (68%)attempts 11–5goals 1–1
- Vesey – Wennberg – Kakko2:29
xG 0.01–0.05 (15%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGustafsson – Schneider22:37
xG 1.14–0.46 (71%)attempts 33–17goals 0–1
- Fox – Lindgren19:31
xG 0.72–0.58 (55%)attempts 17–19goals 2–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 93% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).