Fri, Apr 5, 2024·Honda Center, Anaheim
Seattle Kraken 3, Anaheim Ducks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 112 | 211 | 04 | 327 |
| ANA | 09 | 13 | 05 | 117 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:08SEAShane WrightAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Brian Dumoulin · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–0
- P2 2:29SEAShane WrightGWGAssists: Jaden Schwartz, Justin Schultz · Snap, 0.16 xG2–0
- P2 11:40SEAMatty BeniersPPAssists: Shane Wright, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Deflected, 0.15 xG3–0
- P2 16:35ANALeo CarlssonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 4:07ANARoss Johnston: Slashing2 min
- P1 10:12SEAEeli Tolvanen: Interference2 min
- P2 10:13ANAGustav Lindstrom: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 11:52ANARadko Gudas: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:44ANACam Fowler: Cross checking2 min
- P3 17:28ANACam Fowler: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:51SEAOliver Bjorkstrand: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:51ANAGustav Lindstrom: Illegal check to head2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gourde won the faceoff against Lundeström
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Schwartz – Wright9:49
xG 0.98–0.24 (80%)attempts 16–6goals 1–1
- Bellemare – Tanev – Kartye7:26
xG 0.24–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Bjorkstrand – McCann – Beniers8:32
xG 0.39–0.21 (65%)attempts 15–4goals 0–0
- Gourde – Burakovsky – Tolvanen9:25
xG 0.42–0.33 (55%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDumoulin – Fleury12:39
xG 0.89–0.28 (76%)attempts 18–5goals 1–0
- Schultz – Evans12:47
xG 0.67–0.12 (85%)attempts 17–7goals 1–1
- Oleksiak – Borgen16:05
xG 0.71–0.53 (58%)attempts 13–16goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestKillorn – Terry – Carlsson14:00
xG 0.78–0.69 (53%)attempts 16–17goals 1–0
- Silfverberg – Lundeström – Nesterenko9:05
xG 0.15–0.26 (37%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
- Johnston – Groulx – Leason6:18
xG 0.02–0.49 (4%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
- Strome – Vatrano – Zegras8:46
xG 0.07–0.61 (10%)attempts 4–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Fowler – Zellweger15:31
xG 0.52–0.88 (37%)attempts 13–20goals 0–1
- Gudas – LaCombe11:35
xG 0.36–0.72 (33%)attempts 11–14goals 1–1
- Lagesson – Lindstrom14:53
xG 0.28–0.95 (23%)attempts 7–16goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).