- Age
- 21
- Shoots
- Left
- Height
- 191 cm
- Weight
- 98 kg
- Born
- Karlstad, SWE
- Draft
- 2023, round 1, #2 (ANA)
Career · 2023–24 to 2026–27
- Games
- 203
- Goals
- 62
- Points
- 146
- TOI per game
- 17:47
- xGF% (5v5)
- 49.8%
- Goals above expected
- +10.5
Season by season
The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.
Form
Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.
Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.
Player card
How 2023–24 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.
Overall rating
1st line
92nd percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.
- 1st line
- 2nd line
- 3rd line
- 4th line
- Extra / AHL
Scoring
1st line- Goals /601.0381st pct
- Assists /601.4082nd pct
- ixG /600.8664th pct
- Goals above expected+10.590th pct
Play-driving
1st line- xGF% (5v5)49.8%55th pct
- CF% (5v5)51.6%75th pct
- Relative xGF%+5.494th pct
- Penalty diff /600.5291st pct
Usage
1st line- TOI per game17:4783rd pct
- PP time share55.1%82nd pct
- Offensive zone starts65.7%78th pct
- Quality of competition25.1%79th pct
Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).
Most similar players this season
Faceoffs
How often Carlsson wins the draw over 2023–24 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 624+ draws over the same seasons.
Win rate
41.1%
941–1350 · #180 of 189 regulars, 5th percentile
Against an average centre
41.2%
Opponents won 50.2% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.8% against them.
Wins above average
−201
Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.
Draws per game
11.4
2,291 draws in all.
By dot, attacking to the right
Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.
By zone
- Offensive zone39.5% 305–468
- Neutral zone43.5% 382–497
- Defensive zone39.7% 254–385
By strength
- Even strength41.2% 828–1181
- Power play44.1% 71–90
- Shorthanded34.7% 42–79
What a win leads to
Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +16 after a win, −11 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.3 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.
Most-faced opponents
- Mikael Backlund37.5% 24–40
- Elias Pettersson28.9% 11–27
- Phillip Danault37.8% 14–23
- Dylan Larkin40.5% 15–22
- Robert Thomas38.9% 14–22
- Joel Eriksson Ek48.6% 17–18
- Alexander Wennberg26.5% 9–25
- Adam Lowry40.6% 13–19
Season by season
| Season | Draws | Win rate | Against average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023–24 | 561 | 34.8% | 34.6% |
| 2024–25 | 730 | 41.4% | 41.5% |
| 2025–26 | 976 | 44.4% | 44.7% |
| 2026–27 | 24 | 45.8% | 46.3% |
Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.
+10.5 goals above expected
Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games
Speed and tracking
From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.
Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.
Tracking
- Top skating speed34.5 km/h59th pct
- Speed bursts over 20 mph447th pct
- Hardest shot83.6 km/h7th pct
- Distance skated11 km39th pct
- Offensive-zone time41.8%52nd pct
Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.
Top skating speed
36.2 km/h53rd pct
▼ −2.1 km/h since 2024–25
Bursts over 20 mph per 60
8.881st pct
▲ +0.9 since 2024–25
Distance skated per 60
17.3 km100th pct
▲ +0.4 km since 2024–25
Hardest shot
137.6 km/h44th pct
▲ +1.9 km/h since 2024–25
Offensive-zone time
44.6%82nd pct
▲ +3.2 points since 2024–25