Mon, Apr 8, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 84% of the time.
11%
79%
TOR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26:51 | 0.32 | 79.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:04 | 0.04 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:04 | 0.17 | 86.2% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 21:16 | 0.84 | 86.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:15 | 0.26 | 75.0% | +34.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 21:14 | 0.95 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:38 | 0.03 | 84.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:42 | 0.09 | 12.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:10 | 0.88 | 73.2% | +34.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:09 | 0.91 | 85.2% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.03 | 63.2% | +34.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.01 | 12.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:35 | 0.13 | 1.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:16 | 0.00 | 24.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.01 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.00 | 7.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:34 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:28 | 0.00 | 3.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.23 | −0.8 | 61:30 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:17 | 0.32 | 17.6% | +44.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:11 | 0.00 | 47.1% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:11 | 0.00 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:53 | 0.00 | 73.2% | +19.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.36 | 67.4% | +70.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:49 | 0.34 | 20.6% | +44.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.19 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.04 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.17 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.07 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:46 | 0.30 | 20.0% | +25.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:30 | 0.03 | 82.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:39 | 0.04 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:15 | 0.01 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.08 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:38 | 0.00 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:21 | 0.17 | 44.2% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:05 | 0.10 | 48.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 4.68 | +2.7 | 61:30 |