Tue, Apr 9, 2024·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Arizona Coyotes 0, Seattle Kraken 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 09 | 018 | 012 | 039 |
| SEA | 27 | 19 | 29 | 525 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:08SEAShane WrightGWGAssists: Jordan Eberle, Jaden Schwartz · Backhand, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 2:14SEAAndre BurakovskyPPAssists: Matty Beniers, Justin Schultz · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–2
- P2 4:29SEAJustin SchultzAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Matty Beniers · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–3
- P3 6:38SEABrandon TanevAssists: Yanni Gourde, Tye Kartye · Snap, 0.18 xG0–4
- P3 9:35SEAWill BorgenAssists: Jamie Oleksiak, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–5
Penalties (6)
- P1 1:47ARIMaksymilian Szuber: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 5:12ARIMichael Carcone: Holding2 min
- P1 16:26ARIClayton Keller: Cross checking2 min
- P1 16:26SEAOliver Bjorkstrand: Roughing2 min
- P2 4:56SEAJordan Eberle: Slashing2 min
- P3 4:06ARIJ.J. Moser: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beniers won the faceoff against Kerfoot
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestMcBain – Maccelli – Doan9:49
xG 1.08–0.16 (87%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Crouse – Guenther – Cooley11:30
xG 0.90–0.33 (73%)attempts 18–11goals 0–1
- Kerfoot – Schmaltz – Keller12:52
xG 0.75–0.79 (48%)attempts 16–11goals 0–2
- O'Brien – Carcone – Jenik7:56
xG 0.15–0.23 (40%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBrown – Szuber12:15
xG 1.19–0.15 (89%)attempts 18–11goals 0–0
- Durzi – Moser13:54
xG 1.01–0.68 (60%)attempts 19–15goals 0–2
- Välimäki – Kesselring13:06
xG 0.58–0.44 (57%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- Kartye – Winterton – Morrison8:38
xG 0.19–0.16 (53%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Bjorkstrand – Burakovsky – Beniers11:44
xG 0.68–1.00 (41%)attempts 10–18goals 2–0
- Gourde – Tanev – Tolvanen10:26
xG 0.41–0.79 (34%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
- Eberle – Schwartz – Wright11:27
xG 0.32–0.95 (25%)attempts 9–19goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Larsson – Evans14:40
xG 0.26–0.47 (36%)attempts 9–15goals 0–0
- Schultz – Dumoulin13:23
xG 0.74–1.11 (40%)attempts 16–15goals 1–0
- Oleksiak – Borgen12:58
xG 0.43–1.18 (27%)attempts 11–21goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).