Wed, Apr 10, 2024·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Chicago Blackhawks 2, St. Louis Blues 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 01 | 110 | 19 | 220 |
| STL | 49 | 08 | 19 | 526 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:04STLJordan KyrouAssists: Nick Leddy, Joel Hofer · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 2:46STLJordan KyrouAssists: Brandon Saad, Pavel Buchnevich · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–2
- P1 4:37STLTorey KrugGWGAssists: Matthew Kessel, Nikita Alexandrov · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–3
- P1 6:59STLZachary BolducAssists: Robert Thomas, Brayden Schenn · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–4
- P2 8:40CHIPhilipp KurashevAssists: Kevin Korchinski · Wrap-around, 0.08 xG1–4
- P3 10:01STLRobert ThomasAssists: Brayden Schenn, Zachary Bolduc · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–5
- P3 16:51CHILandon SlaggertAssists: Ryan Donato, MacKenzie Entwistle · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–5
Penalties (9)
- P1 13:11CHINikita Zaitsev: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:30STLScott Perunovich: Interference2 min
- P2 7:38CHISeth Jones: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:49STLRobert Thomas: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:31CHIAlex Vlasic: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:31STLTyler Tucker: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:06CHITaylor Raddysh: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 19:30STLSammy Blais: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:30CHIJarred Tinordi: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thomas won the faceoff against Bedard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDonato – Entwistle – Slaggert8:11
xG 0.24–0.07 (77%)attempts 4–4goals 1–1
- Kurashev – Reichel – Bedard10:53
xG 0.43–0.43 (50%)attempts 10–11goals 0–2
- Johnson – Athanasiou – Raddysh11:18
xG 0.28–0.42 (40%)attempts 6–14goals 0–1
- Blackwell – Dickinson – Anderson8:34
xG 0.04–0.26 (12%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Korchinski2:48
xG 0.25–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Jones – Vlasic11:42
xG 0.56–0.43 (57%)attempts 11–11goals 1–2
- Tinordi – Megna2:14
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestWalker – Blais – Alexandrov11:00
xG 0.50–0.02 (97%)attempts 17–3goals 1–0
- Schenn – Thomas – Bolduc8:20
xG 0.38–0.27 (58%)attempts 6–8goals 2–0
- Kapanen – Toropchenko – Dean9:56
xG 0.07–0.17 (28%)attempts 4–9goals 0–1
- Saad – Buchnevich – Kyrou11:10
xG 0.26–0.53 (33%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLeddy – Tucker7:47
xG 0.41–0.04 (90%)attempts 9–2goals 1–0
- Krug – Kessel9:21
xG 0.52–0.35 (59%)attempts 11–7goals 2–0
- Leddy – Kessel2:06
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).