Thu, Apr 11, 2024·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Columbus Blue Jackets 0, Florida Panthers 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 93% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 07 | 010 | 08 | 025 |
| FLA | 113 | 216 | 117 | 446 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:47FLAMatthew TkachukGWGAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Nick Cousins · Snap, 0.07 xG0–1
- P2 17:25FLAEvan RodriguesAssists: Anton Lundell, Eetu Luostarinen · Wrist, 0.20 xG0–2
- P2 19:06FLASam ReinhartAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–3
- P3 17:43FLAVladimir TarasenkoAssists: Gustav Forsling · Backhand, 0.08 xG0–4
Penalties (3)
- P1 8:10CBJAlex Nylander: Holding2 min
- P2 7:12FLAKevin Stenlund: High sticking2 min
- P3 14:21CBJBrendan Gaunce: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Barkov won the faceoff against Sillinger
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Gaunce – Olivier – Malatesta2:31
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Danforth – Pyyhtia3:43
xG 0.08–0.29 (22%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Gaudreau – Danforth – Voronkov8:36
xG 0.29–0.59 (33%)attempts 4–15goals 0–2
- Gaudreau – Nylander – Voronkov2:48
xG 0.00–0.35 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Gudbranson – Blankenburg2:09
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Jiricek – Blankenburg13:32
xG 0.33–0.63 (34%)attempts 12–14goals 0–0
- Severson – Werenski15:41
xG 0.34–1.08 (24%)attempts 10–19goals 0–2
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestCousins – Bennett – Tkachuk12:04
xG 1.61–0.44 (79%)attempts 23–8goals 1–0
- Rodrigues – Luostarinen – Lundell11:22
xG 1.27–0.29 (82%)attempts 18–7goals 1–0
- Okposo – Stenlund – Lorentz9:56
xG 0.73–0.08 (90%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Tarasenko – Barkov – Reinhart12:47
xG 0.48–0.25 (66%)attempts 13–13goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestMontour – Mikkola17:20
xG 1.39–0.42 (77%)attempts 17–14goals 0–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Forsling15:20
xG 1.00–0.28 (78%)attempts 19–8goals 2–0
- Kulikov – Balinskis15:04
xG 0.95–0.31 (76%)attempts 23–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 93% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).